Leeds vs Manchester United
Full time
Leeds1–1Man Utd
GoalsLeeds D. Calvert-Lewin 51'Man Utd B. Mbeumo 35'
Kicked off 2026.10.18. The data below is as it stood before kick-off and has not been edited to match the result. See the full head-to-head record
Leeds host Manchester United in Premier League matchweek 7: Sun 18 Oct, 14:00 BST (18 Oct 22:00 KST) at Elland Road. Referee not yet appointed at time of writing.
The last 8 league meetings: Leeds 1 wins, 3 draws, Man Utd 4 wins; the most recent was Man Utd 1–2 Leeds in 2026/04. Last five games in all competitions: Leeds W1 D2 L2, Man Utd W0 D2 L3. Leeds have won 16.0% (4W 5D 16L) of 25 games under the condition "After a match 8–14 days earlier", below their 29.7% over the same window. Leeds have won 9.1% (2W 8D 12L) of 22 games under the condition "Sunday games", below their 24.4% over the same window.
Key numbers
| Metric / unit | Leeds | Man Utd |
|---|---|---|
| Positionpoints | 7th · 9 | 13th · 6 |
| W–D–L6 games | 2–3–1 | 1–3–2 |
| Goals for / againstper game | 1.33 / 0.83 | 1.50 / 1.50 |
| xG / xGAper game | 1.26 / 1.71 | 1.78 / 1.35 |
| Possession% | 44.7 | 58.2 |
| Shots / on targetper game | 12 / 3.8 | 20.8 / 5.3 |
| 2025-26 win rateW–D–L · promoted sides show second-tier record | 28.9% 11–14–13 | 52.6% 20–11–7 |
| Head-to-headW–D–L · since 2017-18 | 1–3–4 | 4–3–1 |
xG = expected goals · xGA = expected goals against · conceded minus xGA: Leeds -0.88, Man Utd +0.15 (per game)
- ManagersD. Farke — league 44 games · 13W 17D 14L · win rate 29.5% · Michael Carrick — league 42 games · 21W 13D 8L · win rate 50.0% · manager duel 1W 1D 0L (Leeds perspective)
- Last matchLeeds 8 days ago PL away Arsenal 1–2 · Man Utd 5 days ago UCL away Atlético 0–2
Last five games
Leeds
| Opponent | Venue | Result | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | away | 1–2L | 0.62 |
| Palace | home | 0–0D | — |
| Newcastle | home | 4–1W | — |
| ChelseaEFL Cup | away | 3–6L | — |
| Brighton | away | 1–1D | 2.49 |
Manchester United
| Opponent | Venue | Result | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| AtléticoUCL | away | 0–2L | 0.98 |
| Spurs | home | 1–1D | 0.80 |
| Fulham | away | 1–1D | — |
| BrightonEFL Cup | home | 2–3L | — |
| Man City | home | 0–1L | 1.00 |
Leeds league home 7 unbeaten · Man Utd 5 without a win · all competitions · no xG for cup and European games
Head-to-head
- Man Utd1–2Leeds
- Leeds1–1Man Utd
- Leeds0–2Man Utd
- Man Utd2–2Leeds
- Leeds2–4Man Utd
- Man Utd5–1Leeds
- Leeds0–0Man Utd
- Man Utd6–2Leeds
Full head-to-head record and fixture profile →
Elland Road H2H 4 games Leeds 0W 2D 2L · since 2017-18 · green home win / red away win
| H2H 8 games (since 2017-18) | Value |
|---|---|
| Goals per game | 3.88 |
| Games with 3+ goalsshare % | 62.5 |
| Both teams scoredshare % | 75.0 |
| Average time of first goalmin | 30.6 |
| Goalless at half-timeshare % | 37.5 |
| Goals from 76th minute31 goals, % | 9.7 |
| Yellow cards per game | 3.88 |
| Red cards / penalties8 games total | 1 / 1 |
Conditional data
Conditional records that the table, form and head-to-head do not show. Sample of 10 games or more.
- 16.0%After a match 8–14 days earlier Leeds win rate25 games · 4W 5D 16L · usual 29.7%
- 9.1%Sunday games Leeds win rate22 games · 2W 8D 12L · usual 24.4% · since 2022-23
- 53.6%Humidity 80% or more Man Utd win rate166 games · 89W 39D 38L · usual 49.4%
- 53.1%Rain or drizzle Man Utd win rate98 games · 52W 24D 22L · usual 49.4%
- 15.4%D. Calvert-Lewin not scoring: Leeds win rate26 games · 4W 11D 11L · scored in 15 games: 53.3% (8W 5D 2L) · since 2022-23
The other side. win rate after conceding first: Leeds 7.7%, Man Utd 21.1%.
A. Timing and context win rate · sample · gap vs usual in percentage points
| Condition | Leeds | Man Utd |
|---|---|---|
| After a match Leeds 8 days · Man Utd 5 days earlierwin rate · rest counts all competitions · 8–14 and 15+ days grouped | -13.7p25 games · 4W 5D 16L · usual 29.7% | -4.4p40 games · 18W 11D 11L · usual 49.4% |
| League game right after a cup or European matchwin rate · within 7 days · this match qualifies | — | -5.3p118 games · 52W 31D 35L · usual 49.4% |
| Sunday 14:00 kick-offwin rate · since 2017-18 | -8.3p28 games · 6W 10D 12L · usual 29.7% | -6.2p44 games · 19W 12D 13L · usual 49.4% |
| After last resultLeeds L / Man Utd D · since 2022-23 | +5.0p34 games · 10W 10D 14L · usual 24.4% | +3.8p34 games · 17W 5D 12L · usual 46.2% |
| Forecast: partly cloudyWin rate · Leeds home / Man Utd away | sample too small5 games · 1W 2D 2L · usual 29.7% | -3.9p11 games · 5W 4D 2L · usual 49.4% |
| Temperature 20°C or morewin rate · forecast 10.9°C | sample too small7 games · 2W 2D 3L · usual 29.7% | -19.0p23 games · 7W 5D 11L · usual 49.4% |
| Humidity 80% or morewin rate · forecast 69% | +4.7p64 games · 22W 13D 29L · usual 29.7% | +4.2p166 games · 89W 39D 38L · usual 49.4% |
| Rain or drizzleWin rate | -4.2p51 games · 13W 12D 26L · usual 29.7% | +3.7p98 games · 52W 24D 22L · usual 49.4% |
| October gamesWin rate | -0.3p17 games · 5W 3D 9L · usual 29.7% | -2.5p32 games · 15W 9D 8L · usual 49.4% |
| Manager vs this opponentwin rate · all clubs | 25.0%sample too small4 games · 1W 1D 2L · usual 24.4% | 0.0%sample too small2 games · 0W 1D 1L · usual 46.2% |
B. Game management since 2022-23 · usual win rate Leeds 24.4% (20W 27D 35L) / Man Utd 46.2% (73W 35D 50L)
| items | Leeds | Man Utd |
|---|---|---|
| After scoring firstWin rate | 48.6%35 games · 17W 9D 9L | 72.5%80 games · 58W 18D 4L |
| After conceding firstWin rate | 7.7% -16.7p39 games · 3W 10D 26L · usual 24.4% | 21.1% -25.1p71 games · 15W 10D 46L · usual 46.2% |
| Leading at 75 minutesWin rate | 72.2%18 games · 13W 5D 0L | 85.7%63 games · 54W 8D 1L |
| Led but failed to win / won from behindgames | 19 / 4 | 25 / 15 |
| Goals by substitutes% of team goals | 12.0 12/100 | 13.5 31/229 |
| Games with 3+ yellow cardsWin rate | -19.7p30 games · 3W 14D 13L · usual 29.7% | -12.4p54 games · 20W 11D 23L · usual 49.4% |
| Penalties won / concededper game | 0.09 / 0.13 | 0.11 / 0.11 |
| Goals for / against from 76th minute% of all goals | 22.9 / 24.5 | 29.1 / 25.7 |
| Failed to score / clean sheets% | 28.0 / 18.3 | 23.4 / 27.8 |
C. Shots and defensive shape 2026-27 6 games this season, averages · last season shown as totals
| items | Leeds | Man Utd |
|---|---|---|
| Shots inside / outside the boxper game | 8 / 4 | 11.8 / 9 |
| Shots blockedper game | 4.5 | 7.7 |
| Shots faced / on target / inside boxper game | 14.3 / 4.5 / 8.3 | 10.8 / 4.3 / 7.7 |
| Keeper saves / goals preventedper game · goals prevented | 4 / 0.07 | 3 / -0.30 |
| Corners won / concededper game | 4.3 / 4.3 | 6.7 / 3.8 |
| Offsides / fouls wonper game | 2.5 / 13 | 2 / 10.7 |
| Passes / accuracyper game / % | 359 / 73.5 | 550 / 86.8 |
| 2025-26 xG → goalsseason total | 54.2 → 49 -5.2 | 65.3 → 69 +3.7 |
| 2025-26 xGA → concededseason total | 55.7 → 56 +0.3 | 48.6 → 50 +1.4 |
Order is always home team (Leeds) then away team (Man Utd) · usual = the team's overall league win rate over the same window · ±p = percentage-point gap · fewer than 10 games shown faded and marked sample too small · the small W D L figures are the raw record behind each win rate (draws do not count as wins)
D. Win rate by player involvement League games only (cups and European games excluded) · all games since the player's first appearance for the club (from 2017-18 at the earliest) · pick a player to see the team's win rate when they started, came off the bench, or did not play, plus their record against this opponent · did not play = unused sub or not in the squad · fewer than 10 games shown faded
League games only · cups and Europe excluded · win rate = wins ÷ games
vs Man Utd · when playing —
Games: · · ·
League games only · cups and Europe excluded · win rate = wins ÷ games
vs Leeds · when playing —
Games: · · ·
05How the numbers are compiled
- Source
- API-Football (fixtures, line-ups, events, stats) · Open-Meteo (weather, forecast) · Wikimedia (crests)
- Sample
- Premier League 2017-18 to 2026-27 · some conditions since 2022-23 · minimum 10 games (faded and marked below that)
- Match scope
- Conditional stats use league games only · last five games, streaks and rest days use all competitions · win rate = wins ÷ games · usual = league win rate over the same window · home team first
- Updated
- 2026.10.16 18:44 UK
This article summarises historical match data. It does not predict, guarantee or recommend any outcome.