Nice vs Lille
Nice host Lille in Ligue 1 matchweek 5: Sun 20 Sep, 17:15 CEST (21 Sep 00:15 KST) at Allianz Riviera. Referee not yet appointed at time of writing.
The last 10 league meetings: Nice 4 wins, 4 draws, Lille 2 wins; the most recent was Lille 0–0 Nice in 2026/04. Last five games in all competitions: Nice W1 D2 L2, Lille W3 D1 L1. Lille have won 25.7% (9W 11D 15L) of 35 games under the condition "Forecast: clear", below their 48.8% over the same window. Lille have won 36.1% (26W 22D 24L) of 72 games under the condition "After last result", below their 50.7% over the same window.
Key numbers
| Metric / unit | Nice | Lille |
|---|---|---|
| Positionpoints | 18th · 2 | 1st · 10 |
| W–D–L4 games | 0–2–2 | 3–1–0 |
| Goals for / againstper game | 0.25 / 1.25 | 1.75 / 0.50 |
| xG / xGAper game | 1.01 / 1.67 | 1.34 / 1.82 |
| Possession% | 60.8 | 44.8 |
| Shots / on targetper game | 12.5 / 2.8 | 10.8 / 6 |
| 2025-26 win rateW–D–L · promoted sides show second-tier record | 22.2% 8–12–16 | 52.9% 18–7–9 |
| Head-to-headW–D–L · since 2017-18 | 6–7–4 | 4–7–6 |
xG = expected goals · xGA = expected goals against · conceded minus xGA: Nice -0.42, Lille -1.32 (per game)
- ManagersO. Pantaloni — league 4 games · 0W 2D 2L · win rate 0.0% · Davide Ancelotti — league 4 games · 3W 1D 0L · win rate 75.0% · first league meeting between the two managers
- Last matchNice 8 days ago L1 away Auxerre 0–1 · Lille 7 days ago L1 home Troyes 2–0
Last five games
Nice
| Opponent | Venue | Result | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Auxerre | away | 0–1L | 1.08 |
| Le Mans | home | 1–1D | 1.12 |
| Paris FC | away | 0–3L | 0.78 |
| Lorient | home | 0–0D | 1.05 |
| Saint-Étienne | home | 4–1W | — |
Lille
| Opponent | Venue | Result | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Troyes | home | 2–0W | 1.65 |
| BetisUCL | home | 2–3L | 0.83 |
| Toulouse | away | 1–0W | 1.21 |
| PSG | home | 2–2D | 1.27 |
| Angers | away | 2–0W | 1.24 |
Nice 4 without a win · Nice league home 6 unbeaten · Lille league away 9 unbeaten · all competitions · no xG for cup and European games
Head-to-head
- Lille0–0Nice
- Nice2–0Lille
- Lille2–1Nice
- Nice2–2Lille
- Lille2–2Nice
- Nice1–1Lille
- Nice1–0Lille
- Lille1–2Nice
- Nice1–3Lille
- Lille0–4Nice
Full head-to-head record and fixture profile →
Allianz Riviera H2H 9 games Nice 4W 4D 1L · since 2017-18 · green home win / red away win
| H2H 17 games (since 2017-18) | Value |
|---|---|
| Goals per game | 2.59 |
| Games with 3+ goalsshare % | 47.1 |
| Both teams scoredshare % | 58.8 |
| Average time of first goalmin | 21.2 |
| Goalless at half-timeshare % | 11.8 |
| Goals from 76th minute44 goals, % | 18.2 |
| Yellow cards per game | 4.76 |
| Red cards / penalties17 games total | 3 / 4 |
Conditional data
Conditional records that the table, form and head-to-head do not show. Sample of 10 games or more.
- 25.7%Forecast: clear Lille away win rate35 games · 9W 11D 15L · usual 48.8%
- 36.1%After last result Lille win rate72 games · 26W 22D 24L · usual 50.7% · since 2022-23
- 38.7%Last game before an international break Lille win rate31 games · 12W 9D 10L · usual 48.8%
- 40.5%Forecast temperature band Lille win rate42 games · 17W 13D 12L · usual 48.8%
- 50.0%H. Haraldsson not scoring: Lille win rate72 games · 36W 15D 21L · scored in 15 games: 66.7% (10W 4D 1L) · since 2022-23
The other side. win rate after conceding first: Nice 10.7%, Lille 27.1%.
A. Timing and context win rate · sample · gap vs usual in percentage points
| Condition | Nice | Lille |
|---|---|---|
| After a match Nice 8 days · Lille 7 days earlierwin rate · rest counts all competitions · 8–14 and 15+ days grouped | +3.1p67 games · 29W 15D 23L · usual 40.2% | -4.5p70 games · 31W 23D 16L · usual 48.8% |
| Last game before an international breakwin rate · this match qualifies | -3.5p30 games · 11W 10D 9L · usual 40.2% | -10.1p31 games · 12W 9D 10L · usual 48.8% |
| Sunday 17:15 kick-offwin rate · since 2017-18 | +5.5p46 games · 21W 13D 12L · usual 40.2% | +4.5p45 games · 24W 14D 7L · usual 48.8% |
| After last resultNice L / Lille W · since 2022-23 | +0.9p44 games · 17W 13D 14L · usual 37.7% | -14.6p72 games · 26W 22D 24L · usual 50.7% |
| Forecast: clearWin rate · Nice home / Lille away | +3.3p62 games · 27W 14D 21L · usual 40.2% | -23.1p35 games · 9W 11D 15L · usual 48.8% |
| Temperature 20°C or morewin rate · forecast 26.6°C | -2.2p71 games · 27W 21D 23L · usual 40.2% | -8.3p42 games · 17W 13D 12L · usual 48.8% |
| Humidity 80% or morewin rate · forecast 60% | -4.3p103 games · 37W 28D 38L · usual 40.2% | +0.2p147 games · 72W 36D 39L · usual 48.8% |
| Rain or drizzleWin rate | +2.9p51 games · 22W 16D 13L · usual 40.2% | -1.7p68 games · 32W 17D 19L · usual 48.8% |
| September gamesWin rate | +3.9p34 games · 15W 7D 12L · usual 40.2% | -3.1p35 games · 16W 6D 13L · usual 48.8% |
| Manager vs this opponentwin rate · all clubs | 0.0%sample too small3 games · 0W 1D 2L · usual 37.7% | — |
B. Game management since 2022-23 · usual win rate Nice 37.7% (55W 46D 45L) / Lille 50.7% (73W 38D 33L)
| items | Nice | Lille |
|---|---|---|
| After scoring firstWin rate | 66.2%74 games · 49W 18D 7L | 69.8%86 games · 60W 18D 8L |
| After conceding firstWin rate | 10.7% -27.0p56 games · 6W 12D 38L · usual 37.7% | 27.1% -23.6p48 games · 13W 10D 25L · usual 50.7% |
| Leading at 75 minutesWin rate | 84.7%59 games · 50W 9D 0L | 83.1%71 games · 59W 10D 2L |
| Led but failed to win / won from behindgames | 25 / 6 | 28 / 15 |
| Goals by substitutes% of team goals | 17.0 32/188 | 16.9 38/225 |
| Games with 3+ yellow cardsWin rate | +6.5p30 games · 14W 8D 8L · usual 40.2% | -9.5p56 games · 22W 19D 15L · usual 48.8% |
| Penalties won / concededper game | 0.14 / 0.14 | 0.21 / 0.09 |
| Goals for / against from 76th minute% of all goals | 18.9 / 22.5 | 28.9 / 22.9 |
| Failed to score / clean sheets% | 26.7 / 30.1 | 18.1 / 36.1 |
C. Shots and defensive shape 2026-27 4 games this season, averages · last season shown as totals
| items | Nice | Lille |
|---|---|---|
| Shots inside / outside the boxper game | 7.2 / 5.2 | 7.5 / 3.2 |
| Shots blockedper game | 4.2 | 2 |
| Shots faced / on target / inside boxper game | 11 / 4 / 7.8 | 17.5 / 4.2 / 9.8 |
| Keeper saves / goals preventedper game · goals prevented | 2.2 / -0.06 | 3.5 / 0.56 |
| Corners won / concededper game | 6.5 / 2.5 | 1.8 / 6 |
| Offsides / fouls wonper game | 2.2 / 8.8 | 2.5 / 13.5 |
| Passes / accuracyper game / % | 639 / 88 | 442 / 85 |
| 2025-26 xG → goalsseason total | 43.6 → 37 -6.6 | 55.5 → 52 -3.5 |
| 2025-26 xGA → concededseason total | 59.4 → 60 +0.6 | 36.9 → 37 +0.1 |
Order is always home team (Nice) then away team (Lille) · usual = the team's overall league win rate over the same window · ±p = percentage-point gap · fewer than 10 games shown faded and marked sample too small · the small W D L figures are the raw record behind each win rate (draws do not count as wins)
D. Win rate by player involvement League games only (cups and European games excluded) · all games since the player's first appearance for the club (from 2017-18 at the earliest) · pick a player to see the team's win rate when they started, came off the bench, or did not play, plus their record against this opponent · did not play = unused sub or not in the squad · fewer than 10 games shown faded
League games only · cups and Europe excluded · win rate = wins ÷ games
vs Lille · when playing —
Games: · · ·
League games only · cups and Europe excluded · win rate = wins ÷ games
vs Nice · when playing —
Games: · · ·
05How the numbers are compiled
- Source
- API-Football (fixtures, line-ups, events, stats) · Open-Meteo (weather, forecast) · Wikimedia (crests)
- Sample
- Ligue 1 2017-18 to 2026-27 · some conditions since 2022-23 · minimum 10 games (faded and marked below that)
- Match scope
- Conditional stats use league games only · last five games, streaks and rest days use all competitions · win rate = wins ÷ games · usual = league win rate over the same window · home team first
- Updated
- 2026.09.20 14:18 UK
This article summarises historical match data. It does not predict, guarantee or recommend any outcome.