LA LIGA Matchweek 5
Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano
Real Madrid host Rayo Vallecano in La Liga matchweek 5: Sat 12 Sep, 21:00 CEST (13 Sep 04:00 KST). Referee not yet appointed at time of writing.
The last 10 league meetings: Real Madrid 5 wins, 4 draws, Rayo 1 wins; the most recent was Real Madrid 4–1 Rayo in 2026/09. Last five games in all competitions: Real Madrid W4 D0 L1, Rayo W1 D1 L3. Rayo have won 37.9% of 58 games under the condition "After last result", above their 29.9% over the same window. Real Madrid have won 66.1% of 109 games under the condition "After last result", below their 70.1% over the same window. Absentees: Real Madrid Éder Militão, Ferland Mendy, Rodrygo; Rayo Jorge De Frutos, I. Balliu, R. Nteka (as of 2026-09-14).
Last 10 meetings5 · 4 · 1Real Madrid W · D · Rayo WLast meeting Real Madrid 4–1 Rayo (2026.09)
H2H 13 games, average2.54 goals3+ goals 53.8% · red cards 3x · league average 2.59 goals
Win rate this season80.0% / 20.0%Real Madrid / Rayo5 games · last season 71.1% / 31.6%
Key numbers
| Metric / unit | Real Madrid | Rayo |
|---|---|---|
| Positionpoints | 2nd · 12 | 16th · 4 |
| W–D–L5 games | 4–0–1 | 1–1–3 |
| Goals for / againstper game | 2.80 / 0.80 | 1.60 / 2.80 |
| xG / xGAper game | 2.98 / 0.81 | 1.28 / 1.93 |
| Possession% | 57 | 44.8 |
| Shots / on targetper game | 20 / 8.8 | 10.2 / 5.2 |
| 2025-26 win rateW–D–L · promoted sides show second-tier record | 71.1% 27–5–6 | 31.6% 12–14–12 |
| Head-to-headW–D–L · since 2017-18 | 7–4–2 | 2–4–7 |
xG = expected goals · xGA = expected goals against · conceded minus xGA: Real Madrid -0.01, Rayo +0.87 (per game)
- Real Madrid outÉder Militão(Hamstring Injury) · Ferland Mendy(Hip Injury) · Rodrygo(Knee Injury) / doubtful: Raúl Asencio(Muscle Injury) · as of 2026-09-14
- Rayo outJorge De Frutos(Red Card) · I. Balliu(Ankle Injury) · R. Nteka(Muscle Injury) · Isi Palazón(Muscle Injury) · Fran Pérez(Red Card) · Luiz Felipe(Hamstring Injury) · Augusto Batalla(Broken calfbone) · J. Vertrouwd(Muscle Injury)
- ManagersJosé Mourinho — league 4 games win rate 75.0% · Benat San Jose — league 4 games win rate 25.0% · first league meeting between the two managers
- Last matchReal Madrid 4 days ago UCL home Inter 2–1 · Rayo 7 days ago LaLiga home Racing 3–2
Last five games
Real Madrid
Scored 12Conceded 4Clean sheets 1
| Opponent | Venue | Result | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| InterUCL | home | 2–1W | 2.91 |
| Betis | away | 0–1L | 3.46 |
| Málaga | home | 4–0W | 2.62 |
| Real Sociedad | home | 4–1W | 3.14 |
| Espanyol | away | 2–1W | 2.71 |
Rayo Vallecano
Scored 7Conceded 11Clean sheets 0
| Opponent | Venue | Result | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Racing | home | 3–2W | 1.61 |
| Barcelona | away | 2–5L | 1.21 |
| Alavés | home | 1–1D | 0.42 |
| Sevilla | away | 1–2L | 1.89 |
| PalaceUECL | away | 0–1L | 0.52 |
Real Madrid league home 9 unbeaten · all competitions · no xG for cup and European games
Head-to-head
- Real Madrid4–1Rayo
- Real Madrid2–1Rayo
- Rayo0–0Real Madrid
- Real Madrid2–1Rayo
- Rayo3–3Real Madrid
- Rayo1–1Real Madrid
- Real Madrid0–0Rayo
- Real Madrid2–1Rayo
- Rayo3–2Real Madrid
- Rayo0–1Real Madrid
Full head-to-head record and fixture profile →
this ground H2H 7 games Real Madrid 6W 1D 0L · since 2017-18 · green home win / red away win
| H2H 13 games (since 2017-18) | Value | League |
|---|---|---|
| Goals per game | 2.54 | 2.59 |
| Games with 3+ goalsshare % | 53.8 | — |
| Both teams scoredshare % | 61.5 | — |
| Average time of first goalmin | 22.1 | — |
| Goalless at half-timeshare % | 30.8 | — |
| Goals from 76th minute28 goals, % | 17.9 | — |
| Yellow cards per game | 5.69 | 4.87 |
| Red cards / penalties13 games total | 3 / 5 | — |
| Most frequent referee | Juan Martinez Munuera 2x · Juan Martínez 2x | — |
Conditional data
Beneath the surface
Conditional records that the table, form and head-to-head do not show. Sample of 10 games or more.
- 37.9%After last result Rayo win rate58 games · usual 29.9% · since 2022-23
- 30.8%September games Rayo win rate26 games · usual 28.3%
- 63.1%Humidity 80% or more Real Madrid win rate84 games · usual 66.3%
- 42.3%K. Mbappé not scoring: Real Madrid win rate26 games · scored in 43 games: 88.4% · since 2022-23
The other side. win rate after conceding first: Real Madrid 40.0%, Rayo 11.8% · absentees per game Real Madrid 6.4, Rayo 4.4.
A. Timing and context win rate · sample · gap vs usual in percentage points
| Condition | Real Madrid | Rayo |
|---|---|---|
| Saturday 21:00 kick-offwin rate · since 2017-18 | +0.9p67 games · usual 66.3% | -21.6p15 games · usual 28.3% |
| Weekend evening kick-offWin rate · Real Madrid home / Rayo away | +3.8p87 games · usual 66.3% | -7.9p49 games · usual 28.3% |
| After last resultReal Madrid W / Rayo L · since 2022-23 | -4.0p109 games · usual 70.1% | +8.0p58 games · usual 29.9% |
| Temperature 20°C or morewin rate · forecast °C | +4.6p110 games · usual 66.3% | +1.0p82 games · usual 28.3% |
| Humidity 80% or morewin rate · forecast % | -3.2p84 games · usual 66.3% | +1.9p43 games · usual 28.3% |
| Rain or drizzleWin rate | +3.3p46 games · usual 66.3% | +1.7p30 games · usual 28.3% |
| September gamesWin rate | +1.2p40 games · usual 66.3% | +2.5p26 games · usual 28.3% |
| home ground rain frequencyrain or drizzle · % of home games | 12.6 | — |
B. Game management since 2022-23 · usual win rate Real Madrid 70.1% / Rayo 29.9%
| items | Real Madrid | Rayo |
|---|---|---|
| After scoring firstWin rate | 85.8%106 games · 4 losses | 54.9%71 games · 9 losses |
| After conceding firstWin rate | 40.0% -30.1p45 games · usual 70.1% | 11.8% -18.1p68 games · usual 29.9% |
| Leading at 75 minutesWin rate | 95.6%91 games | 81.8%44 games |
| Led but failed to win / won from behindgames | 18 / 19 | 34 / 9 |
| Average time of first substitutionmin | 60.2 | 55.7 |
| Goals by substitutes% of team goals | 8.4 27/322 | 17.9 28/156 |
| Average time of first booking / games with nonemin / % | 50.1 / 17.8 | 42.8 / 5.7 |
| Games with 3+ yellow cardsWin rate | -15.1p41 games · usual 66.3% | +1.6p77 games · usual 28.3% |
| Penalties won / concededper game | 0.26 / 0.08 | 0.09 / 0.14 |
| Penalties scoredscored/taken | 33 / 41 | 13 / 14 |
| Goals for / against from 76th minute% of all goals | 22.9 / 23.2 | 23.3 / 26.0 |
| Failed to score / clean sheets% | 8.9 / 40.8 | 31.8 / 28.0 |
C. Shots and defensive shape 2026-27 4 games this season, averages · last season shown as totals
| items | Real Madrid | Rayo |
|---|---|---|
| Shots inside / outside the boxper game | 14.5 / 5.5 | 6.5 / 3.8 |
| Shots blockedper game | 5.5 | 1.5 |
| Shots faced / on target / inside boxper game | 10.5 / 3 / 5.2 | 15.8 / 5 / 9.8 |
| Keeper saves / goals preventedper game · goals prevented | 2.2 / -0.34 | 2.8 / -0.75 |
| Corners won / concededper game | 7.8 / 4.8 | 6.2 / 5.8 |
| Offsides / fouls wonper game | 1.2 / 11.8 | 1.8 / 11.8 |
| Passes / accuracyper game / % | 579 / 91.8 | 332 / 77 |
| 2025-26 xG → goalsseason total | 77.8 → 77 -0.8 | 52.9 → 41 -11.9 |
| 2025-26 xGA → concededseason total | 41.2 → 35 -6.2 | 49.2 → 44 -5.2 |
D. Player conditions since 2022-23 · both samples 10+ games
| Player · condition | When true | When not | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| K. Mbappé (Real Madrid) scoresteam win rate | 88.4%43 games | 42.3%26 games | +46.1p |
| Dean Huijsen (Real Madrid) startingteam win rate · conceded | 78.6% · 0.8628 games | 57.1% · 1.014 games | +21.5p |
| T. Alexander-Arnold (Real Madrid) startingteam win rate · conceded | 60.0% · 0.8715 games | 77.8% · 0.9327 games | -17.8p |
| Vinícius Júnior (Real Madrid) startingteam win rate · conceded | 66.7% · 0.9114 games | 78.6% · 0.8342 games | -11.9p |
| Jude Bellingham (Real Madrid) bookedown rating | 7.5613 games | 7.7567 games | -0.18 |
| E. Camavinga (Real Madrid) bookedown rating | 7.0616 games | 7.2358 games | -0.17 |
| Sergio Camello (Rayo) scoresteam win rate | 63.2%19 games | 22.2%99 games | +41.0p |
| Alemao (Rayo) startingteam win rate · conceded | 63.6% · 0.8211 games | 17.9% · 1.528 games | +45.7p |
| F. Lejeune (Rayo) startingteam win rate · conceded | 28.3% · 1.29145 games | 54.5% · 1.1811 games | -26.2p |
| Álvaro García (Rayo) startingteam win rate · conceded | 27.1% · 1.39118 games | 39.5% · 0.9538 games | -12.4p |
| Andrei Ratiu (Rayo) bookedown rating | 6.5315 games | 7.0559 games | -0.52 |
| Óscar Valentín (Rayo) bookedown rating | 6.6123 games | 6.987 games | -0.29 |
E. Individual numbers
| items | Real Madrid | Rayo |
|---|---|---|
| Shot conversion · minutes per goalleague since 2022-23 | K. Mbappé 23.4% · 98minVinícius Júnior 20.4% · 191min / Jude Bellingham 26.3% · 196min | Sergio Camello 16.3% · 286minIsi Palazón 10.1% · 516min / Álvaro García 11.8% · 516min |
| Record vs this opponentsince 2017-18 · apps G A rating | F. Valverde 10 games 1G 2A 7.29Vinícius Júnior 10 games 2G 1A | Álvaro García 12 games 1G 3A 6.79Isi Palazón 9 games 1G 2A |
| Key passesseason total | Arda Güler 19 · Vinícius Júnior 10 · Jude Bellingham 10 | Unai López 11 · Pedro Díaz 5 · Sergio Camello 4 |
| Fouls won / committedseason total | Vinícius Júnior 17 · Jude Bellingham 10 · Arda Güler 4 / Bernardo Silva 5 · E. Camavinga 5 · Dean Huijsen 4 | Sergio Camello 8 · F. Lejeune 6 · Jorge De Frutos 5 / Unai López 6 · Óscar Valentín 6 · F. Lejeune 5 |
| Duel win %20+ duels · % | Dean Huijsen 65 · Jude Bellingham 59 · Arda Güler 56 | F. Lejeune 64 · Óscar Valentín 50 · P. Ciss 50 |
| Tackles+interceptions / dribbles won–triedseason total | Bernardo Silva 11 · Dean Huijsen 11 · F. Valverde 10 / K. Mbappé 16–24 · Vinícius Júnior 10–26 · Jude Bellingham 9–17 | F. Lejeune 18 · Unai López 13 · Óscar Valentín 12 / Andrei Ratiu 7–11 · Unai López 4–5 · Jorge De Frutos 4–8 |
| Home/away ratingsince 2022-23 · 10+ games each | Vinícius Júnior 7.62/7.11 · Brahim Diaz 7.3/6.89 · K. Mbappé 7.86/7.55 | Andrei Ratiu 7.12/6.76 · Pedro Díaz 6.84/6.53 · F. Lejeune 7.17/6.9 |
Order is always home team (Real Madrid) then away team (Rayo) · usual = the team's overall league win rate over the same window · ±p = percentage-point gap · fewer than 10 games shown as — · ratings are API-Football official ratings
F. Win rate by player involvement League games only (cups and European games excluded) · all games since the player's first appearance for the club (from 2017-18 at the earliest) · pick a player to see the team's win rate when they started, came off the bench, or did not play, plus their record against this opponent · did not play = unused sub or not in the squad · fewer than 10 games shown faded
League games only · cups and Europe excluded · win rate = wins ÷ games
Started—
Off the bench—
Did not play—
vs Rayo · when playing —
Games: · · ·
League games only · cups and Europe excluded · win rate = wins ÷ games
Started—
Off the bench—
Did not play—
vs Real Madrid · when playing —
Games: · · ·
05How the numbers are compiled
- Source
- API-Football (fixtures, line-ups, events, stats, absentees) · Open-Meteo (weather, forecast) · Wikimedia (crests)
- Sample
- La Liga 2017-18 to 2026-27 · some conditions since 2022-23 · minimum 10 games (— below that)
- Match scope
- Conditional stats use league games only · last five games, streaks and rest days use all competitions · win rate = wins ÷ games · usual = league win rate over the same window · home team first
- Updated
- 2026.09.14 13:07 UK
This article summarises historical match data. It does not predict, guarantee or recommend any outcome.