BUNDESLIGA Matchweek 3
Borussia Dortmund vs SC Paderborn 07
Borussia Dortmund host SC Paderborn 07 in Bundesliga matchweek 3: Sat 12 Sep, 15:30 CEST (12 Sep 22:30 KST) at Signal Iduna Park. Referee not yet appointed at time of writing.
The last 3 league meetings: Dortmund 2 wins, 1 draw, Paderborn 0 wins; the most recent was Dortmund 3–0 Paderborn in 2026/09. Last five games in all competitions: Dortmund W5 D0 L0, Paderborn W2 D2 L1. Paderborn have won 25.0% of 12 games under the condition "Humidity 80% or more", above their 12.8% over the same window. Absentees: Dortmund E. Can, F. Mané, M. Kaba; Paderborn none (as of 2026-09-14).
Last 3 meetings2 · 1 · 0Dortmund W · D · Paderborn WLast meeting Dortmund 3–0 Paderborn (2026.09)
H2H 3 games, average5.33 goals3+ goals 100.0% · red cards 0x · league average 3.13 goals
Win rate this season100.0% / 0.0%Dortmund / Paderborn3 games · last season 64.7% / 50.0%
Key numbers
| Metric / unit | Dortmund | Paderborn |
|---|---|---|
| Positionpoints | 2nd · 9 | 15th · 1 |
| W–D–L3 games | 3–0–0 | 0–1–2 |
| Goals for / againstper game | 2.67 / 0.67 | 0.00 / 1.33 |
| xG / xGAper game | 1.77 / 1.04 | 0.75 / 1.23 |
| Possession% | 48 | 54 |
| Shots / on targetper game | 15.5 / 5 | 12 / 1.5 |
| 2025-26 win rateW–D–L · promoted sides show second-tier record | 64.7% 22–7–5 | 50.0% 1–1–0 |
| Head-to-headW–D–L · since 2017-18 | 2–1–0 | 0–1–2 |
xG = expected goals · xGA = expected goals against · conceded minus xGA: Dortmund -0.37, Paderborn +0.10 (per game)
- Dortmund outE. Can(Knee Injury) · F. Mané(Muscle Injury) · M. Kaba(Injury) · S. Inacio(Red Card) · K. Karetsas(Health problems) · G. Konstantelias(Knee Injury) · as of 2026-09-14
- Paderborn outnone / doubtful: S. Michel(Muscle Injury) · S. Klaas(Muscle Injury)
- ManagersN. Kovač — league 50 games win rate 66.0% · Ralf Kettemann — league 4 games win rate 25.0% · first league meeting between the two managers
- Last matchDortmund 4 days ago UCL home Villarreal 3–2 · Paderborn 7 days ago BL home Freiburg 0–1
Last five games
Borussia Dortmund
Scored 15Conceded 4Clean sheets 3
| Opponent | Venue | Result | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| VillarrealUCL | home | 3–2W | 2.83 |
| Hoffenheim | away | 3–2W | 2.02 |
| HEBCPokal | away | 5–0W | — |
| Hamburg | home | 2–0W | 1.53 |
| Bremen | away | 2–0W | 2.74 |
SC Paderborn 07
Scored 6Conceded 4Clean sheets 2
| Opponent | Venue | Result | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Freiburg | home | 0–1L | 0.77 |
| Mainz | away | 0–0D | 0.73 |
| Phönix LübeckPokal | away | 4–2W | — |
| Wolfsburg | home | 2–1W | — |
| Wolfsburg | away | 0–0D | — |
Dortmund 6 unbeaten · all competitions · no xG for cup and European games
Head-to-head
- Dortmund3–0Paderborn
- Paderborn1–6Dortmund
- Dortmund3–3Paderborn
Full head-to-head record and fixture profile →
Signal Iduna Park H2H 2 games Dortmund 1W 1D 0L · since 2017-18 · green home win / red away win
Conditional data
Beneath the surface
Conditional records that the table, form and head-to-head do not show. Sample of 10 games or more.
- 25.0%Humidity 80% or more Paderborn win rate12 games · usual 12.8%
- 33.3%S. Guirassy not scoring: Dortmund win rate33 games · scored in 32 games: 81.2% · since 2022-23
The other side. win rate after conceding first: Dortmund 25.6%, Paderborn 50.0% · absentees per game Dortmund 5.3, Paderborn 1.7.
A. Timing and context win rate · sample · gap vs usual in percentage points
| Condition | Dortmund | Paderborn |
|---|---|---|
| Saturday 15:30 kick-offwin rate · since 2017-18 | +0.8p130 games · usual 59.2% | -4.1p23 games · usual 12.8% |
| Weekend afternoon kick-offWin rate · Dortmund home / Paderborn away | +6.5p67 games · usual 59.2% | -4.5p12 games · usual 12.8% |
| After last resultDortmund 3+ wins / Paderborn L · since 2022-23 | +3.1p29 games · usual 59.0% | —2 games · sample too small |
| Temperature 20°C or morewin rate · forecast °C | +8.2p43 games · usual 59.2% | -3.7p11 games · usual 12.8% |
| Humidity 80% or morewin rate · forecast % | -1.3p107 games · usual 59.2% | +12.2p12 games · usual 12.8% |
| Rain or drizzleWin rate | +5.4p79 games · usual 59.2% | -2.8p10 games · usual 12.8% |
| September gamesWin rate | +12.7p32 games · usual 59.2% | —5 games · sample too small |
| Signal Iduna Park awaywin rate · any opponent | — | —1 games · sample too small |
| Manager vs this opponentwin rate · all clubs | —1 games · sample too small | — |
| Signal Iduna Park rain frequencyrain or drizzle · % of home games | 30.3 | — |
B. Game management since 2022-23 · usual win rate Dortmund 59.0% / Paderborn 20.0%
| items | Dortmund | Paderborn |
|---|---|---|
| After scoring firstWin rate | — | — |
| After conceding firstWin rate | 25.6% -33.4p43 games · usual 59.0% | —2 games · sample too small |
| Leading at 75 minutesWin rate | 88.3%77 games | —0 games |
| Led but failed to win / won from behindgames | 24 / 14 | 0 / 1 |
| Average time of first substitutionmin | 55.4 | 60.8 |
| Goals by substitutes% of team goals | 18.2 53/291 | 0.0 0/2 |
| Average time of first booking / games with nonemin / % | 45.6 / 14.4 | 24 / 20.0 |
| Games with 3+ yellow cardsWin rate | -9.2p42 games · usual 59.2% | —3 games · sample too small |
| Penalties won / concededper game | 0.16 / 0.11 | 0.00 / 0.00 |
| Penalties scoredscored/taken | 21 / 22 | 0 / 0 |
| Goals for / against from 76th minute% of all goals | 25.3 / 23.6 | 50.0 / 0.0 |
| Failed to score / clean sheets% | 10.1 / 33.1 | 80.0 / 40.0 |
C. Shots and defensive shape 2026-27 2 games this season, averages · last season shown as totals
| items | Dortmund | Paderborn |
|---|---|---|
| Shots inside / outside the boxper game | 11 / 4.5 | 6 / 6 |
| Shots blockedper game | 4.5 | 4.5 |
| Shots faced / on target / inside boxper game | 13 / 4.5 / 7.5 | 18.5 / 4.5 / 11.5 |
| Keeper saves / goals preventedper game · goals prevented | 3.5 / -0.59 | 4 / 0.66 |
| Corners won / concededper game | 3 / 5.5 | 3.5 / 7.5 |
| Offsides / fouls wonper game | 1.5 / 16 | 1 / 9 |
| Passes / accuracyper game / % | 436 / 82 | 500 / 83 |
D. Player conditions since 2022-23 · both samples 10+ games
| Player · condition | When true | When not | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| S. Guirassy (Dortmund) scoresteam win rate | 81.2%32 games | 33.3%33 games | +47.9p |
| W. Anton (Dortmund) startingteam win rate · conceded | 64.3% · 1.256 games | 35.7% · 1.4314 games | +28.6p |
| S. Guirassy (Dortmund) startingteam win rate · conceded | 55.2% · 1.3158 games | 80.0% · 1.110 games | -24.8p |
| D. Svensson (Dortmund) startingteam win rate · conceded | 70.3% · 1.0837 games | 53.8% · 1.013 games | +16.5p |
| Julian Ryerson (Dortmund) bookedown rating | 6.8819 games | 6.9774 games | -0.08 |
E. Individual numbers
| items | Dortmund | Paderborn |
|---|---|---|
| Shot conversion · minutes per goalleague since 2022-23 | S. Guirassy 28.0% · 128minM. Beier 23.9% · 223min / Julian Ryerson 17.5% · 1128min | L. Curda 16.7% · 390min |
| Record vs this opponentsince 2017-18 · apps G A rating | — | — |
| Key passesseason total | Julian Ryerson 5 · F. Nmecha 3 · S. Guirassy 3 | L. Curda 3 · R. Obermair 3 · L. Ulrich 2 |
| Fouls won / committedseason total | K. Karetsas 6 · S. Guirassy 5 · Julian Ryerson 5 / S. Guirassy 3 · Julian Ryerson 2 · F. Mané 2 | L. Curda 4 · L. Ulrich 3 · M. Pieringer 2 / M. Pieringer 6 · L. Curda 5 · S. Castaneda 3 |
| Duel win %20+ duels · % | D. Svensson 62 · K. Karetsas 58 · S. Guirassy 57 | T. Scheller 70 · L. Curda 64 · S. Tigges 48 |
| Tackles+interceptions / dribbles won–triedseason total | W. Anton 11 · D. Svensson 10 · J. Bellingham 10 / K. Karetsas 7–12 · J. Bellingham 2–3 · S. Guirassy 1–1 | L. Curda 10 · S. Castaneda 9 · J. ter Horst 9 / G. Vidović 3–7 · R. Obermair 2–4 · S. Tigges 1–1 |
| Home/away ratingsince 2022-23 · 10+ games each | M. Beier 7.26/6.7 · S. Guirassy 7.24/6.94 · J. Bellingham 7.05/6.77 | — |
Order is always home team (Dortmund) then away team (Paderborn) · usual = the team's overall league win rate over the same window · ±p = percentage-point gap · fewer than 10 games shown as — · ratings are API-Football official ratings
F. Win rate by player involvement League games only (cups and European games excluded) · all games since the player's first appearance for the club (from 2017-18 at the earliest) · pick a player to see the team's win rate when they started, came off the bench, or did not play, plus their record against this opponent · did not play = unused sub or not in the squad · fewer than 10 games shown faded
League games only · cups and Europe excluded · win rate = wins ÷ games
Started—
Off the bench—
Did not play—
vs Paderborn · when playing —
Games: · · ·
League games only · cups and Europe excluded · win rate = wins ÷ games
Started—
Off the bench—
Did not play—
vs Dortmund · when playing —
Games: · · ·
05How the numbers are compiled
- Source
- API-Football (fixtures, line-ups, events, stats, absentees) · Open-Meteo (weather, forecast) · Wikimedia (crests)
- Sample
- Bundesliga 2017-18 to 2026-27 · some conditions since 2022-23 · minimum 10 games (— below that)
- Match scope
- Conditional stats use league games only · last five games, streaks and rest days use all competitions · win rate = wins ÷ games · usual = league win rate over the same window · home team first
- Updated
- 2026.09.14 13:07 UK
This article summarises historical match data. It does not predict, guarantee or recommend any outcome.