SC Paderborn 07 vs Hoffenheim
SC Paderborn 07 host Hoffenheim in Bundesliga matchweek 4: Sun 20 Sep, 19:30 CEST (21 Sep 02:30 KST) at Home Deluxe Arena. Referee not yet appointed at time of writing.
The last 2 league meetings: Paderborn 0 wins, 1 draw, Hoffenheim 1 wins; the most recent was Paderborn 1–1 Hoffenheim in 2020/05. Last five games in all competitions: Paderborn W2 D1 L2, Hoffenheim W2 D0 L3. Hoffenheim have won 26.5% (13W 15D 21L) of 49 games under the condition "League game right after a cup or European match", below their 37.5% over the same window. Hoffenheim have won 31.0% (9W 7D 13L) of 29 games under the condition "Last game before an international break", below their 37.5% over the same window.
Key numbers
| Metric / unit | Paderborn | Hoffenheim |
|---|---|---|
| Positionpoints | 15th · 1 | 13th · 3 |
| W–D–L3 games | 0–1–2 | 1–0–2 |
| Goals for / againstper game | 0.00 / 1.33 | 2.00 / 2.33 |
| xG / xGAper game | 0.66 / 1.41 | 1.94 / 2.04 |
| Possession% | 51 | 54 |
| Shots / on targetper game | 11.3 / 1 | 17.7 / 6 |
| 2025-26 win rateW–D–L · promoted sides show second-tier record | 50.0% 1–1–0 | 52.9% 18–7–9 |
| Head-to-headW–D–L · since 2017-18 | 0–1–1 | 1–1–0 |
xG = expected goals · xGA = expected goals against · conceded minus xGA: Paderborn -0.08, Hoffenheim +0.29 (per game)
- ManagersRalf Kettemann — league 5 games · 1W 2D 2L · win rate 20.0% · C. Ilzer — league 61 games · 24W 15D 22L · win rate 39.3% · first league meeting between the two managers
- Last matchPaderborn 8 days ago BL away Dortmund 0–3 · Hoffenheim 3 days ago UEL away OFI 0–2
Last five games
SC Paderborn 07
| Opponent | Venue | Result | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dortmund | away | 0–3L | 0.49 |
| Freiburg | home | 0–1L | 0.77 |
| Mainz | away | 0–0D | 0.73 |
| Phönix LübeckPokal | away | 4–2W | — |
| Wolfsburg | home | 2–1W | — |
Hoffenheim
| Opponent | Venue | Result | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| OFIUEL | away | 0–2L | — |
| Stuttgart | home | 2–1W | 2.76 |
| Dortmund | home | 2–3L | 1.17 |
| Köln | away | 2–3L | 1.88 |
| Erzgebirge AuePokal | away | 4–0W | — |
all competitions · no xG for cup and European games
Head-to-head
- Paderborn1–1Hoffenheim
- Hoffenheim3–0Paderborn
Full head-to-head record and fixture profile →
Home Deluxe Arena H2H 1 games Paderborn 0W 1D 0L · since 2017-18 · green home win / red away win
Conditional data
Conditional records that the table, form and head-to-head do not show. Sample of 10 games or more.
- 26.5%League game right after a cup or European match Hoffenheim win rate49 games · 13W 15D 21L · usual 37.5%
- 31.0%Last game before an international break Hoffenheim win rate29 games · 9W 7D 13L · usual 37.5%
- 25.0%Humidity 80% or more Paderborn win rate12 games · 3W 2D 7L · usual 12.8%
- 13.8%Forecast weather type Paderborn win rate29 games · 4W 9D 16L · usual 12.8%
- 24.7%A. Kramarić not scoring: Hoffenheim win rate93 games · 23W 21D 49L · scored in 38 games: 57.9% (22W 10D 6L) · since 2022-23
The other side. win rate after conceding first: Paderborn 33.3%, Hoffenheim 13.3%.
A. Timing and context win rate · sample · gap vs usual in percentage points
| Condition | Paderborn | Hoffenheim |
|---|---|---|
| After a match Paderborn 8 days · Hoffenheim 3 days earlierwin rate · rest counts all competitions · 8–14 and 15+ days grouped | sample too small6 games · 1W 1D 4L · usual 12.8% | -2.2p51 games · 18W 17D 16L · usual 37.5% |
| League game right after a cup or European matchwin rate · within 7 days · this match qualifies | — | -11.0p49 games · 13W 15D 21L · usual 37.5% |
| Last game before an international breakwin rate · this match qualifies | sample too small3 games · 0W 0D 3L · usual 12.8% | -6.5p29 games · 9W 7D 13L · usual 37.5% |
| Sunday 19:30 kick-offwin rate · since 2017-18 | — | sample too small7 games · 1W 5D 1L · usual 37.5% |
| After last resultPaderborn L / Hoffenheim W · since 2022-23 | sample too small2 games · 0W 1D 1L · usual 20.0% | +2.2p48 games · 18W 12D 18L · usual 35.3% |
| Forecast: clearWin rate · Paderborn home / Hoffenheim away | sample too small4 games · 1W 0D 3L · usual 12.8% | +0.0p24 games · 9W 10D 5L · usual 37.5% |
| Temperature 20°C or morewin rate · forecast 16.4°C | -4.5p12 games · 1W 2D 9L · usual 12.8% | +7.4p49 games · 22W 5D 22L · usual 37.5% |
| Humidity 80% or morewin rate · forecast 57% | +12.2p12 games · 3W 2D 7L · usual 12.8% | -3.4p91 games · 31W 29D 31L · usual 37.5% |
| Rain or drizzleWin rate | -2.8p10 games · 1W 1D 8L · usual 12.8% | +1.6p69 games · 27W 15D 27L · usual 37.5% |
| September gamesWin rate | sample too small5 games · 0W 0D 5L · usual 12.8% | +6.3p32 games · 14W 6D 12L · usual 37.5% |
B. Game management since 2022-23 · usual win rate Paderborn 20.0% (1W 2D 2L) / Hoffenheim 35.3% (49W 31D 59L)
| items | Paderborn | Hoffenheim |
|---|---|---|
| After conceding firstWin rate | 33.3%sample too small3 games · 1W 0D 2L · usual 20.0% | 13.3% -22.0p75 games · 10W 17D 48L · usual 35.3% |
| Leading at 75 minutesWin rate | —0 games | 88.2%51 games · 45W 5D 1L |
| Led but failed to win / won from behindgames | 0 / 1 | 23 / 11 |
| Goals by substitutes% of team goals | 0.0 0/2 | 11.6 26/224 |
| Games with 3+ yellow cardsWin rate | sample too small3 games · 1W 1D 1L · usual 12.8% | -2.0p62 games · 22W 10D 30L · usual 37.5% |
| Penalties won / concededper game | 0.00 / 0.00 | 0.17 / 0.11 |
| Goals for / against from 76th minute% of all goals | 50.0 / 40.0 | 19.0 / 22.8 |
| Failed to score / clean sheets% | 80.0 / 40.0 | 18.0 / 12.9 |
C. Shots and defensive shape 2026-27 3 games this season, averages · last season shown as totals
| items | Paderborn | Hoffenheim |
|---|---|---|
| Shots inside / outside the boxper game | 5.7 / 5.7 | 10.3 / 7.3 |
| Shots blockedper game | 3.7 | 4.7 |
| Shots faced / on target / inside boxper game | 17 / 5.7 / 11 | 15 / 5 / 12 |
| Keeper saves / goals preventedper game · goals prevented | 4.3 / 0.42 | 3 / -0.04 |
| Corners won / concededper game | 3.3 / 7.3 | 7.3 / 5.3 |
| Offsides / fouls wonper game | 1.3 / 9.7 | 1.5 / 8.7 |
| Passes / accuracyper game / % | 486 / 83 | 457 / 79.7 |
Order is always home team (Paderborn) then away team (Hoffenheim) · usual = the team's overall league win rate over the same window · ±p = percentage-point gap · fewer than 10 games shown faded and marked sample too small · the small W D L figures are the raw record behind each win rate (draws do not count as wins)
D. Win rate by player involvement League games only (cups and European games excluded) · all games since the player's first appearance for the club (from 2017-18 at the earliest) · pick a player to see the team's win rate when they started, came off the bench, or did not play, plus their record against this opponent · did not play = unused sub or not in the squad · fewer than 10 games shown faded
League games only · cups and Europe excluded · win rate = wins ÷ games
vs Hoffenheim · when playing —
Games: · · ·
League games only · cups and Europe excluded · win rate = wins ÷ games
vs Paderborn · when playing —
Games: · · ·
05How the numbers are compiled
- Source
- API-Football (fixtures, line-ups, events, stats) · Open-Meteo (weather, forecast) · Wikimedia (crests)
- Sample
- Bundesliga 2017-18 to 2026-27 · some conditions since 2022-23 · minimum 10 games (faded and marked below that)
- Match scope
- Conditional stats use league games only · last five games, streaks and rest days use all competitions · win rate = wins ÷ games · usual = league win rate over the same window · home team first
- Updated
- 2026.09.20 14:18 UK
This article summarises historical match data. It does not predict, guarantee or recommend any outcome.