BUNDESLIGA Matchweek 3
RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV
RB Leipzig host Hamburger SV in Bundesliga matchweek 3: Sun 13 Sep, 15:30 CEST (13 Sep 22:30 KST) at Red Bull Arena. Referee not yet appointed at time of writing.
The last 5 league meetings: Leipzig 4 wins, 1 draw, Hamburg 0 wins; the most recent was Leipzig 5–0 Hamburg in 2026/09. Last five games in all competitions: Leipzig W2 D0 L3, Hamburg W2 D1 L2. Hamburg have won 36.4% of 22 games under the condition "Weekend afternoon kick-off", above their 23.1% over the same window. Hamburg have won 40.0% of 10 games under the condition "Temperature 20°C or more", above their 24.0% over the same window. Absentees: Leipzig C. Baumgartner, R. Reitz; Hamburg A. Rossing-Lelesiit (as of 2026-09-14).
Last 5 meetings4 · 1 · 0Leipzig W · D · Hamburg WLast meeting Leipzig 5–0 Hamburg (2026.09)
H2H 5 games, average3.00 goals3+ goals 60.0% · red cards 0x · league average 3.13 goals
Win rate this season66.7% / 0.0%Leipzig / Hamburg3 games · last season 58.8% / 26.5%
Key numbers
| Metric / unit | Leipzig | Hamburg |
|---|---|---|
| Positionpoints | 5th · 6 | 18th · 0 |
| W–D–L3 games | 2–0–1 | 0–0–3 |
| Goals for / againstper game | 3.00 / 1.00 | 0.00 / 4.00 |
| xG / xGAper game | 2.73 / 1.02 | 0.91 / 1.53 |
| Possession% | 59 | 49 |
| Shots / on targetper game | 22 / 8 | 8 / 2 |
| 2025-26 win rateW–D–L · promoted sides show second-tier record | 58.8% 20–5–9 | 26.5% 9–11–14 |
| Head-to-headW–D–L · since 2017-18 | 4–1–0 | 0–1–4 |
xG = expected goals · xGA = expected goals against · conceded minus xGA: Leipzig -0.02, Hamburg +2.47 (per game)
- Leipzig outC. Baumgartner(Thigh Injury) · R. Reitz(Muscle Injury) · as of 2026-09-14
- Hamburg outA. Rossing-Lelesiit(Ankle Injury) / doubtful: A. Lokonga(Back Injury) · S. Bornauw(Inactive) · M. Muheim(Muscle Injury)
- ManagersMartin Demichelis — league 2 games win rate 50.0% · M. Polzin — league 36 games win rate 25.0% · first league meeting between the two managers
- Last matchLeipzig 3 days ago UCL away Como 1–4 · Hamburg 7 days ago BL home Mainz 0–5
- Last season's top scorerLeipzig C. Baumgartner (last season 13 goals) has not featured this season
Last five games
RB Leipzig
Scored 12Conceded 11Clean sheets 2
| Opponent | Venue | Result | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| ComoUCL | away | 1–4L | — |
| Bremen | away | 1–3L | 1.50 |
| Gladbach | home | 3–0W | 3.96 |
| Eintracht TrierPokal | away | 6–0W | — |
| Freiburg | away | 1–4L | 1.24 |
Hamburger SV
Scored 7Conceded 10Clean sheets 1
| Opponent | Venue | Result | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mainz | home | 0–5L | — |
| Dortmund | away | 0–2L | 0.91 |
| VerlPokal | away | 3–0W | — |
| Leverkusen | away | 1–1D | 1.79 |
| Freiburg | home | 3–2W | 1.98 |
Leipzig 12 straight games scoring · Leipzig league home 9 unbeaten · all competitions · no xG for cup and European games
Head-to-head
- Leipzig5–0Hamburg
- Hamburg1–2Leipzig
- Leipzig2–1Hamburg
- Leipzig1–1Hamburg
- Hamburg0–2Leipzig
Full head-to-head record and fixture profile →
Red Bull Arena H2H 3 games Leipzig 2W 1D 0L · since 2017-18 · green home win / red away win
Conditional data
Beneath the surface
Conditional records that the table, form and head-to-head do not show. Sample of 10 games or more.
- 36.4%Weekend afternoon kick-off Hamburg win rate22 games · usual 23.1% · since 2022-23
- 40.0%Temperature 20°C or more Hamburg win rate10 games · usual 24.0%
- 36.4%Sunday games Hamburg win rate11 games · usual 23.1% · since 2022-23
- 50.7%After last result Leipzig win rate73 games · usual 53.2% · since 2022-23
- 60.0%C. Nkunku not scoring: Leipzig win rate15 games · scored in 12 games: 66.7% · since 2022-23
The other side. win rate after conceding first: Leipzig 25.6%, Hamburg 19.0% · absentees per game Leipzig 3.7, Hamburg 3.3.
A. Timing and context win rate · sample · gap vs usual in percentage points
| Condition | Leipzig | Hamburg |
|---|---|---|
| Sunday 15:30 kick-offwin rate · since 2017-18 | +9.1p26 games · usual 52.4% | —8 games · sample too small |
| Weekend afternoon kick-offWin rate · Leipzig home / Hamburg away | +9.6p92 games · usual 52.4% | -5.8p22 games · usual 24.0% |
| After last resultLeipzig W / Hamburg L · since 2022-23 | -2.5p73 games · usual 53.2% | -2.0p19 games · usual 23.1% |
| Temperature 20°C or morewin rate · forecast °C | +9.3p47 games · usual 52.4% | +16.0p10 games · usual 24.0% |
| Humidity 80% or morewin rate · forecast % | +0.2p95 games · usual 52.4% | -6.8p29 games · usual 24.0% |
| Rain or drizzleWin rate | +0.6p66 games · usual 52.4% | +1.0p12 games · usual 24.0% |
| September gamesWin rate | +0.7p32 games · usual 52.4% | -14.0p10 games · usual 24.0% |
| Red Bull Arena awaywin rate · any opponent | — | —3 games · sample too small |
| Manager vs this opponentwin rate · all clubs | — | —2 games · sample too small |
| Red Bull Arena rain frequencyrain or drizzle · % of home games | 15.5 | — |
B. Game management since 2022-23 · usual win rate Leipzig 53.2% / Hamburg 23.1%
| items | Leipzig | Hamburg |
|---|---|---|
| After scoring firstWin rate | 73.8%84 games · 11 losses | 38.5%13 games · 4 losses |
| After conceding firstWin rate | 25.6% -27.6p43 games · usual 53.2% | 19.0% -4.1p21 games · usual 23.1% |
| Leading at 75 minutesWin rate | 92.9%70 games | 80.0%10 games |
| Led but failed to win / won from behindgames | 23 / 11 | 8 / 4 |
| Average time of first substitutionmin | 59.7 | 57.7 |
| Goals by substitutes% of team goals | 12.1 31/257 | 14.6 6/41 |
| Average time of first booking / games with nonemin / % | 45.2 / 10.8 | 37.8 / 7.7 |
| Games with 3+ yellow cardsWin rate | -6.7p35 games · usual 52.4% | -0.9p13 games · usual 24.0% |
| Penalties won / concededper game | 0.11 / 0.12 | 0.10 / 0.15 |
| Penalties scoredscored/taken | 14 / 15 | 4 / 4 |
| Goals for / against from 76th minute% of all goals | 18.9 / 18.5 | 14.6 / 23.9 |
| Failed to score / clean sheets% | 15.8 / 33.8 | 35.9 / 15.4 |
C. Shots and defensive shape 2026-27 2 games this season, averages · last season shown as totals
| items | Leipzig | Hamburg |
|---|---|---|
| Shots inside / outside the boxper game | 16.5 / 5.5 | 3.5 / 4.5 |
| Shots blockedper game | 5.5 | 2.5 |
| Shots faced / on target / inside boxper game | 13.5 / 5.5 / 7.5 | 18.5 / 7 / 13 |
| Keeper saves / goals preventedper game · goals prevented | 4 / -0.22 | 4 / -0.33 |
| Corners won / concededper game | 7 / 4 | 2.5 / 4 |
| Offsides / fouls wonper game | 0.5 / 13 | 1.5 / 16 |
| Passes / accuracyper game / % | 559 / 86.5 | 420 / 81 |
| 2025-26 xG → goalsseason total | 67.3 → 66 -1.3 | 41.6 → 40 -1.6 |
| 2025-26 xGA → concededseason total | 51.2 → 47 -4.2 | 61.4 → 54 -7.4 |
D. Player conditions since 2022-23 · both samples 10+ games
| Player · condition | When true | When not | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| C. Nkunku (Leipzig) scoresteam win rate | 66.7%12 games | 60.0%15 games | +6.7p |
| C. Lukeba (Leipzig) startingteam win rate · conceded | 56.7% · 1.2767 games | 40.5% · 1.4137 games | +16.2p |
| Arthur Vermeeren (Leipzig) startingteam win rate · conceded | 33.3% · 1.6118 games | 52.9% · 1.3551 games | -19.6p |
| B. Baku (Leipzig) startingteam win rate · conceded | 51.1% · 1.2945 games | 30.0% · 2.010 games | +21.1p |
| W. Orban (Leipzig) bookedown rating | 6.8413 games | 7.2598 games | -0.41 |
| B. Henrichs (Leipzig) bookedown rating | 6.7515 games | 7.150 games | -0.35 |
| A. Lokonga (Hamburg) startingteam win rate · conceded | 33.3% · 1.5721 games | 16.7% · 1.7512 games | +16.6p |
| B. Jatta (Hamburg) startingteam win rate · conceded | 33.3% · 1.5315 games | 17.4% · 1.9123 games | +15.9p |
| R. Philippe (Hamburg) startingteam win rate · conceded | 30.8% · 1.4613 games | 21.7% · 1.8323 games | +9.1p |
| N. Remberg (Hamburg) bookedown rating | 6.8711 games | 6.9523 games | -0.07 |
E. Individual numbers
| items | Leipzig | Hamburg |
|---|---|---|
| Shot conversion · minutes per goalleague since 2022-23 | C. Nkunku 27.6% · 126minW. Orban 16.4% · 899min / A. Nusa 12.1% · 472min | Fábio Vieira 17.9% · 323minR. Philippe 16.1% · 259min / A. Lokonga 29.4% · 360min |
| Record vs this opponentsince 2017-18 · apps G A rating | W. Orban 4 games 0G 0A 7.17 | — |
| Key passesseason total | D. Raum 9 · C. Nkunku 3 · R. Reitz 3 | A. Lokonga 2 · N. Capaldo 2 · P. Daka 1 |
| Fouls won / committedseason total | A. Nusa 6 · W. Orban 3 · E. Banzuzi 3 / E. Banzuzi 4 · D. Raum 3 · C. Nkunku 2 | A. Grønbæk 8 · N. Capaldo 5 · A. Lokonga 3 / S. Bornauw 4 · J. Torunarigha 4 · N. Capaldo 4 |
| Duel win %20+ duels · % | A. Nusa 54 · E. Banzuzi 43 | N. Capaldo 38 |
| Tackles+interceptions / dribbles won–triedseason total | N. Seiwald 8 · B. Baku 4 · E. Banzuzi 4 / A. Nusa 6–12 · B. Gruda 4–8 · B. Baku 3–7 | N. Capaldo 11 · S. Bornauw 7 · L. Lemke 5 / P. Daka 2–2 · A. Grønbæk 2–3 · A. Lokonga 1–1 |
| Home/away ratingsince 2022-23 · 10+ games each | C. Nkunku 7.71/6.98 · D. Raum 7.43/7.06 · B. Henrichs 7.15/6.93 | Daniel Heuer 6.92/7.39 · A. Lokonga 7.21/6.85 · N. Capaldo 6.75/6.63 |
Order is always home team (Leipzig) then away team (Hamburg) · usual = the team's overall league win rate over the same window · ±p = percentage-point gap · fewer than 10 games shown as — · ratings are API-Football official ratings
F. Win rate by player involvement League games only (cups and European games excluded) · all games since the player's first appearance for the club (from 2017-18 at the earliest) · pick a player to see the team's win rate when they started, came off the bench, or did not play, plus their record against this opponent · did not play = unused sub or not in the squad · fewer than 10 games shown faded
League games only · cups and Europe excluded · win rate = wins ÷ games
Started—
Off the bench—
Did not play—
vs Hamburg · when playing —
Games: · · ·
League games only · cups and Europe excluded · win rate = wins ÷ games
Started—
Off the bench—
Did not play—
vs Leipzig · when playing —
Games: · · ·
05How the numbers are compiled
- Source
- API-Football (fixtures, line-ups, events, stats, absentees) · Open-Meteo (weather, forecast) · Wikimedia (crests)
- Sample
- Bundesliga 2017-18 to 2026-27 · some conditions since 2022-23 · minimum 10 games (— below that)
- Match scope
- Conditional stats use league games only · last five games, streaks and rest days use all competitions · win rate = wins ÷ games · usual = league win rate over the same window · home team first
- Updated
- 2026.09.14 13:07 UK
This article summarises historical match data. It does not predict, guarantee or recommend any outcome.