Atlético Madrid vs Real Madrid
Atlético Madrid host Real Madrid in La Liga matchweek 7: Sun 20 Sep, 16:15 CEST (20 Sep 23:15 KST) at Riyadh Air Metropolitano. Referee not yet appointed at time of writing.
The last 10 league meetings: Atlético 3 wins, 4 draws, Real Madrid 3 wins; the most recent was Real Madrid 3–2 Atlético in 2026/03. Last five games in all competitions: Atlético W3 D0 L2, Real Madrid W4 D0 L1. Atlético have won 76.6% (49W 11D 4L) of 64 games under the condition "Forecast: clear", above their 58.6% over the same window. Atlético have won 64.3% (74W 27D 14L) of 115 games under the condition "Forecast: clear", above their 58.6% over the same window.
Key numbers
| Metric / unit | Atlético | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Positionpoints | 4th · 13 | 2nd · 15 |
| W–D–L6 games | 4–1–1 | 5–0–1 |
| Goals for / againstper game | 2.33 / 1.00 | 2.83 / 1.00 |
| xG / xGAper game | 1.14 / 1.27 | 3.03 / 0.88 |
| Possession% | 56.5 | 54.7 |
| Shots / on targetper game | 16.8 / 6 | 20.7 / 8.3 |
| 2025-26 win rateW–D–L · promoted sides show second-tier record | 55.3% 21–6–11 | 71.1% 27–5–6 |
| Head-to-headW–D–L · since 2017-18 | 3–9–6 | 6–9–3 |
xG = expected goals · xGA = expected goals against · conceded minus xGA: Atlético -0.27, Real Madrid +0.12 (per game)
- ManagersD. Simeone — league 347 games · 203W 81D 63L · win rate 58.5% · José Mourinho — league 6 games · 5W 0D 1L · win rate 83.3% · first league meeting between the two managers
- Last matchAtlético 4 days ago LaLiga home Osasuna 4–0 · Real Madrid 5 days ago LaLiga away Elche 3–2
Last five games
Atlético Madrid
| Opponent | Venue | Result | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Osasuna | home | 4–0W | — |
| Real Sociedad | away | 3–0W | 2.05 |
| LiverpoolUCL | away | 1–2L | 0.91 |
| Athletic | away | 0–3L | 1.02 |
| Sevilla | away | 3–1W | 0.93 |
Real Madrid
| Opponent | Venue | Result | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elche | away | 3–2W | 3.61 |
| Rayo | home | 4–1W | 2.62 |
| InterUCL | home | 2–1W | 2.91 |
| Betis | away | 0–1L | 3.46 |
| Málaga | home | 4–0W | 2.62 |
all competitions · no xG for cup and European games
Head-to-head
- Real Madrid3–2Atlético
- Atlético5–2Real Madrid
- Real Madrid1–1Atlético
- Atlético1–1Real Madrid
- Real Madrid1–1Atlético
- Atlético3–1Real Madrid
- Real Madrid1–1Atlético
- Atlético1–2Real Madrid
- Atlético1–0Real Madrid
- Real Madrid2–0Atlético
Full head-to-head record and fixture profile →
Riyadh Air Metropolitano H2H 9 games Atlético 3W 4D 2L · since 2017-18 · green home win / red away win
| H2H 18 games (since 2017-18) | Value |
|---|---|
| Goals per game | 2.28 |
| Games with 3+ goalsshare % | 27.8 |
| Both teams scoredshare % | 61.1 |
| Average time of first goalmin | 31.8 |
| Goalless at half-timeshare % | 38.9 |
| Goals from 76th minute41 goals, % | 17.1 |
| Yellow cards per game | 5.56 |
| Red cards / penalties18 games total | 5 / 5 |
Conditional data
Conditional records that the table, form and head-to-head do not show. Sample of 10 games or more.
- 76.6%Forecast: clear Atlético home win rate64 games · 49W 11D 4L · usual 58.6%
- 64.3%Forecast: clear Atlético win rate115 games · 74W 27D 14L · usual 58.6%
- 55.9%After a match 5 days earlier Real Madrid win rate34 games · 19W 9D 6L · usual 66.4%
- 66.4%After last result Real Madrid win rate110 games · 73W 17D 20L · usual 70.3% · since 2022-23
- 42.3%K. Mbappé not scoring: Real Madrid win rate26 games · 11W 6D 9L · scored in 45 games: 88.9% (40W 3D 2L) · since 2022-23
The other side. win rate after conceding first: Atlético 23.4%, Real Madrid 40.0%.
A. Timing and context win rate · sample · gap vs usual in percentage points
| Condition | Atlético | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| After a match Atlético 4 days · Real Madrid 5 days earlierwin rate · rest counts all competitions | +0.2p85 games · 50W 17D 18L · usual 58.6% | -10.5p34 games · 19W 9D 6L · usual 66.4% |
| Last game before an international breakwin rate · this match qualifies | -10.3p29 games · 14W 7D 8L · usual 58.6% | +6.3p33 games · 24W 2D 7L · usual 66.4% |
| Sunday 16:15 kick-offwin rate · since 2017-18 | +6.6p46 games · 30W 9D 7L · usual 58.6% | +2.6p29 games · 20W 5D 4L · usual 66.4% |
| After last resultAtlético W / Real Madrid W · since 2022-23 | -7.4p94 games · 49W 20D 25L · usual 59.5% | -3.9p110 games · 73W 17D 20L · usual 70.3% |
| Forecast: clearWin rate · Atlético home / Real Madrid away | +18.0p64 games · 49W 11D 4L · usual 58.6% | -8.1p60 games · 35W 16D 9L · usual 66.4% |
| Temperature 20°C or morewin rate · forecast 29.4°C | -5.9p112 games · 59W 35D 18L · usual 58.6% | +5.0p112 games · 80W 21D 11L · usual 66.4% |
| Humidity 80% or morewin rate · forecast 25% | +5.0p66 games · 42W 10D 14L · usual 58.6% | -3.3p84 games · 53W 18D 13L · usual 66.4% |
| Rain or drizzleWin rate | +8.1p45 games · 30W 4D 11L · usual 58.6% | +3.2p46 games · 32W 6D 8L · usual 66.4% |
| September gamesWin rate | -6.0p38 games · 20W 12D 6L · usual 58.6% | +1.9p41 games · 28W 8D 5L · usual 66.4% |
| Manager vs this opponentwin rate · all clubs | 16.7% -42.8p18 games · 3W 9D 6L · usual 59.5% | — |
B. Game management since 2022-23 · usual win rate Atlético 59.5% (94W 29D 35L) / Real Madrid 70.3% (111W 25D 22L)
| items | Atlético | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| After scoring firstWin rate | 77.6%107 games · 83W 17D 7L | 86.1%108 games · 93W 11D 4L |
| After conceding firstWin rate | 23.4% -36.1p47 games · 11W 8D 28L · usual 59.5% | 40.0% -30.3p45 games · 18W 9D 18L · usual 70.3% |
| Leading at 75 minutesWin rate | 90.2%82 games · 74W 6D 2L | 95.7%93 games · 89W 4D 0L |
| Led but failed to win / won from behindgames | 25 / 14 | 18 / 19 |
| Goals by substitutes% of team goals | 26.8 74/276 | 8.5 28/328 |
| Games with 3+ yellow cardsWin rate | -8.6p68 games · 34W 17D 17L · usual 58.6% | -15.2p41 games · 21W 6D 14L · usual 66.4% |
| Penalties won / concededper game | 0.11 / 0.11 | 0.27 / 0.08 |
| Goals for / against from 76th minute% of all goals | 26.4 / 24.4 | 23.1 / 23.4 |
| Failed to score / clean sheets% | 15.8 / 38.0 | 8.9 / 40.5 |
C. Shots and defensive shape 2026-27 6 games this season, averages · last season shown as totals
| items | Atlético | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Shots inside / outside the boxper game | 10.2 / 6.7 | 14.8 / 5.8 |
| Shots blockedper game | 4.8 | 5.3 |
| Shots faced / on target / inside boxper game | 10 / 3.3 / 6.3 | 11.8 / 3.7 / 6 |
| Keeper saves / goals preventedper game · goals prevented | 2.3 / -0.42 | 2.7 / -0.52 |
| Corners won / concededper game | 5.3 / 3.3 | 7.8 / 4.3 |
| Offsides / fouls wonper game | 1.7 / 12.8 | 1.8 / 13.5 |
| Passes / accuracyper game / % | 554 / 86.6 | 548 / 91.2 |
| 2025-26 xG → goalsseason total | 59.0 → 62 +3.0 | 77.8 → 77 -0.8 |
| 2025-26 xGA → concededseason total | 49.0 → 44 -5.0 | 41.2 → 35 -6.2 |
Order is always home team (Atlético) then away team (Real Madrid) · usual = the team's overall league win rate over the same window · ±p = percentage-point gap · fewer than 10 games shown faded and marked sample too small · the small W D L figures are the raw record behind each win rate (draws do not count as wins)
D. Win rate by player involvement League games only (cups and European games excluded) · all games since the player's first appearance for the club (from 2017-18 at the earliest) · pick a player to see the team's win rate when they started, came off the bench, or did not play, plus their record against this opponent · did not play = unused sub or not in the squad · fewer than 10 games shown faded
League games only · cups and Europe excluded · win rate = wins ÷ games
vs Real Madrid · when playing —
Games: · · ·
League games only · cups and Europe excluded · win rate = wins ÷ games
vs Atlético · when playing —
Games: · · ·
05How the numbers are compiled
- Source
- API-Football (fixtures, line-ups, events, stats) · Open-Meteo (weather, forecast) · Wikimedia (crests)
- Sample
- La Liga 2017-18 to 2026-27 · some conditions since 2022-23 · minimum 10 games (faded and marked below that)
- Match scope
- Conditional stats use league games only · last five games, streaks and rest days use all competitions · win rate = wins ÷ games · usual = league win rate over the same window · home team first
- Updated
- 2026.09.20 14:18 UK
This article summarises historical match data. It does not predict, guarantee or recommend any outcome.