Newcastle vs Aston Villa
Full time
Newcastle0–1Villa
GoalsVilla J. Manzambi 36'
Kicked off 2026.10.17. The data below is as it stood before kick-off and has not been edited to match the result. See the full head-to-head record
Newcastle host Aston Villa in Premier League matchweek 7: Sat 17 Oct, 17:30 BST (18 Oct 01:30 KST) at St. James’ Park. Referee not yet appointed at time of writing.
The last 10 league meetings: Newcastle 5 wins, 1 draw, Villa 4 wins; the most recent was Newcastle 0–2 Villa in 2026/01. Last five games in all competitions: Newcastle W2 D1 L2, Villa W3 D1 L1. Villa have won 56.9% (41W 12D 19L) of 72 games under the condition "After a match 3 days earlier", above their 42.3% over the same window. Villa have won 55.6% (15W 5D 7L) of 27 games under the condition "Saturday 17:30 kick-off", above their 42.3% over the same window.
Key numbers
| Metric / unit | Newcastle | Villa |
|---|---|---|
| Positionpoints | 11th · 8 | 16th · 5 |
| W–D–L6 games | 2–2–2 | 1–2–3 |
| Goals for / againstper game | 1.67 / 2.17 | 1.00 / 1.83 |
| xG / xGAper game | 1.22 / 1.75 | 1.13 / 1.74 |
| Possession% | 51.8 | 47 |
| Shots / on targetper game | 11.7 / 4 | 11.3 / 3.2 |
| 2025-26 win rateW–D–L · promoted sides show second-tier record | 36.8% 14–7–17 | 50.0% 19–8–11 |
| Head-to-headW–D–L · since 2017-18 | 5–3–6 | 6–3–5 |
xG = expected goals · xGA = expected goals against · conceded minus xGA: Newcastle +0.42, Villa +0.09 (per game)
- ManagersMatthias Jaissle — league 6 games · 2W 2D 2L · win rate 33.3% · Unai Emery — league 145 games · 74W 31D 40L · win rate 51.0% · first league meeting between the two managers
- Last matchNewcastle 5 days ago PL away Coventry 1–4 · Villa 3 days ago UCL home Fenerbahçe 6–0
Last five games
Newcastle
| Opponent | Venue | Result | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Coventry | away | 1–4L | 1.85 |
| Hull | home | 2–1W | — |
| Leeds | away | 1–4L | — |
| MillwallEFL Cup | away | 1–0W | — |
| Bournemouth | home | 2–2D | 0.71 |
Aston Villa
| Opponent | Venue | Result | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| FenerbahçeUCL | home | 6–0W | 3.15 |
| Brentford | home | 2–2D | 2.28 |
| Spurs | away | 3–2W | — |
| CoventryEFL Cup | away | 3–1W | — |
| Forest | home | 1–2L | 0.82 |
Newcastle 8 straight games scoring · Newcastle league home 5 unbeaten · all competitions · no xG for cup and European games
Head-to-head
- Newcastle0–2Villa
- Villa0–0Newcastle
- Villa4–1Newcastle
- Newcastle3–0Villa
- Villa1–3Newcastle
- Newcastle5–1Villa
- Villa3–0Newcastle
- Newcastle4–0Villa
- Newcastle1–0Villa
- Villa2–0Newcastle
Full head-to-head record and fixture profile →
St. James' Park H2H 7 games Newcastle 4W 2D 1L · since 2017-18 · green home win / red away win
| H2H 14 games (since 2017-18) | Value |
|---|---|
| Goals per game | 2.71 |
| Games with 3+ goalsshare % | 42.9 |
| Both teams scoredshare % | 35.7 |
| Average time of first goalmin | 30.4 |
| Goalless at half-timeshare % | 21.4 |
| Goals from 76th minute38 goals, % | 21.1 |
| Yellow cards per game | 4.07 |
| Red cards / penalties14 games total | 2 / 2 |
Conditional data
Conditional records that the table, form and head-to-head do not show. Sample of 10 games or more.
- 56.9%After a match 3 days earlier Villa win rate72 games · 41W 12D 19L · usual 42.3%
- 55.6%Saturday 17:30 kick-off Villa win rate27 games · 15W 5D 7L · usual 42.3%
- 20.0%Temperature 20°C or more Newcastle win rate20 games · 4W 8D 8L · usual 38.2%
- 55.2%Saturday games Villa win rate67 games · 37W 15D 15L · usual 48.7% · since 2022-23
- 40.5%H. Barnes not scoring: Newcastle win rate79 games · 32W 16D 31L · scored in 18 games: 66.7% (12W 3D 3L) · since 2022-23
The other side. win rate after conceding first: Newcastle 16.4%, Villa 21.6% · F. Schär vs this opponent 10 games 3 goals.
A. Timing and context win rate · sample · gap vs usual in percentage points
| Condition | Newcastle | Villa |
|---|---|---|
| After a match Newcastle 5 days · Villa 3 days earlierwin rate · rest counts all competitions | +10.2p31 games · 15W 7D 9L · usual 38.2% | +14.6p72 games · 41W 12D 19L · usual 42.3% |
| League game right after a cup or European matchwin rate · within 7 days · this match qualifies | — | +4.8p68 games · 32W 16D 20L · usual 42.3% |
| Saturday 17:30 kick-offwin rate · since 2017-18 | -6.8p35 games · 11W 9D 15L · usual 38.2% | +13.3p27 games · 15W 5D 7L · usual 42.3% |
| After last resultNewcastle L / Villa D · since 2022-23 | +2.8p49 games · 24W 8D 17L · usual 46.2% | -0.2p33 games · 16W 5D 12L · usual 48.7% |
| Forecast: clearWin rate · Newcastle home / Villa away | +6.6p29 games · 13W 7D 9L · usual 38.2% | +2.1p18 games · 8W 4D 6L · usual 42.3% |
| Temperature 20°C or morewin rate · forecast 11.1°C | -18.2p20 games · 4W 8D 8L · usual 38.2% | -9.0p24 games · 8W 4D 12L · usual 42.3% |
| Humidity 80% or morewin rate · forecast 49% | +0.5p163 games · 63W 33D 67L · usual 38.2% | -1.1p114 games · 47W 22D 45L · usual 42.3% |
| Rain or drizzleWin rate | +5.0p88 games · 38W 14D 36L · usual 38.2% | -1.1p68 games · 28W 10D 30L · usual 42.3% |
| October gamesWin rate | -4.9p33 games · 11W 10D 12L · usual 38.2% | +0.0p26 games · 11W 6D 9L · usual 42.3% |
| Manager vs this opponentwin rate · all clubs | — | 60.0% +11.3p10 games · 6W 1D 3L · usual 48.7% |
B. Game management since 2022-23 · usual win rate Newcastle 46.2% (73W 35D 50L) / Villa 48.7% (77W 34D 47L)
| items | Newcastle | Villa |
|---|---|---|
| After scoring firstWin rate | 74.1%85 games · 63W 11D 11L | 79.2%77 games · 61W 9D 7L |
| After conceding firstWin rate | 16.4% -29.8p61 games · 10W 12D 39L · usual 46.2% | 21.6% -27.1p74 games · 16W 18D 40L · usual 48.7% |
| Leading at 75 minutesWin rate | 86.1%72 games · 62W 7D 3L | 93.8%64 games · 60W 3D 1L |
| Led but failed to win / won from behindgames | 26 / 11 | 21 / 16 |
| Goals by substitutes% of team goals | 13.0 36/276 | 16.9 40/236 |
| Games with 3+ yellow cardsWin rate | -2.6p45 games · 16W 12D 17L · usual 38.2% | +10.2p59 games · 31W 11D 17L · usual 42.3% |
| Penalties won / concededper game | 0.17 / 0.09 | 0.08 / 0.06 |
| Goals for / against from 76th minute% of all goals | 21.5 / 25.7 | 23.1 / 22.8 |
| Failed to score / clean sheets% | 20.3 / 29.1 | 21.5 / 24.7 |
C. Shots and defensive shape 2026-27 6 games this season, averages · last season shown as totals
| items | Newcastle | Villa |
|---|---|---|
| Shots inside / outside the boxper game | 7 / 4.7 | 7.5 / 3.8 |
| Shots blockedper game | 2.7 | 3 |
| Shots faced / on target / inside boxper game | 17.8 / 5.7 / 10.5 | 15.8 / 5 / 10.3 |
| Keeper saves / goals preventedper game · goals prevented | 3.5 / 0.05 | 3.5 / 0.10 |
| Corners won / concededper game | 4.7 / 5.3 | 2.8 / 4.3 |
| Offsides / fouls wonper game | 2.3 / 11.3 | 1.2 / 12.8 |
| Passes / accuracyper game / % | 436 / 80.7 | 406 / 81.8 |
| 2025-26 xG → goalsseason total | 57.1 → 53 -4.1 | 48.2 → 56 +7.8 |
| 2025-26 xGA → concededseason total | 51.3 → 55 +3.7 | 54.0 → 49 -5.0 |
Order is always home team (Newcastle) then away team (Villa) · usual = the team's overall league win rate over the same window · ±p = percentage-point gap · fewer than 10 games shown faded and marked sample too small · the small W D L figures are the raw record behind each win rate (draws do not count as wins)
D. Win rate by player involvement League games only (cups and European games excluded) · all games since the player's first appearance for the club (from 2017-18 at the earliest) · pick a player to see the team's win rate when they started, came off the bench, or did not play, plus their record against this opponent · did not play = unused sub or not in the squad · fewer than 10 games shown faded
League games only · cups and Europe excluded · win rate = wins ÷ games
vs Villa · when playing —
Games: · · ·
League games only · cups and Europe excluded · win rate = wins ÷ games
vs Newcastle · when playing —
Games: · · ·
05How the numbers are compiled
- Source
- API-Football (fixtures, line-ups, events, stats) · Open-Meteo (weather, forecast) · Wikimedia (crests)
- Sample
- Premier League 2017-18 to 2026-27 · some conditions since 2022-23 · minimum 10 games (faded and marked below that)
- Match scope
- Conditional stats use league games only · last five games, streaks and rest days use all competitions · win rate = wins ÷ games · usual = league win rate over the same window · home team first
- Updated
- 2026.10.16 18:44 UK
This article summarises historical match data. It does not predict, guarantee or recommend any outcome.