AC Milan vs Lecce
AC Milan host Lecce in Serie A matchweek 5: Sun 20 Sep, 20:45 CEST (21 Sep 03:45 KST). Referee not yet appointed at time of writing.
The last 10 league meetings: Milan 7 wins, 3 draws, Lecce 0 wins; the most recent was Milan 1–0 Lecce in 2026/01. Last five games in all competitions: Milan W2 D2 L1, Lecce W2 D0 L3. Milan have won 45.9% (39W 22D 24L) of 85 games under the condition "Sunday 20:45 kick-off", below their 54.3% over the same window. Milan have won 42.9% (12W 6D 10L) of 28 games under the condition "first league match after an international break (reference)", below their 54.3% over the same window.
Key numbers
| Metric / unit | Milan | Lecce |
|---|---|---|
| Positionpoints | 6th · 8 | 12th · 6 |
| W–D–L4 games | 2–2–0 | 2–0–2 |
| Goals for / againstper game | 1.75 / 1.00 | 1.25 / 1.75 |
| xG / xGAper game | 1.43 / 1.42 | 1.27 / 2.43 |
| Possession% | 58.5 | 40.5 |
| Shots / on targetper game | 13.5 / 4.2 | 9 / 3.5 |
| 2025-26 win rateW–D–L · promoted sides show second-tier record | 52.6% 20–10–8 | 26.3% 10–8–20 |
| Head-to-headW–D–L · since 2017-18 | 7–3–0 | 0–3–7 |
xG = expected goals · xGA = expected goals against · conceded minus xGA: Milan -0.42, Lecce -0.68 (per game)
- ManagersRuben Amorim — league 4 games · 2W 2D 0L · win rate 50.0% · E. Di Francesco — league 42 games · 12W 8D 22L · win rate 28.6% · first league meeting between the two managers
- Last matchMilan 4 days ago UEL home Benfica 0–2 · Lecce 7 days ago SA home Monza 3–2
- Last season's top scorerMilan Rafael Leão (last season 9 goals) has not featured this season · Lecce L. Banda (last season 5 goals) has not featured this season
Last five games
AC Milan
| Opponent | Venue | Result | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| BenficaUEL | home | 0–2L | 0.96 |
| Lazio | away | 2–2D | 1.25 |
| Juventus | away | 1–1D | 0.11 |
| Venezia | home | 2–0W | 2.21 |
| Torino | away | 2–1W | 2.15 |
Lecce
| Opponent | Venue | Result | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monza | home | 3–2W | 1.08 |
| Cagliari | away | 0–1L | 0.50 |
| Roma | home | 0–4L | 0.80 |
| Venezia | away | 2–0W | 2.70 |
| PalermoCoppa | away | 0–2L | — |
all competitions · no xG for cup and European games
Head-to-head
- Milan1–0Lecce
- Lecce0–2Milan
- Lecce2–3Milan
- Milan3–0Lecce
- Milan3–0Lecce
- Lecce2–2Milan
- Milan2–0Lecce
- Lecce2–2Milan
- Lecce1–4Milan
- Milan2–2Lecce
Full head-to-head record and fixture profile →
this ground H2H 5 games Milan 4W 1D 0L · since 2017-18 · green home win / red away win
| H2H 10 games (since 2017-18) | Value |
|---|---|
| Goals per game | 3.30 |
| Games with 3+ goalsshare % | 70.0 |
| Both teams scoredshare % | 50.0 |
| Average time of first goalmin | 31 |
| Goalless at half-timeshare % | 20.0 |
| Goals from 76th minute33 goals, % | 15.2 |
| Yellow cards per game | 3.0 |
| Red cards / penalties10 games total | 3 / 3 |
Conditional data
Conditional records that the table, form and head-to-head do not show. Sample of 10 games or more.
- 45.9%Sunday 20:45 kick-off Milan win rate85 games · 39W 22D 24L · usual 54.3%
- 42.9%first league match after an international break (reference) Milan win rate28 games · 12W 6D 10L · usual 54.3%
- 45.8%After a match 4 days earlier Milan win rate59 games · 27W 19D 13L · usual 54.3%
- 47.5%Sunday games Milan win rate59 games · 28W 15D 16L · usual 52.6% · since 2022-23
- 40.5%C. Pulisic not scoring: Milan win rate74 games · 30W 24D 20L · scored in 27 games: 88.9% (24W 0D 3L) · since 2022-23
The other side. win rate after conceding first: Milan 20.0%, Lecce 3.5% · C. Pulisic vs this opponent 5 games 5 goals.
A. Timing and context win rate · sample · gap vs usual in percentage points
| Condition | Milan | Lecce |
|---|---|---|
| After a match Milan 4 days · Lecce 7 days earlierwin rate · rest counts all competitions | -8.5p59 games · 27W 19D 13L · usual 54.3% | +4.7p43 games · 12W 6D 25L · usual 23.2% |
| League game right after a cup or European matchwin rate · within 7 days · this match qualifies | -0.8p101 games · 54W 27D 20L · usual 54.3% | — |
| Last game before an international breakwin rate · this match qualifies | -4.3p28 games · 14W 6D 8L · usual 54.3% | +6.2p17 games · 5W 4D 8L · usual 23.2% |
| Sunday 20:45 kick-offwin rate · since 2017-18 | -8.4p85 games · 39W 22D 24L · usual 54.3% | +12.1p17 games · 6W 4D 7L · usual 23.2% |
| After last resultMilan D / Lecce W · since 2022-23 | +3.8p39 games · 22W 10D 7L · usual 52.6% | -3.1p35 games · 7W 13D 15L · usual 23.1% |
| Forecast: mostly clearWin rate · Milan home / Lecce away | -1.7p19 games · 10W 6D 3L · usual 54.3% | -14.1p11 games · 1W 3D 7L · usual 23.2% |
| Temperature 20°C or morewin rate · forecast 24.8°C | +9.2p74 games · 47W 16D 11L · usual 54.3% | -1.7p65 games · 14W 17D 34L · usual 23.2% |
| Humidity 80% or morewin rate · forecast 61% | +2.7p142 games · 81W 34D 27L · usual 54.3% | +1.4p57 games · 14W 16D 27L · usual 23.2% |
| Rain or drizzleWin rate | +5.3p57 games · 34W 16D 7L · usual 54.3% | -4.0p26 games · 5W 10D 11L · usual 23.2% |
| September gamesWin rate | +7.5p34 games · 21W 6D 7L · usual 54.3% | +5.4p21 games · 6W 5D 10L · usual 23.2% |
| Manager vs this opponentwin rate · all clubs | — | 9.1% -14.0p11 games · 1W 1D 9L · usual 23.1% |
B. Game management since 2022-23 · usual win rate Milan 52.6% (82W 40D 34L) / Lecce 23.1% (36W 44D 76L)
| items | Milan | Lecce |
|---|---|---|
| After scoring firstWin rate | 79.5%88 games · 70W 16D 2L | 57.9%57 games · 33W 15D 9L |
| After conceding firstWin rate | 20.0% -32.6p60 games · 12W 16D 32L · usual 52.6% | 3.5% -19.6p86 games · 3W 16D 67L · usual 23.1% |
| Leading at 75 minutesWin rate | 89.9%69 games · 62W 7D 0L | 87.5%32 games · 28W 3D 1L |
| Led but failed to win / won from behindgames | 22 / 14 | 25 / 4 |
| Goals by substitutes% of team goals | 19.2 49/255 | 19.8 24/121 |
| Games with 3+ yellow cardsWin rate | -9.4p49 games · 22W 17D 10L · usual 54.3% | +5.6p52 games · 15W 19D 18L · usual 23.2% |
| Penalties won / concededper game | 0.17 / 0.12 | 0.08 / 0.15 |
| Goals for / against from 76th minute% of all goals | 24.9 / 21.8 | 23.2 / 18.1 |
| Failed to score / clean sheets% | 13.5 / 34.6 | 44.2 / 21.2 |
C. Shots and defensive shape 2026-27 4 games this season, averages · last season shown as totals
| items | Milan | Lecce |
|---|---|---|
| Shots inside / outside the boxper game | 10.5 / 3 | 5 / 4 |
| Shots blockedper game | 3.2 | 1.7 |
| Shots faced / on target / inside boxper game | 9.8 / 3.5 / 6.8 | 18.2 / 8.8 / 12 |
| Keeper saves / goals preventedper game · goals prevented | 2.5 / 0.07 | 6.5 / 0.43 |
| Corners won / concededper game | 3 / 3.5 | 3.5 / 4.8 |
| Offsides / fouls wonper game | 0.8 / 11.5 | 0.8 / 9.5 |
| Passes / accuracyper game / % | 540 / 88 | 368 / 76.5 |
| 2025-26 xG → goalsseason total | 60.6 → 53 -7.6 | 31.2 → 28 -3.2 |
| 2025-26 xGA → concededseason total | 44.2 → 35 -9.2 | 57.8 → 50 -7.8 |
Order is always home team (Milan) then away team (Lecce) · usual = the team's overall league win rate over the same window · ±p = percentage-point gap · fewer than 10 games shown faded and marked sample too small · the small W D L figures are the raw record behind each win rate (draws do not count as wins)
D. Win rate by player involvement League games only (cups and European games excluded) · all games since the player's first appearance for the club (from 2017-18 at the earliest) · pick a player to see the team's win rate when they started, came off the bench, or did not play, plus their record against this opponent · did not play = unused sub or not in the squad · fewer than 10 games shown faded
League games only · cups and Europe excluded · win rate = wins ÷ games
vs Lecce · when playing —
Games: · · ·
League games only · cups and Europe excluded · win rate = wins ÷ games
vs Milan · when playing —
Games: · · ·
05How the numbers are compiled
- Source
- API-Football (fixtures, line-ups, events, stats) · Open-Meteo (weather, forecast) · Wikimedia (crests)
- Sample
- Serie A 2017-18 to 2026-27 · some conditions since 2022-23 · minimum 10 games (faded and marked below that)
- Match scope
- Conditional stats use league games only · last five games, streaks and rest days use all competitions · win rate = wins ÷ games · usual = league win rate over the same window · home team first
- Updated
- 2026.09.20 14:18 UK
This article summarises historical match data. It does not predict, guarantee or recommend any outcome.