Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal
Full time
Forest0–1Arsenal
GoalsArsenal N. Madueke 80'
Kicked off 2026.10.18. The data below is as it stood before kick-off and has not been edited to match the result. See the full head-to-head record
Nottingham Forest host Arsenal in Premier League matchweek 7: Sun 18 Oct, 16:30 BST (19 Oct 00:30 KST) at City Ground. Referee not yet appointed at time of writing.
The last 8 league meetings: Forest 1 wins, 2 draws, Arsenal 5 wins; the most recent was Forest 0–0 Arsenal in 2026/01. Last five games in all competitions: Forest W1 D2 L2, Arsenal W4 D0 L1. Arsenal have won 44.7% (17W 6D 15L) of 38 games under the condition "Forecast: drizzle", below their 57.2% over the same window. Arsenal have won 48.3% (70W 37D 38L) of 145 games under the condition "Humidity 80% or more", below their 57.2% over the same window.
Key numbers
| Metric / unit | Forest | Arsenal |
|---|---|---|
| Positionpoints | 15th · 5 | 2nd · 15 |
| W–D–L6 games | 1–2–3 | 5–0–1 |
| Goals for / againstper game | 0.83 / 1.33 | 1.67 / 0.83 |
| xG / xGAper game | 1.90 / 1.30 | 1.84 / 0.67 |
| Possession% | 49 | 59.2 |
| Shots / on targetper game | 17.7 / 3.8 | 13 / 5 |
| 2025-26 win rateW–D–L · promoted sides show second-tier record | 28.9% 11–11–16 | 68.4% 26–7–5 |
| Head-to-headW–D–L · since 2017-18 | 1–2–5 | 5–2–1 |
xG = expected goals · xGA = expected goals against · conceded minus xGA: Forest +0.03, Arsenal +0.16 (per game)
- ManagersO. Glasner — league 6 games · 1W 2D 3L · win rate 16.7% · Mikel Arteta — league 253 games · 153W 48D 52L · win rate 60.5% · manager duel 0W 1D 3L (Forest perspective)
- Last matchForest 7 days ago PL away Palace 1–3 · Arsenal 5 days ago UCL home Lille 3–0
Last five games
Nottingham Forest
| Opponent | Venue | Result | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Palace | away | 1–3L | 3.34 |
| Coventry | home | 0–1L | — |
| Villa | away | 2–1W | 2.28 |
| Spurs | home | 0–0D | 0.92 |
| Liverpool | away | 2–2D | 2.30 |
Arsenal
| Opponent | Venue | Result | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| LilleUCL | home | 3–0W | 1.70 |
| Leeds | home | 2–1W | 2.33 |
| Brighton | away | 0–3L | — |
| IpswichEFL Cup | away | 4–2W | — |
| Sunderland | away | 2–0W | 1.88 |
all competitions · no xG for cup and European games
Head-to-head
- Forest0–0Arsenal
- Arsenal3–0Forest
- Forest0–0Arsenal
- Arsenal3–0Forest
- Forest1–2Arsenal
- Arsenal2–1Forest
- Forest1–0Arsenal
- Arsenal5–0Forest
Full head-to-head record and fixture profile →
City Ground H2H 4 games Forest 1W 2D 1L · since 2017-18 · green home win / red away win
| H2H 8 games (since 2017-18) | Value |
|---|---|
| Goals per game | 2.25 |
| Games with 3+ goalsshare % | 62.5 |
| Both teams scoredshare % | 25.0 |
| Average time of first goalmin | 27 |
| Goalless at half-timeshare % | 37.5 |
| Goals from 76th minute18 goals, % | 27.8 |
| Yellow cards per game | 2.75 |
| Red cards / penalties8 games total | 0 / 0 |
Conditional data
Conditional records that the table, form and head-to-head do not show. Sample of 10 games or more.
- 44.7%Forecast: drizzle Arsenal away win rate38 games · 17W 6D 15L · usual 57.2%
- 48.3%Humidity 80% or more Arsenal win rate145 games · 70W 37D 38L · usual 57.2%
- 49.5%Forecast weather type Arsenal win rate91 games · 45W 21D 25L · usual 57.2%
- 49.5%Rain or drizzle Arsenal win rate91 games · 45W 21D 25L · usual 57.2%
- 62.4%B. Saka not scoring: Arsenal win rate93 games · 58W 22D 13L · scored in 42 games: 78.6% (33W 6D 3L) · since 2022-23
The other side. win rate after conceding first: Forest 8.9%, Arsenal 33.3% · B. Saka vs this opponent 6 games 3 goals.
A. Timing and context win rate · sample · gap vs usual in percentage points
| Condition | Forest | Arsenal |
|---|---|---|
| After a match Forest 7 days · Arsenal 5 days earlierwin rate · rest counts all competitions | +8.3p28 games · 11W 6D 11L · usual 31.0% | -8.5p39 games · 19W 10D 10L · usual 57.2% |
| League game right after a cup or European matchwin rate · within 7 days · this match qualifies | — | -1.2p134 games · 75W 31D 28L · usual 57.2% |
| Sunday 16:30 kick-offwin rate · since 2017-18 | sample too small8 games · 1W 3D 4L · usual 31.0% | -2.0p67 games · 37W 14D 16L · usual 57.2% |
| After last resultForest L / Arsenal W · since 2022-23 | -4.1p67 games · 18W 21D 28L · usual 31.0% | +3.0p105 games · 73W 20D 12L · usual 66.5% |
| Forecast: drizzleWin rate · Forest home / Arsenal away | -3.7p11 games · 3W 5D 3L · usual 31.0% | -12.5p38 games · 17W 6D 15L · usual 57.2% |
| Temperature 20°C or morewin rate · forecast 10.5°C | -7.5p17 games · 4W 7D 6L · usual 31.0% | +13.4p34 games · 24W 3D 7L · usual 57.2% |
| Humidity 80% or morewin rate · forecast 74% | +7.2p55 games · 21W 14D 20L · usual 31.0% | -8.9p145 games · 70W 37D 38L · usual 57.2% |
| Rain or drizzleWin rate | -4.5p34 games · 9W 9D 16L · usual 31.0% | -7.7p91 games · 45W 21D 25L · usual 57.2% |
| October gamesWin rate | -13.4p17 games · 3W 6D 8L · usual 31.0% | +5.3p32 games · 20W 7D 5L · usual 57.2% |
| Manager vs this opponentwin rate · all clubs | 0.0%sample too small4 games · 0W 1D 3L · usual 31.0% | 62.5%sample too small8 games · 5W 2D 1L · usual 66.5% |
B. Game management since 2022-23 · usual win rate Forest 31.0% (49W 41D 68L) / Arsenal 66.5% (105W 32D 21L)
| items | Forest | Arsenal |
|---|---|---|
| After scoring firstWin rate | 58.3%72 games · 42W 18D 12L | 82.7%110 games · 91W 16D 3L |
| After conceding firstWin rate | 8.9% -22.1p79 games · 7W 16D 56L · usual 31.0% | 33.3% -33.2p42 games · 14W 10D 18L · usual 66.5% |
| Leading at 75 minutesWin rate | 83.0%53 games · 44W 7D 2L | 92.6%94 games · 87W 7D 0L |
| Led but failed to win / won from behindgames | 35 / 7 | 22 / 15 |
| Goals by substitutes% of team goals | 10.3 20/194 | 13.7 43/315 |
| Games with 3+ yellow cardsWin rate | +1.7p49 games · 16W 12D 21L · usual 31.0% | -7.2p26 games · 13W 10D 3L · usual 57.2% |
| Penalties won / concededper game | 0.07 / 0.11 | 0.13 / 0.06 |
| Goals for / against from 76th minute% of all goals | 19.7 / 24.6 | 19.4 / 21.0 |
| Failed to score / clean sheets% | 29.7 / 22.2 | 11.4 / 42.4 |
C. Shots and defensive shape 2026-27 6 games this season, averages · last season shown as totals
| items | Forest | Arsenal |
|---|---|---|
| Shots inside / outside the boxper game | 10.7 / 7 | 9 / 4 |
| Shots blockedper game | 5.7 | 4.2 |
| Shots faced / on target / inside boxper game | 10.8 / 3.7 / 7.3 | 10.7 / 3.2 / 5.5 |
| Keeper saves / goals preventedper game · goals prevented | 2.5 / 0.19 | 2.2 / 0.24 |
| Corners won / concededper game | 4.2 / 4.7 | 4.5 / 3.3 |
| Offsides / fouls wonper game | 2 / 12.2 | 4.5 / 16.2 |
| Passes / accuracyper game / % | 396 / 78 | 503 / 86.6 |
| 2025-26 xG → goalsseason total | 46.0 → 48 +2.0 | 65.3 → 71 +5.7 |
| 2025-26 xGA → concededseason total | 57.0 → 51 -6.0 | 28.5 → 27 -1.5 |
Order is always home team (Forest) then away team (Arsenal) · usual = the team's overall league win rate over the same window · ±p = percentage-point gap · fewer than 10 games shown faded and marked sample too small · the small W D L figures are the raw record behind each win rate (draws do not count as wins)
D. Win rate by player involvement League games only (cups and European games excluded) · all games since the player's first appearance for the club (from 2017-18 at the earliest) · pick a player to see the team's win rate when they started, came off the bench, or did not play, plus their record against this opponent · did not play = unused sub or not in the squad · fewer than 10 games shown faded
League games only · cups and Europe excluded · win rate = wins ÷ games
vs Arsenal · when playing —
Games: · · ·
League games only · cups and Europe excluded · win rate = wins ÷ games
vs Forest · when playing —
Games: · · ·
05How the numbers are compiled
- Source
- API-Football (fixtures, line-ups, events, stats) · Open-Meteo (weather, forecast) · Wikimedia (crests)
- Sample
- Premier League 2017-18 to 2026-27 · some conditions since 2022-23 · minimum 10 games (faded and marked below that)
- Match scope
- Conditional stats use league games only · last five games, streaks and rest days use all competitions · win rate = wins ÷ games · usual = league win rate over the same window · home team first
- Updated
- 2026.10.16 18:44 UK
This article summarises historical match data. It does not predict, guarantee or recommend any outcome.