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BUNDESLIGA Matchweek 4

Hamburger SV vs FC Köln

Match data · Volksparkstadion Updated

Hamburger SV host FC Köln in Bundesliga matchweek 4: Sat 19 Sep, 15:30 CEST (19 Sep 22:30 KST) at Volksparkstadion. Referee not yet appointed at time of writing.

The last 4 league meetings: Hamburg 1 wins, 1 draw, Köln 2 wins; the most recent was Hamburg 1–1 Köln in 2026/03. Last five games in all competitions: Hamburg W1 D1 L3, Köln W2 D1 L2. Köln have won 4.2% (1W 8D 15L) of 24 games under the condition "September games", below their 25.1% over the same window. Hamburg have won 29.4% (10W 9D 15L) of 34 games under the condition "Saturday 15:30 kick-off", above their 24.0% over the same window.

Last 4 meetings1 · 1 · 2Hamburg W · D · Köln WLast meeting Hamburg 1–1 Köln (2026.03)
H2H 4 games, average3.25 goals3+ goals 50.0% · red cards 3x · league average 3.13 goals
Win rate this season0.0% / 33.3%Hamburg / Köln0W 0D 3L / 1W 1D 1Llast season 26.5% / 20.6%

Key numbers

Key numbers, both teams
Metric / unitHamburgKöln
Positionpoints18th · 012th · 4
W–D–L3 games0–0–31–1–1
Goals for / againstper game0.00 / 4.001.67 / 2.33
xG / xGAper game0.73 / 2.242.15 / 2.16
Possession%4543.3
Shots / on targetper game8.7 / 2.717 / 5.7
2025-26 win rateW–D–L · promoted sides show second-tier record26.5% 9–11–1420.6% 7–11–16
Head-to-headW–D–L · since 2017-181–1–22–1–1

xG = expected goals · xGA = expected goals against · conceded minus xGA: Hamburg +1.76, Köln +0.17 (per game)

  • ManagersM. Polzin — league 37 games · 9W 11D 17L · win rate 24.3% · Rene Wagner — league 2 games · 1W 0D 1L · win rate 50.0% · first league meeting between the two managers
  • Last matchHamburg 6 days ago BL away Leipzig 0–5 · Köln 7 days ago BL home Bremen 1–1

Last five games

Hamburger SV

1W 1D 3L
Scored 4Conceded 13Clean sheets 1
Last five games
OpponentVenueResultxG
Leipzigaway0–5L1.10
Mainzhome0–5L0.19
Dortmundaway0–2L0.91
VerlPokalaway3–0W
Leverkusenaway1–1D1.79

FC Köln

2W 1D 2L
Scored 8Conceded 13Clean sheets 0
Last five games
OpponentVenueResultxG
Bremenhome1–1D1.65
Stuttgartaway1–4L2.86
Hoffenheimhome3–2W1.95
FC Wurzburger KickersPokalaway2–1W
Bayernaway1–5L0.98

Köln 14 straight games scoring · all competitions · no xG for cup and European games

Head-to-head

  1. Hamburg1–1Köln
  2. Köln4–1Hamburg
  3. Hamburg0–2Köln

Volksparkstadion H2H 2 games Hamburg 0W 1D 1L · since 2017-18 · green home win / red away win

Conditional data

Beneath the surface

Conditional records that the table, form and head-to-head do not show. Sample of 10 games or more.

  1. 4.2%September games Köln win rate24 games · 1W 8D 15L · usual 25.1%
  2. 29.4%Saturday 15:30 kick-off Hamburg win rate34 games · 10W 9D 15L · usual 24.0%
  3. 22.4%Forecast temperature band Köln win rate98 games · 22W 24D 52L · usual 25.1%
  4. 40.0%Temperature 20°C or more Hamburg win rate10 games · 4W 1D 5L · usual 24.0%
  5. 13.6%S. El Mala not scoring: Köln win rate22 games · 3W 4D 15L · scored in 14 games: 35.7% (5W 8D 1L) · since 2022-23

The other side. win rate after conceding first: Hamburg 18.2%, Köln 11.5%.

A. Timing and context win rate · sample · gap vs usual in percentage points

Timing and context
ConditionHamburgKöln
After a match Hamburg 6 days · Köln 7 days earlierwin rate · rest counts all competitions -4.0p10 games · 2W 5D 3L · usual 24.0% -0.5p69 games · 17W 23D 29L · usual 25.1%
Last game before an international breakwin rate · this match qualifiessample too small6 games · 2W 2D 2L · usual 24.0% -11.5p22 games · 3W 9D 10L · usual 25.1%
Saturday 15:30 kick-offwin rate · since 2017-18 +5.4p34 games · 10W 9D 15L · usual 24.0% -1.6p98 games · 23W 32D 43L · usual 25.1%
After last resultHamburg L / Köln D · since 2022-23 -2.0p19 games · 4W 5D 10L · usual 23.1% +3.8p35 games · 9W 9D 17L · usual 21.9%

B. Game management since 2022-23 · usual win rate Hamburg 23.1% (9W 11D 19L) / Köln 21.9% (23W 36D 46L)

Game management
itemsHamburgKöln
After scoring firstWin rate38.5%13 games · 5W 4D 4L43.2%37 games · 16W 14D 7L
After conceding firstWin rate18.2% -4.9p22 games · 4W 3D 15L · usual 23.1%11.5% -10.4p61 games · 7W 15D 39L · usual 21.9%
Leading at 75 minutesWin rate80.0%10 games · 8W 1D 1L80.0%20 games · 16W 4D 0L
Led but failed to win / won from behindgames8 / 422 / 8
Goals by substitutes% of team goals14.6 6/4122.2 28/126

C. Shots and defensive shape 2026-27 3 games this season, averages · last season shown as totals

Shots and defensive shape
itemsHamburgKöln
Shots inside / outside the boxper game4.7 / 412 / 5
Shots blockedper game2.35
Shots faced / on target / inside boxper game18.7 / 6.7 / 12.717 / 5.7 / 11.3
Keeper saves / goals preventedper game · goals prevented3 / -0.563.3 / -0.31

Order is always home team (Hamburg) then away team (Köln) · usual = the team's overall league win rate over the same window · ±p = percentage-point gap · fewer than 10 games shown faded and marked sample too small · the small W D L figures are the raw record behind each win rate (draws do not count as wins)

D. Win rate by player involvement League games only (cups and European games excluded) · all games since the player's first appearance for the club (from 2017-18 at the earliest) · pick a player to see the team's win rate when they started, came off the bench, or did not play, plus their record against this opponent · did not play = unused sub or not in the squad · fewer than 10 games shown faded

League games only · cups and Europe excluded · win rate = wins ÷ games

Started
Off the bench
Did not play

vs Köln · when playing

League games only · cups and Europe excluded · win rate = wins ÷ games

Started
Off the bench
Did not play

vs Hamburg · when playing

05How the numbers are compiled

Source
API-Football (fixtures, line-ups, events, stats) · Open-Meteo (weather, forecast) · Wikimedia (crests)
Sample
Bundesliga 2017-18 to 2026-27 · some conditions since 2022-23 · minimum 10 games (faded and marked below that)
Match scope
Conditional stats use league games only · last five games, streaks and rest days use all competitions · win rate = wins ÷ games · usual = league win rate over the same window · home team first
Updated
2026.09.18 03:45 UK

This article summarises historical match data. It does not predict, guarantee or recommend any outcome.

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