Toulouse vs Le Havre
Toulouse host Le Havre in Ligue 1 matchweek 5: Sat 19 Sep, 20:45 CEST (20 Sep 03:45 KST) at Stadium Municipal. Referee not yet appointed at time of writing.
The last 6 league meetings: Toulouse 2 wins, 1 draw, Le Havre 3 wins; the most recent was Le Havre 2–1 Toulouse in 2026/02. Last five games in all competitions: Toulouse W0 D3 L2, Le Havre W1 D2 L2. Toulouse have won 11.1% (3W 11D 13L) of 27 games under the condition "September games", below their 27.2% over the same window. Le Havre have won 30.4% (7W 7D 9L) of 23 games under the condition "Rain or drizzle", above their 22.6% over the same window.
Key numbers
| Metric / unit | Toulouse | Le Havre |
|---|---|---|
| Positionpoints | 17th · 2 | 16th · 2 |
| W–D–L4 games | 0–2–2 | 0–2–2 |
| Goals for / againstper game | 1.00 / 1.75 | 0.50 / 1.00 |
| xG / xGAper game | 2.25 / 1.47 | 1.16 / 1.52 |
| Possession% | 52.5 | 48.8 |
| Shots / on targetper game | 15 / 4.5 | 15 / 4.5 |
| 2025-26 win rateW–D–L · promoted sides show second-tier record | 35.3% 12–9–13 | 20.6% 7–14–13 |
| Head-to-headW–D–L · since 2017-18 | 2–1–3 | 3–1–2 |
xG = expected goals · xGA = expected goals against · conceded minus xGA: Toulouse +0.28, Le Havre -0.52 (per game)
- ManagersP. Montanier — league 38 games · 13W 9D 16L · win rate 34.2% · D. Digard — league 72 games · 17W 20D 35L · win rate 23.6% · manager duel 0W 1D 0L (Toulouse perspective)
- Last matchToulouse 7 days ago L1 away Lorient 2–2 · Le Havre 7 days ago L1 home Angers 0–0
- Last season's top scorerLe Havre I. Soumaré (last season 8 goals) has not featured this season
Last five games
Toulouse
| Opponent | Venue | Result | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lorient | away | 2–2D | 1.63 |
| Lille | home | 0–1L | 3.46 |
| Brest | away | 2–2D | 1.14 |
| Lyon | home | 0–2L | 2.77 |
| Nantes | away | 0–0D | 0.17 |
Le Havre
| Opponent | Venue | Result | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Angers | home | 0–0D | 1.31 |
| Brest | home | 1–2L | 2.02 |
| Lyon | away | 1–1D | 0.69 |
| Monaco | home | 0–1L | 0.60 |
| Lorient | away | 2–0W | 1.25 |
Toulouse 5 without a win · Le Havre 4 without a win · Le Havre league away 5 unbeaten · all competitions
Head-to-head
- Le Havre2–1Toulouse
- Toulouse0–0Le Havre
- Le Havre1–4Toulouse
- Toulouse2–0Le Havre
- Le Havre1–0Toulouse
- Toulouse1–2Le Havre
Full head-to-head record and fixture profile →
Stadium Municipal H2H 3 games Toulouse 1W 1D 1L · since 2017-18 · green home win / red away win
| H2H 6 games (since 2017-18) | Value |
|---|---|
| Goals per game | 2.33 |
| Games with 3+ goalsshare % | 50.0 |
| Both teams scoredshare % | 50.0 |
| Average time of first goalmin | 46.2 |
| Goalless at half-timeshare % | 66.7 |
| Goals from 76th minute14 goals, % | 28.6 |
| Yellow cards per game | 3.33 |
| Red cards / penalties6 games total | 2 / 1 |
Conditional data
Conditional records that the table, form and head-to-head do not show. Sample of 10 games or more.
- 11.1%September games Toulouse win rate27 games · 3W 11D 13L · usual 27.2%
- 30.4%Rain or drizzle Le Havre win rate23 games · 7W 7D 9L · usual 22.6%
- 17.4%Last game before an international break Toulouse win rate23 games · 4W 8D 11L · usual 27.2%
- 21.7%first league match after an international break (reference) Toulouse win rate23 games · 5W 5D 13L · usual 27.2%
- 31.3%Y. Gboho not scoring: Toulouse win rate67 games · 21W 15D 31L · scored in 14 games: 64.3% (9W 3D 2L) · since 2022-23
The other side. win rate after conceding first: Toulouse 15.8%, Le Havre 7.8%.
A. Timing and context win rate · sample · gap vs usual in percentage points
| Condition | Toulouse | Le Havre |
|---|---|---|
| After a match 7 days earlierwin rate · rest counts all competitions | +3.4p85 games · 26W 22D 37L · usual 27.2% | +1.3p46 games · 11W 14D 21L · usual 22.6% |
| Last game before an international breakwin rate · this match qualifies | -9.8p23 games · 4W 8D 11L · usual 27.2% | -4.4p11 games · 2W 3D 6L · usual 22.6% |
| Saturday 20:45 kick-offwin rate · since 2017-18 | +0.8p25 games · 7W 8D 10L · usual 27.2% | -4.4p11 games · 2W 4D 5L · usual 22.6% |
| After last resultToulouse D / Le Havre D · since 2022-23 | -1.0p38 games · 12W 9D 17L · usual 32.6% | -2.6p30 games · 6W 11D 13L · usual 22.6% |
| Forecast: clearWin rate · Toulouse home / Le Havre away | +6.1p33 games · 11W 9D 13L · usual 27.2% | sample too small9 games · 1W 4D 4L · usual 22.6% |
| Temperature 20°C or morewin rate · forecast 24.4°C | +12.8p50 games · 20W 16D 14L · usual 27.2% | +2.4p20 games · 5W 6D 9L · usual 22.6% |
| Humidity 80% or morewin rate · forecast 39% | -0.5p90 games · 24W 19D 47L · usual 27.2% | -3.1p41 games · 8W 10D 23L · usual 22.6% |
| Rain or drizzleWin rate | -3.4p42 games · 10W 10D 22L · usual 27.2% | +7.8p23 games · 7W 7D 9L · usual 22.6% |
| September gamesWin rate | -16.1p27 games · 3W 11D 13L · usual 27.2% | +2.4p12 games · 3W 4D 5L · usual 22.6% |
| Manager vs this opponentwin rate · all clubs | — | 20.0%sample too small5 games · 1W 2D 2L · usual 22.6% |
B. Game management since 2022-23 · usual win rate Toulouse 32.6% (47W 39D 58L) / Le Havre 22.6% (24W 31D 51L)
| items | Toulouse | Le Havre |
|---|---|---|
| After scoring firstWin rate | 62.5%56 games · 35W 8D 13L | 61.3%31 games · 19W 10D 2L |
| After conceding firstWin rate | 15.8% -16.8p76 games · 12W 19D 45L · usual 32.6% | 7.8% -14.8p64 games · 5W 10D 49L · usual 22.6% |
| Leading at 75 minutesWin rate | 80.4%46 games · 37W 6D 3L | 75.0%24 games · 18W 5D 1L |
| Led but failed to win / won from behindgames | 24 / 12 | 13 / 5 |
| Goals by substitutes% of team goals | 17.9 33/184 | 9.7 10/103 |
| Games with 3+ yellow cardsWin rate | +15.3p40 games · 17W 7D 16L · usual 27.2% | -8.8p29 games · 4W 9D 16L · usual 22.6% |
| Penalties won / concededper game | 0.12 / 0.10 | 0.18 / 0.14 |
| Goals for / against from 76th minute% of all goals | 22.3 / 25.1 | 22.2 / 25.0 |
| Failed to score / clean sheets% | 29.2 / 24.3 | 38.7 / 18.9 |
C. Shots and defensive shape 2026-27 4 games this season, averages · last season shown as totals
| items | Toulouse | Le Havre |
|---|---|---|
| Shots inside / outside the boxper game | 10.8 / 4.2 | 9.8 / 5.2 |
| Shots blockedper game | 2.5 | 4 |
| Shots faced / on target / inside boxper game | 14.5 / 4.8 / 8.8 | 14.5 / 5.5 / 9.2 |
| Keeper saves / goals preventedper game · goals prevented | 3 / 0.64 | 5 / 0.65 |
| Corners won / concededper game | 4.2 / 4.5 | 5.2 / 5 |
| Offsides / fouls wonper game | 1.5 / 12.8 | 2 / 12.5 |
| Passes / accuracyper game / % | 513 / 85.5 | 397 / 82.5 |
| 2025-26 xG → goalsseason total | 43.5 → 47 +3.5 | 38.4 → 32 -6.4 |
| 2025-26 xGA → concededseason total | 43.5 → 46 +2.5 | 51.4 → 44 -7.4 |
Order is always home team (Toulouse) then away team (Le Havre) · usual = the team's overall league win rate over the same window · ±p = percentage-point gap · fewer than 10 games shown faded and marked sample too small · the small W D L figures are the raw record behind each win rate (draws do not count as wins)
D. Win rate by player involvement League games only (cups and European games excluded) · all games since the player's first appearance for the club (from 2017-18 at the earliest) · pick a player to see the team's win rate when they started, came off the bench, or did not play, plus their record against this opponent · did not play = unused sub or not in the squad · fewer than 10 games shown faded
League games only · cups and Europe excluded · win rate = wins ÷ games
vs Le Havre · when playing —
Games: · · ·
League games only · cups and Europe excluded · win rate = wins ÷ games
vs Toulouse · when playing —
Games: · · ·
05How the numbers are compiled
- Source
- API-Football (fixtures, line-ups, events, stats) · Open-Meteo (weather, forecast) · Wikimedia (crests)
- Sample
- Ligue 1 2017-18 to 2026-27 · some conditions since 2022-23 · minimum 10 games (faded and marked below that)
- Match scope
- Conditional stats use league games only · last five games, streaks and rest days use all competitions · win rate = wins ÷ games · usual = league win rate over the same window · home team first
- Updated
- 2026.09.18 03:45 UK
This article summarises historical match data. It does not predict, guarantee or recommend any outcome.