Lorient vs Toulouse
Lorient host Toulouse in Ligue 1 matchweek 4: Sat 12 Sep, 20:45 CEST (13 Sep 03:45 KST) at Stade du Moustoir. Referee Aurelien Petit.
The last 7 league meetings: Lorient 0 wins, 4 draws, Toulouse 3 wins; the most recent was Lorient 2–2 Toulouse in 2026/09. Last five games in all competitions: Lorient W2 D1 L2, Toulouse W1 D2 L2. Toulouse have won 40.0% of 50 games under the condition "Temperature 20°C or more", above their 27.2% over the same window. Lorient have won 10.0% of 10 games under the condition "Saturday 20:45 kick-off", below their 28.5% over the same window. Absentees: Lorient B. Fadiga; Toulouse G. Restes, A. Dønnum, A. Francis (as of 2026-09-14).
Key numbers
| Metric / unit | Lorient | Toulouse |
|---|---|---|
| Positionpoints | 9th · 5 | 17th · 2 |
| W–D–L4 games | 1–2–1 | 0–2–2 |
| Goals for / againstper game | 1.00 / 1.00 | 1.00 / 1.75 |
| xG / xGAper game | 1.34 / 1.47 | 2.46 / 1.65 |
| Possession% | 50 | 50.3 |
| Shots / on targetper game | 11 / 3.7 | 15.7 / 4.7 |
| 2025-26 win rateW–D–L · promoted sides show second-tier record | 32.4% 11–12–11 | 35.3% 12–9–13 |
| Head-to-headW–D–L · since 2017-18 | 0–4–3 | 3–4–0 |
xG = expected goals · xGA = expected goals against · conceded minus xGA: Lorient -0.47, Toulouse +0.10 (per game)
- Lorient outB. Fadiga(Injury) · as of 2026-09-14
- Toulouse outG. Restes(Injury) · A. Dønnum(Personal Reasons) · A. Francis(Muscle Injury)
- ManagersA. Dujeux — league 3 games win rate 33.3% · Jens Askou — league 3 games win rate 0.0% · first league meeting between the two managers
- Last matchLorient 7 days ago L1 away Lens 1–0 · Toulouse 9 days ago L1 home Lille 0–1
- Last season's top scorerLorient P. Pagis (last season 10 goals) has not featured this season
Last five games
Lorient
| Opponent | Venue | Result | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lens | away | 1–0W | 1.60 |
| Troyes | home | 1–2L | 1.15 |
| Nice | away | 0–0D | 1.28 |
| Le Havre | home | 0–2L | 1.30 |
| Metz | away | 4–0W | 2.00 |
Toulouse
| Opponent | Venue | Result | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lille | home | 0–1L | 3.46 |
| Brest | away | 2–2D | 1.14 |
| Lyon | home | 0–2L | 2.77 |
| Nantes | away | 0–0D | 0.17 |
| Lyon | home | 2–1W | 1.13 |
Toulouse 4 without a win · all competitions
Head-to-head
- Lorient2–2Toulouse
- Toulouse1–0Lorient
- Lorient1–1Toulouse
- Lorient1–2Toulouse
- Toulouse1–1Lorient
- Lorient0–1Toulouse
- Toulouse2–2Lorient
Full head-to-head record and fixture profile →
Stade du Moustoir H2H 4 games Lorient 0W 2D 2L · since 2017-18 · green home win / red away win
| H2H 7 games (since 2017-18) | Value | League |
|---|---|---|
| Goals per game | 2.43 | 2.74 |
| Games with 3+ goalsshare % | 42.9 | — |
| Both teams scoredshare % | 71.4 | — |
| Average time of first goalmin | 47.7 | — |
| Goalless at half-timeshare % | 57.1 | — |
| Goals from 76th minute13 goals, % | 30.8 | — |
| Yellow cards per game | 3.86 | 3.78 |
| Red cards / penalties7 games total | 0 / 3 | — |
| Most frequent referee | Marc Bollengier 1x · Gael Angoula 1x | — |
Conditional data
Conditional records that the table, form and head-to-head do not show. Sample of 10 games or more.
- 40.0%Temperature 20°C or more Toulouse win rate50 games · usual 27.2%
- 10.0%Saturday 20:45 kick-off Lorient win rate10 games · usual 28.5%
- 26.1%Rain or drizzle Lorient win rate46 games · usual 28.5%
The other side. win rate after conceding first: Lorient 7.7%, Toulouse 16.0% · absentees per game Lorient 1.0, Toulouse 2.8.
A. Timing and context win rate · sample · gap vs usual in percentage points
| Condition | Lorient | Toulouse |
|---|---|---|
| Saturday 20:45 kick-offwin rate · since 2017-18 | -18.5p10 games · usual 28.5% | +0.8p25 games · usual 27.2% |
| Weekend evening kick-offWin rate · Lorient home / Toulouse away | +5.8p35 games · usual 28.5% | -2.9p74 games · usual 27.2% |
| After last resultLorient D / Toulouse D · since 2022-23 | +3.5p32 games · usual 30.9% | -1.0p38 games · usual 32.6% |
| Temperature 20°C or morewin rate · forecast °C | -4.5p25 games · usual 28.5% | +12.8p50 games · usual 27.2% |
| Humidity 80% or morewin rate · forecast % | +2.4p68 games · usual 28.5% | -0.5p90 games · usual 27.2% |
| Rain or drizzleWin rate | -2.4p46 games · usual 28.5% | -3.4p42 games · usual 27.2% |
| September gamesWin rate | +13.6p19 games · usual 28.5% | -16.1p27 games · usual 27.2% |
| Stade du Moustoir awaywin rate · any opponent | — | —2 games · sample too small |
| Manager vs this opponentwin rate · all clubs | —5 games · sample too small | — |
| Stade du Moustoir rain frequencyrain or drizzle · % of home games | 28.0 | — |
B. Game management since 2022-23 · usual win rate Lorient 30.9% / Toulouse 32.6%
| items | Lorient | Toulouse |
|---|---|---|
| After scoring firstWin rate | 61.2%49 games · 7 losses | 62.5%56 games · 13 losses |
| After conceding firstWin rate | 7.7% -23.2p52 games · usual 30.9% | 16.0% -16.6p75 games · usual 32.6% |
| Leading at 75 minutesWin rate | 84.2%38 games | 80.4%46 games |
| Led but failed to win / won from behindgames | 22 / 4 | 24 / 12 |
| Average time of first substitutionmin | 58.4 | 59.9 |
| Goals by substitutes% of team goals | 20.9 29/139 | 17.6 32/182 |
| Average time of first booking / games with nonemin / % | 46.2 / 28.2 | 45.1 / 11.1 |
| Games with 3+ yellow cardsWin rate | -6.3p27 games · usual 28.5% | +15.3p40 games · usual 27.2% |
| Penalties won / concededper game | 0.07 / 0.14 | 0.12 / 0.10 |
| Penalties scoredscored/taken | 8 / 8 | 17 / 18 |
| Goals for / against from 76th minute% of all goals | 22.8 / 26.2 | 22.6 / 25.4 |
| Failed to score / clean sheets% | 30.9 / 19.1 | 29.2 / 24.3 |
C. Shots and defensive shape 2026-27 3 games this season, averages · last season shown as totals
| items | Lorient | Toulouse |
|---|---|---|
| Shots inside / outside the boxper game | 7.3 / 3.7 | 10 / 5.7 |
| Shots blockedper game | 2 | 2.3 |
| Shots faced / on target / inside boxper game | 14 / 3 / 9.3 | 16 / 5.3 / 9.7 |
| Keeper saves / goals preventedper game · goals prevented | 2.3 / 0.70 | 3.7 / 1.18 |
| Corners won / concededper game | 1.7 / 7.3 | 4.7 / 4.7 |
| Offsides / fouls wonper game | 0.3 / 14.7 | 1.7 / 14.3 |
| Passes / accuracyper game / % | 517 / 85.3 | 465 / 84.7 |
| 2025-26 xG → goalsseason total | 45.5 → 48 +2.5 | 43.5 → 47 +3.5 |
| 2025-26 xGA → concededseason total | 46.5 → 51 +4.5 | 43.5 → 46 +2.5 |
D. Player conditions since 2022-23 · both samples 10+ games
| Player · condition | When true | When not | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| M. Talbi (Lorient) startingteam win rate · conceded | 33.7% · 1.5495 games | 14.3% · 1.8614 games | +19.4p |
| A. Avom (Lorient) startingteam win rate · conceded | 25.0% · 1.4624 games | 46.2% · 1.3813 games | -21.2p |
| N. Adjei (Lorient) startingteam win rate · conceded | 26.9% · 1.5426 games | 37.0% · 1.5227 games | -10.1p |
| Y. Gboho (Toulouse) scoresteam win rate | 64.3%14 games | 31.3%67 games | +33.0p |
| N. Schmidt (Toulouse) startingteam win rate · conceded | 22.2% · 1.5618 games | 34.5% · 1.2987 games | -12.3p |
| S. Hidalgo (Toulouse) startingteam win rate · conceded | 41.2% · 1.1217 games | 25.0% · 1.620 games | +16.2p |
| A. Vossah (Toulouse) startingteam win rate · conceded | 42.9% · 1.514 games | 26.1% · 1.323 games | +16.8p |
| R. Nicolaisen (Toulouse) bookedown rating | 6.7216 games | 7.0290 games | -0.30 |
| C. Cásseres (Toulouse) bookedown rating | 7.0520 games | 7.1165 games | -0.05 |
E. Individual numbers
| items | Lorient | Toulouse |
|---|---|---|
| Shot conversion · minutes per goalleague since 2022-23 | A. Tosin 20.0% · 288minJ. Makengo 12.8% · 723min / T. Le Bris 12.9% · 1258min | Y. Gboho 19.0% · 396minC. Cásseres 10.0% · 1863min / S. Hidalgo 12.9% · 367min |
| Record vs this opponentsince 2017-18 · apps G A rating | T. Le Bris 4 games 0G 1A 6.78Y. Mvogo 6 games 0G 0A | C. Cásseres 4 games 0G 1A 6.97R. Nicolaisen 6 games 0G 0A |
| Key passesseason total | A. Kouassi 4 · M. Kone 4 · P. Katseris 3 | C. Cásseres 10 · T. Jorgensen 8 · N. Schmidt 5 |
| Fouls won / committedseason total | J. Makengo 8 · D. Sylla 5 · G. Bernardeau 4 / M. Kone 5 · J. Makengo 4 · N. Cadiou 3 | C. Cásseres 9 · Y. Gboho 6 · R. Messali 3 / C. Cásseres 5 · J. Vignolo 5 · R. Nicolaisen 4 |
| Duel win %20+ duels · % | N. Adjei 78 · N. Cadiou 57 · D. Sylla 52 | C. Cásseres 75 · R. Nicolaisen 62 · T. Jorgensen 50 |
| Tackles+interceptions / dribbles won–triedseason total | N. Adjei 13 · D. Sylla 11 · A. Avom 11 / J. Makengo 4–8 · N. Cadiou 3–4 · T. Le Bris 2–2 | C. Cásseres 16 · T. Jorgensen 11 · R. Messali 9 / C. Cásseres 7–10 · J. Vignolo 4–8 · Y. Gboho 3–8 |
| Home/away ratingsince 2022-23 · 10+ games each | A. Kouassi 7.18/6.64 · P. Katseris 7.05/6.61 · N. Adjei 6.64/6.92 | Y. Gboho 7.26/7.1 · G. Restes 6.74/6.9 · M. McKenzie 6.83/6.92 |
Order is always home team (Lorient) then away team (Toulouse) · usual = the team's overall league win rate over the same window · ±p = percentage-point gap · fewer than 10 games shown as — · ratings are API-Football official ratings
F. Win rate by player involvement League games only (cups and European games excluded) · all games since the player's first appearance for the club (from 2017-18 at the earliest) · pick a player to see the team's win rate when they started, came off the bench, or did not play, plus their record against this opponent · did not play = unused sub or not in the squad · fewer than 10 games shown faded
League games only · cups and Europe excluded · win rate = wins ÷ games
vs Toulouse · when playing —
Games: · · ·
League games only · cups and Europe excluded · win rate = wins ÷ games
vs Lorient · when playing —
Games: · · ·
05How the numbers are compiled
- Source
- API-Football (fixtures, line-ups, events, stats, absentees) · Open-Meteo (weather, forecast) · Wikimedia (crests)
- Sample
- Ligue 1 2017-18 to 2026-27 · some conditions since 2022-23 · minimum 10 games (— below that)
- Match scope
- Conditional stats use league games only · last five games, streaks and rest days use all competitions · win rate = wins ÷ games · usual = league win rate over the same window · home team first
- Updated
- 2026.09.14 13:07 UK
This article summarises historical match data. It does not predict, guarantee or recommend any outcome.