Ulsan HD vs Incheon United
Full time
Ulsan2–1Incheon
GoalsUlsan Jung Seung-Hyun 53' · Lee Dong-Kyung 56'Incheon S. Mugoša 73' (PK)
Kicked off 2026.09.12. The data below is as it stood before kick-off and has not been edited to match the result. See the full head-to-head record
Ulsan HD host Incheon United in K League 1 matchweek 29: Sat 12 Sep, 16:30 KST (12 Sep 16:30 KST) at Ulsan Munsu Football Stadium. Referee not yet appointed at time of writing.
The last 10 league meetings: Ulsan 3 wins, 4 draws, Incheon 3 wins; the most recent was Ulsan 2–1 Incheon in 2026/09. Last five games in all competitions: Ulsan W2 D1 L2, Incheon W2 D1 L2. Ulsan have won 48.1% of 189 games under the condition "Temperature 20°C or more", below their 52.5% over the same window. Ulsan have won 38.9% of 36 games under the condition "September games", below their 52.5% over the same window.
Key numbers
| Metric / unit | Ulsan | Incheon |
|---|---|---|
| Positionpoints | 2nd · 47 | 7th · 37 |
| W–D–L29 games | 14–5–10 | 10–7–11 |
| Goals for / againstper game | 1.52 / 1.31 | 1.25 / 1.14 |
| xG / xGAper game | 1.39 / 1.73 | 1.97 / 0.45 |
| Possession% | 46 | 53.5 |
| Shots / on targetper game | 12.6 / 4.1 | 12.6 / 3.9 |
| 2025 win rateW–D–L · promoted sides show second-tier record | 28.9% 11–11–16 | 59.0% 23–9–7 |
| Head-to-headW–D–L · since 2017-18 | 11–10–4 | 4–10–11 |
xG = expected goals · xGA = expected goals against · conceded minus xGA: Ulsan -0.42, Incheon +0.69 (per game)
- Ulsan outnone · as of 2026-09-14
- Incheon outnone
- ManagersHyun-seok Kim — league 27 games win rate 44.4% · Jong-Hwan Yoon — league 26 games win rate 34.6% · manager duel 1W 0D 1L (Ulsan perspective)
- Last matchUlsan 4 days ago K1 home Seoul 1–0 · Incheon 4 days ago K1 home Bucheon 2–1
Last five games
Ulsan HD
| Opponent | Venue | Result | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Seoul | home | 1–0W | — |
| Jeju | away | 0–0D | — |
| Gimcheon | home | 3–1W | — |
| Daejeon | away | 1–2L | — |
| Jeonbuk | away | 0–1L | — |
Incheon United
| Opponent | Venue | Result | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bucheon | home | 2–1W | — |
| Seoul | away | 0–1L | — |
| Jeonbuk | home | 1–1D | — |
| Anyang | away | 1–2L | — |
| Gwangju | away | 1–0W | — |
all competitions
Head-to-head
- Ulsan2–1Incheon
- Ulsan1–2Incheon
- Incheon1–2Ulsan
- Incheon0–0Ulsan
- Incheon1–1Ulsan
- Ulsan3–3Incheon
- Incheon3–1Ulsan
- Ulsan0–0Incheon
- Ulsan1–2Incheon
- Incheon0–1Ulsan
Full head-to-head record and fixture profile →
Ulsan Munsu Football Stadium H2H 11 games Ulsan 6W 3D 2L · since 2017-18 · green home win / red away win
| H2H 25 games (since 2017-18) | Value | League |
|---|---|---|
| Goals per game | 2.76 | 2.57 |
| Games with 3+ goalsshare % | 60.0 | — |
| Both teams scoredshare % | 64.0 | — |
| Average time of first goalmin | 34.3 | — |
| Goalless at half-timeshare % | 48.0 | — |
| Goals from 76th minute66 goals, % | 28.8 | — |
| Yellow cards per game | 2.48 | 3.01 |
| Red cards / penalties25 games total | 3 / 9 | — |
| Most frequent referee | Shin Yong-Jun 3x · Chae Sang-Hyeop 2x | — |
Conditional data
Conditional records that the table, form and head-to-head do not show. Sample of 10 games or more.
- 48.1%Temperature 20°C or more Ulsan win rate189 games · usual 52.5%
- 38.9%September games Ulsan win rate36 games · usual 52.5%
- 40.4%Rain or drizzle Incheon win rate47 games · usual 32.4%
- 40.7%After last result Incheon win rate54 games · usual 38.1% · since 2022-23
The other side. win rate after conceding first: Ulsan 28.6%, Incheon 6.5% · absentees per game Ulsan 0.0, Incheon 0.0 · Lee Dong-Kyung vs this opponent 8 games 3 goals.
A. Timing and context win rate · sample · gap vs usual in percentage points
| Condition | Ulsan | Incheon |
|---|---|---|
| Saturday 16:30 kick-offwin rate · since 2017-18 | +10.8p30 games · usual 52.5% | -1.0p35 games · usual 32.4% |
| Weekend afternoon kick-offWin rate · Ulsan home / Incheon away | +7.5p70 games · usual 52.5% | -2.5p67 games · usual 32.4% |
| After last resultUlsan W / Incheon L · since 2022-23 | +0.2p91 games · usual 50.3% | +2.6p54 games · usual 38.1% |
| Temperature 20°C or morewin rate · forecast °C | -4.4p189 games · usual 52.5% | -1.2p170 games · usual 32.4% |
| Humidity 80% or morewin rate · forecast % | -1.0p99 games · usual 52.5% | +1.6p97 games · usual 32.4% |
| Rain or drizzleWin rate | +4.0p46 games · usual 52.5% | +8.0p47 games · usual 32.4% |
| September gamesWin rate | -13.6p36 games · usual 52.5% | -6.1p38 games · usual 32.4% |
| Ulsan Munsu Football Stadium awaywin rate · any opponent | — | -12.4p10 games · usual 32.4% |
| Ulsan Munsu Football Stadium rain frequencyrain or drizzle · % of home games | 14.8 | — |
B. Game management since 2022-23 · usual win rate Ulsan 50.3% / Incheon 38.1%
| items | Ulsan | Incheon |
|---|---|---|
| After scoring firstWin rate | 74.4%90 games · 8 losses | 73.3%86 games · 3 losses |
| After conceding firstWin rate | 28.6% -21.7p77 games · usual 50.3% | 6.5% -31.6p77 games · usual 38.1% |
| Leading at 75 minutesWin rate | 90.8%76 games | 82.8%64 games |
| Led but failed to win / won from behindgames | 25 / 22 | 27 / 5 |
| Average time of first substitutionmin | 38.9 | 50.3 |
| Goals by substitutes% of team goals | 24.2 63/260 | 19.4 43/222 |
| Average time of first booking / games with nonemin / % | 47.2 / 20.4 | 48.9 / 20.4 |
| Games with 3+ yellow cardsWin rate | -2.5p46 games · usual 52.5% | +9.5p43 games · usual 32.4% |
| Penalties won / concededper game | 0.14 / 0.08 | 0.15 / 0.09 |
| Penalties scoredscored/taken | 23 / 25 | 27 / 28 |
| Goals for / against from 76th minute% of all goals | 26.4 / 26.1 | 28.5 / 25.5 |
| Failed to score / clean sheets% | 19.9 / 30.9 | 25.4 / 33.7 |
C. Shots and defensive shape 2026 11 games this season, averages · last season shown as totals
| items | Ulsan | Incheon |
|---|---|---|
| Shots inside / outside the boxper game | 8.4 / 5.1 | 8.3 / 4.3 |
| Shots blockedper game | 3.4 | 3.1 |
| Shots faced / on target / inside boxper game | 13.4 / 4.6 / 8.3 | 10 / 4.5 / 6.1 |
| Keeper saves / goals preventedper game · goals prevented | 3.4 / — | 3.4 / — |
| Corners won / concededper game | 3.7 / 4.3 | 4.5 / 3 |
| Offsides / fouls wonper game | 1.9 / 13.7 | 1.7 / 12.8 |
| Passes / accuracyper game / % | 396 / 80.2 | 464 / 85.2 |
D. Player conditions since 2022-23 · both samples 10+ games
| Player · condition | When true | When not | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Baek In-Woo (Ulsan) startingteam win rate · conceded | 16.7% · 1.3312 games | 39.4% · 1.5233 games | -22.7p |
| Yago Cariello (Ulsan) startingteam win rate · conceded | 52.6% · 1.2119 games | 36.1% · 1.2861 games | +16.5p |
| Kim Young-Gwon (Ulsan) startingteam win rate · conceded | 53.7% · 1.1134 games | 37.8% · 1.2245 games | +15.9p |
| S. Mugoša (Incheon) scoresteam win rate | 52.4%21 games | 30.0%20 games | +22.4p |
| Lee Chung-Yong (Incheon) startingteam win rate · conceded | 43.8% · 0.8816 games | 20.0% · 1.510 games | +23.8p |
| Park Kyung-sub (Incheon) startingteam win rate · conceded | 62.1% · 0.7229 games | 38.9% · 1.0636 games | +23.2p |
| Woong Hee Lee (Incheon) startingteam win rate · conceded | 41.8% · 1.04134 games | 26.7% · 1.1845 games | +15.1p |
E. Individual numbers
| items | Ulsan | Incheon |
|---|---|---|
| Shot conversion · minutes per goalleague since 2022-23 | Lee Dong-Kyung 21.9% · 213minYago Cariello 23.3% · 122min / Erick Farias 14.8% · 309min | S. Mugoša 30.1% · 112minGerso Fernandes 12.5% · 351min / Park Seung-Ho 0.0% · 673min |
| Record vs this opponentsince 2017-18 · apps G A rating | Lee Dong-Kyung 8 games 3G 2A 7.31Lee Gyu-Seong 7 games 0G 1A | S. Mugoša 7 games 7G 0A 7.15Woong Hee Lee 8 games 0G 1A |
| Key passesseason total | Lee Dong-Kyung 28 · Lee Gyu-Seong 12 · D. Bojanić 10 | Lee Joo-Yong 16 · Lee Chung-Yong 13 · Seo Jae-Min 9 |
| Fouls won / committedseason total | Cho Hyun-Taek 18 · Yago Cariello 14 · Choi Seok-Hyun 12 / Lee Dong-Kyung 12 · Jung Seung-Hyun 12 · Lee Gyu-Seong 10 | S. Mugoša 20 · Seo Jae-Min 15 · M. Ferrier 14 / Kim Myung-Sun 16 · Ibiza 11 · Gerso Fernandes 10 |
| Duel win %20+ duels · % | Choi Seok-Hyun 76 · Seo Myung-Guan 72 · Sim Sang-Min 68 | Kim Geon-Hui 71 · Ibiza 66 · S. Mugoša 61 |
| Tackles+interceptions / dribbles won–triedseason total | D. Bojanić 29 · Jung Seung-Hyun 24 · Cho Hyun-Taek 23 / Lee Hee-Gyun 10–18 · Cho Hyun-Taek 10–14 · D. Bojanić 6–9 | Lee Joo-Yong 33 · Kim Myung-Sun 29 · Seo Jae-Min 26 / Seo Jae-Min 11–22 · Gerso Fernandes 10–26 · S. Mugoša 8–14 |
| Home/away ratingsince 2022-23 · 10+ games each | Jung Seung-Hyun 7.06/6.27 · D. Bojanić 7.33/6.57 · Kim Young-Gwon 7.11/6.84 | Gerso Fernandes 7.03/6.15 · S. Mugoša 7.3/6.67 · Woong Hee Lee 6.93/7.06 |
Order is always home team (Ulsan) then away team (Incheon) · usual = the team's overall league win rate over the same window · ±p = percentage-point gap · fewer than 10 games shown as — · ratings are API-Football official ratings
F. Win rate by player involvement League games only (cups and European games excluded) · all games since the player's first appearance for the club (from 2017-18 at the earliest) · pick a player to see the team's win rate when they started, came off the bench, or did not play, plus their record against this opponent · did not play = unused sub or not in the squad · fewer than 10 games shown faded
League games only · cups and Europe excluded · win rate = wins ÷ games
vs Incheon · when playing —
Games: · · ·
League games only · cups and Europe excluded · win rate = wins ÷ games
vs Ulsan · when playing —
Games: · · ·
05How the numbers are compiled
- Source
- API-Football (fixtures, line-ups, events, stats, absentees) · Open-Meteo (weather, forecast) · Wikimedia (crests)
- Sample
- K League 1 2017-18 to 2026 · some conditions since 2022-23 · minimum 10 games (— below that)
- Match scope
- Conditional stats use league games only · last five games, streaks and rest days use all competitions · win rate = wins ÷ games · usual = league win rate over the same window · home team first
- Updated
- 2026.09.14 13:07 UK
This article summarises historical match data. It does not predict, guarantee or recommend any outcome.