VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund
VfB Stuttgart host Borussia Dortmund in Bundesliga matchweek 4: Sat 19 Sep, 18:30 CEST (20 Sep 01:30 KST) at MHP Arena. Referee not yet appointed at time of writing.
The last 10 league meetings: Stuttgart 4 wins, 2 draws, Dortmund 4 wins; the most recent was Stuttgart 0–2 Dortmund in 2026/04. Last five games in all competitions: Stuttgart W3 D0 L2, Dortmund W5 D0 L0. Stuttgart have won 21.7% (13W 19D 28L) of 60 games under the condition "Rain or drizzle", below their 38.0% over the same window. Stuttgart have won 25.0% (16W 16D 32L) of 64 games under the condition "Humidity 80% or more", below their 38.0% over the same window.
Key numbers
| Metric / unit | Stuttgart | Dortmund |
|---|---|---|
| Positionpoints | 14th · 3 | 2nd · 9 |
| W–D–L3 games | 1–0–2 | 3–0–0 |
| Goals for / againstper game | 2.00 / 2.67 | 2.67 / 0.67 |
| xG / xGAper game | 2.14 / 3.23 | 1.77 / 0.86 |
| Possession% | 52 | 50.3 |
| Shots / on targetper game | 16.3 / 5.7 | 15 / 6 |
| 2025-26 win rateW–D–L · promoted sides show second-tier record | 52.9% 18–8–8 | 64.7% 22–7–5 |
| Head-to-headW–D–L · since 2017-18 | 6–2–8 | 8–2–6 |
xG = expected goals · xGA = expected goals against · conceded minus xGA: Stuttgart -0.56, Dortmund -0.19 (per game)
- ManagersS. Hoeneb — league 115 games · 61W 24D 30L · win rate 53.0% · N. Kovač — league 51 games · 34W 8D 9L · win rate 66.7% · manager duel 3W 1D 1L (Stuttgart perspective)
- Last matchStuttgart 7 days ago BL away Hoffenheim 1–2 · Dortmund 7 days ago BL home Paderborn 3–0
Last five games
VfB Stuttgart
| Opponent | Venue | Result | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hoffenheim | away | 1–2L | 2.16 |
| VikingUCL | home | 3–1W | — |
| Köln | home | 4–1W | 3.47 |
| Bayern | away | 1–5L | 0.79 |
| Hansa RostockPokal | away | 4–0W | — |
Borussia Dortmund
| Opponent | Venue | Result | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paderborn | home | 3–0W | 1.76 |
| VillarrealUCL | home | 3–2W | 2.83 |
| Hoffenheim | away | 3–2W | 2.02 |
| HEBCPokal | away | 5–0W | — |
| Hamburg | home | 2–0W | 1.53 |
Dortmund 8 straight games scoring · Dortmund 5 unbeaten · all competitions · no xG for cup and European games
Head-to-head
- Stuttgart0–2Dortmund
- Dortmund3–3Stuttgart
- Dortmund1–2Stuttgart
- Stuttgart5–1Dortmund
- Dortmund0–1Stuttgart
- Stuttgart2–1Dortmund
- Stuttgart3–3Dortmund
- Dortmund5–0Stuttgart
- Stuttgart0–2Dortmund
- Dortmund2–1Stuttgart
Full head-to-head record and fixture profile →
MHP Arena H2H 8 games Stuttgart 3W 1D 4L · since 2017-18 · green home win / red away win
| H2H 16 games (since 2017-18) | Value |
|---|---|
| Goals per game | 3.88 |
| Games with 3+ goalsshare % | 81.2 |
| Both teams scoredshare % | 62.5 |
| Average time of first goalmin | 32.8 |
| Goalless at half-timeshare % | 31.2 |
| Goals from 76th minute62 goals, % | 30.6 |
| Yellow cards per game | 4.25 |
| Red cards / penalties16 games total | 2 / 4 |
Conditional data
Conditional records that the table, form and head-to-head do not show. Sample of 10 games or more.
- 21.7%Rain or drizzle Stuttgart win rate60 games · 13W 19D 28L · usual 38.0%
- 25.0%Humidity 80% or more Stuttgart win rate64 games · 16W 16D 32L · usual 38.0%
- 71.9%September games Dortmund win rate32 games · 23W 5D 4L · usual 59.2%
- 68.2%Forecast temperature band Dortmund win rate44 games · 30W 3D 11L · usual 59.2%
- 38.5%D. Undav not scoring: Stuttgart win rate52 games · 20W 11D 21L · scored in 37 games: 73.0% (27W 7D 3L) · since 2022-23
The other side. win rate after conceding first: Stuttgart 21.9%, Dortmund 25.6% · D. Undav vs this opponent 6 games 6 goals.
A. Timing and context win rate · sample · gap vs usual in percentage points
| Condition | Stuttgart | Dortmund |
|---|---|---|
| After a match 7 days earlierwin rate · rest counts all competitions | -0.5p72 games · 27W 17D 28L · usual 38.0% | +1.1p58 games · 35W 10D 13L · usual 59.2% |
| Last game before an international breakwin rate · this match qualifies | +4.3p26 games · 11W 4D 11L · usual 38.0% | -12.8p28 games · 13W 6D 9L · usual 59.2% |
| Saturday 18:30 kick-offwin rate · since 2017-18 | +10.0p25 games · 12W 4D 9L · usual 38.0% | -3.8p74 games · 41W 10D 23L · usual 59.2% |
| After last resultStuttgart L / Dortmund 3+ wins · since 2022-23 | +5.1p43 games · 22W 10D 11L · usual 46.1% | +3.1p29 games · 18W 7D 4L · usual 59.0% |
| Forecast: overcastWin rate · Stuttgart home / Dortmund away | +13.8p56 games · 29W 10D 17L · usual 38.0% | -12.8p69 games · 32W 17D 20L · usual 59.2% |
| Temperature 20°C or morewin rate · forecast 22.6°C | +10.8p43 games · 21W 11D 11L · usual 38.0% | +9.0p44 games · 30W 3D 11L · usual 59.2% |
| Humidity 80% or morewin rate · forecast 47% | -13.0p64 games · 16W 16D 32L · usual 38.0% | -1.3p107 games · 62W 20D 25L · usual 59.2% |
| Rain or drizzleWin rate | -16.3p60 games · 13W 19D 28L · usual 38.0% | +5.4p79 games · 51W 13D 15L · usual 59.2% |
| September gamesWin rate | +2.0p30 games · 12W 8D 10L · usual 38.0% | +12.7p32 games · 23W 5D 4L · usual 59.2% |
| Manager vs this opponentwin rate · all clubs | 36.4% -9.7p11 games · 4W 3D 4L · usual 46.1% | 54.5% -4.5p11 games · 6W 1D 4L · usual 59.0% |
B. Game management since 2022-23 · usual win rate Stuttgart 46.1% (65W 32D 44L) / Dortmund 59.0% (82W 27D 30L)
| items | Stuttgart | Dortmund |
|---|---|---|
| After scoring firstWin rate | 68.9%74 games · 51W 13D 10L | 75.5%94 games · 71W 17D 6L |
| After conceding firstWin rate | 21.9% -24.2p64 games · 14W 16D 34L · usual 46.1% | 25.6% -33.4p43 games · 11W 8D 24L · usual 59.0% |
| Leading at 75 minutesWin rate | 88.1%59 games · 52W 4D 3L | 88.5%78 games · 69W 8D 1L |
| Led but failed to win / won from behindgames | 27 / 14 | 24 / 14 |
| Goals by substitutes% of team goals | 21.4 57/266 | 18.7 55/294 |
| Games with 3+ yellow cardsWin rate | -5.4p43 games · 14W 11D 18L · usual 38.0% | -9.2p42 games · 21W 9D 12L · usual 59.2% |
| Penalties won / concededper game | 0.15 / 0.15 | 0.16 / 0.11 |
| Goals for / against from 76th minute% of all goals | 26.3 / 27.1 | 25.7 / 23.6 |
| Failed to score / clean sheets% | 14.2 / 23.4 | 10.1 / 33.1 |
C. Shots and defensive shape 2026-27 3 games this season, averages · last season shown as totals
| items | Stuttgart | Dortmund |
|---|---|---|
| Shots inside / outside the boxper game | 11.7 / 4.7 | 10.7 / 4.3 |
| Shots blockedper game | 4.7 | 4 |
| Shots faced / on target / inside boxper game | 19.7 / 7.3 / 13.3 | 12 / 3 / 6.7 |
| Keeper saves / goals preventedper game · goals prevented | 4.7 / -0.34 | 2.3 / -0.41 |
| Corners won / concededper game | 6.7 / 7.3 | 4.3 / 4.7 |
| Offsides / fouls wonper game | 1 / 10.3 | 2 / 13 |
| Passes / accuracyper game / % | 469 / 79.7 | 475 / 82.7 |
| 2025-26 xG → goalsseason total | 60.1 → 71 +10.9 | 63.8 → 70 +6.2 |
| 2025-26 xGA → concededseason total | 51.0 → 49 -2.0 | 39.7 → 34 -5.7 |
Order is always home team (Stuttgart) then away team (Dortmund) · usual = the team's overall league win rate over the same window · ±p = percentage-point gap · fewer than 10 games shown faded and marked sample too small · the small W D L figures are the raw record behind each win rate (draws do not count as wins)
D. Win rate by player involvement League games only (cups and European games excluded) · all games since the player's first appearance for the club (from 2017-18 at the earliest) · pick a player to see the team's win rate when they started, came off the bench, or did not play, plus their record against this opponent · did not play = unused sub or not in the squad · fewer than 10 games shown faded
League games only · cups and Europe excluded · win rate = wins ÷ games
vs Dortmund · when playing —
Games: · · ·
League games only · cups and Europe excluded · win rate = wins ÷ games
vs Stuttgart · when playing —
Games: · · ·
05How the numbers are compiled
- Source
- API-Football (fixtures, line-ups, events, stats) · Open-Meteo (weather, forecast) · Wikimedia (crests)
- Sample
- Bundesliga 2017-18 to 2026-27 · some conditions since 2022-23 · minimum 10 games (faded and marked below that)
- Match scope
- Conditional stats use league games only · last five games, streaks and rest days use all competitions · win rate = wins ÷ games · usual = league win rate over the same window · home team first
- Updated
- 2026.09.18 03:45 UK
This article summarises historical match data. It does not predict, guarantee or recommend any outcome.