Bayern Munich vs RB Leipzig
Full time
Bayern6–1Leipzig
GoalsBayern L. Díaz 12' · A. Pavlović 26' · M. Olise 34' · L. Díaz 47' · H. Kane 53' · L. Díaz 69'Leipzig A. Maksimovic 90'
Kicked off 2026.10.17. The data below is as it stood before kick-off and has not been edited to match the result. See the full head-to-head record
Bayern Munich host RB Leipzig in Bundesliga matchweek 6: Sat 17 Oct, 18:30 CEST (18 Oct 01:30 KST) at Allianz Arena. Referee Tobias Stieler.
The last 10 league meetings: Bayern 6 wins, 3 draws, Leipzig 1 wins; the most recent was Leipzig 1–5 Bayern in 2026/01. Last five games in all competitions: Bayern W3 D2 L0, Leipzig W3 D0 L2. Bayern have won 58.2% (46W 21D 12L) of 79 games under the condition "After a match 4 days earlier", below their 72.3% over the same window. Leipzig have won 60.6% (20W 10D 3L) of 33 games under the condition "October games", above their 52.4% over the same window.
Key numbers
| Metric / unit | Bayern | Leipzig |
|---|---|---|
| Positionpoints | 3rd · 11 | 7th · 9 |
| W–D–L5 games | 3–2–0 | 3–0–2 |
| Goals for / againstper game | 3.20 / 0.80 | 3.00 / 1.00 |
| xG / xGAper game | 3.45 / 1.08 | 2.98 / 1.15 |
| Possession% | 70.4 | 55.4 |
| Shots / on targetper game | 23.4 / 9 | 19 / 7 |
| 2025-26 win rateW–D–L · promoted sides show second-tier record | 82.4% 28–5–1 | 58.8% 20–5–9 |
| Head-to-headW–D–L · since 2017-18 | 9–7–2 | 2–7–9 |
xG = expected goals · xGA = expected goals against · conceded minus xGA: Bayern -0.28, Leipzig -0.15 (per game)
- ManagersV. Kompany — league 73 games · 56W 14D 3L · win rate 76.7% · M. Demichelis — league 2 games · 1W 0D 1L · win rate 50.0% · first league meeting between the two managers
- Last matchBayern 4 days ago UCL away Viking 3–3 · Leipzig 4 days ago UCL home PSV Eindhoven 1–0
- Last season's top scorerLeipzig C. Baumgartner (last season 13 goals) has not featured this season
Last five games
Bayern Munich
| Opponent | Venue | Result | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| VikingUCL | away | 3–3D | 3.51 |
| Augsburg | away | 2–2D | 4.96 |
| Union Berlin | home | 7–0W | — |
| Elversberg | away | 2–1W | 2.83 |
| Bodo/GlimtUCL | home | 5–0W | — |
RB Leipzig
| Opponent | Venue | Result | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| PSV EindhovenUCL | home | 1–0W | 2.10 |
| Frankfurt | home | 6–0W | 4.03 |
| Leverkusen | away | 0–2L | — |
| Hamburg | home | 5–0W | 2.43 |
| ComoUCL | away | 1–4L | — |
Bayern 14 unbeaten · Bayern league home 9 unbeaten · all competitions · no xG for cup and European games
Head-to-head
- Leipzig1–5Bayern
- Bayern6–0Leipzig
- Leipzig3–3Bayern
- Bayern5–1Leipzig
- Bayern2–1Leipzig
- Leipzig2–2Bayern
- Bayern1–3Leipzig
- Leipzig1–1Bayern
- Bayern3–2Leipzig
- Leipzig1–4Bayern
Full head-to-head record and fixture profile →
Allianz Arena H2H 9 games Bayern 6W 2D 1L · since 2017-18 · green home win / red away win
| H2H 18 games (since 2017-18) | Value |
|---|---|
| Goals per game | 3.44 |
| Games with 3+ goalsshare % | 61.1 |
| Both teams scoredshare % | 66.7 |
| Average time of first goalmin | 24.7 |
| Goalless at half-timeshare % | 22.2 |
| Goals from 76th minute62 goals, % | 19.4 |
| Yellow cards per game | 3.94 |
| Red cards / penalties18 games total | 3 / 5 |
Conditional data
Conditional records that the table, form and head-to-head do not show. Sample of 10 games or more.
- 58.2%After a match 4 days earlier Bayern win rate79 games · 46W 21D 12L · usual 72.3%
- 60.6%October games Leipzig win rate33 games · 20W 10D 3L · usual 52.4%
- 56.5%League game right after a cup or European match Leipzig win rate108 games · 61W 27D 20L · usual 52.4%
- 61.7%Temperature 20°C or more Leipzig win rate47 games · 29W 7D 11L · usual 52.4%
- 51.4%H. Kane not scoring: Bayern win rate35 games · 18W 11D 6L · scored in 64 games: 87.5% (56W 5D 3L) · since 2022-23
The other side. win rate after conceding first: Bayern 38.9%, Leipzig 25.0% · M. Olise vs this opponent 4 games 4 goals.
A. Timing and context win rate · sample · gap vs usual in percentage points
| Condition | Bayern | Leipzig |
|---|---|---|
| After a match 4 days earlierwin rate · rest counts all competitions | -14.1p79 games · 46W 21D 12L · usual 72.3% | +11.4p47 games · 30W 6D 11L · usual 52.4% |
| League game right after a cup or European matchwin rate · within 7 days · this match qualifies | -4.4p137 games · 93W 27D 17L · usual 72.3% | +4.1p108 games · 61W 27D 20L · usual 52.4% |
| Saturday 18:30 kick-offwin rate · since 2017-18 | -0.3p75 games · 54W 13D 8L · usual 72.3% | -4.0p62 games · 30W 13D 19L · usual 52.4% |
| After last resultBayern D / Leipzig W · since 2022-23 | +1.1p25 games · 18W 5D 2L · usual 70.9% | -3.2p74 games · 37W 16D 21L · usual 53.2% |
| Temperature 20°C or morewin rate · forecast °C | +2.0p35 games · 26W 5D 4L · usual 72.3% | +9.3p47 games · 29W 7D 11L · usual 52.4% |
| Humidity 80% or morewin rate · forecast % | -2.6p99 games · 69W 18D 12L · usual 72.3% | +0.2p95 games · 50W 18D 27L · usual 52.4% |
| Rain or drizzleWin rate | -4.2p72 games · 49W 10D 13L · usual 72.3% | -0.2p67 games · 35W 15D 17L · usual 52.4% |
| October gamesWin rate | +2.7p32 games · 24W 5D 3L · usual 72.3% | +8.2p33 games · 20W 10D 3L · usual 52.4% |
| Manager vs this opponentwin rate · all clubs | 75.0%sample too small4 games · 3W 1D 0L · usual 70.9% | — |
B. Game management since 2022-23 · usual win rate Bayern 70.9% (100W 25D 16L) / Leipzig 53.2% (75W 31D 35L)
| items | Bayern | Leipzig |
|---|---|---|
| After scoring firstWin rate | 83.5%103 games · 86W 9D 8L | 74.4%86 games · 64W 11D 11L |
| After conceding firstWin rate | 38.9% -32.0p36 games · 14W 14D 8L · usual 70.9% | 25.0% -28.2p44 games · 11W 9D 24L · usual 53.2% |
| Leading at 75 minutesWin rate | 94.9%99 games · 94W 5D 0L | 93.1%72 games · 67W 4D 1L |
| Led but failed to win / won from behindgames | 21 / 15 | 23 / 11 |
| Goals by substitutes% of team goals | 13.8 57/413 | 12.7 34/268 |
| Games with 3+ yellow cardsWin rate | -20.3p25 games · 13W 10D 2L · usual 72.3% | -8.0p36 games · 16W 9D 11L · usual 52.4% |
| Penalties won / concededper game | 0.21 / 0.11 | 0.11 / 0.11 |
| Goals for / against from 76th minute% of all goals | 22.5 / 30.3 | 18.9 / 18.3 |
| Failed to score / clean sheets% | 4.3 / 36.9 | 16.3 / 34.0 |
C. Shots and defensive shape 2026-27 5 games this season, averages · last season shown as totals
| items | Bayern | Leipzig |
|---|---|---|
| Shots inside / outside the boxper game | 14.2 / 9.2 | 14 / 5 |
| Shots blockedper game | 7.2 | 4.6 |
| Shots faced / on target / inside boxper game | 7 / 2.6 / 5 | 14.6 / 6 / 10.4 |
| Keeper saves / goals preventedper game · goals prevented | 1.8 / -0.08 | 5 / -0.62 |
| Corners won / concededper game | 9.4 / 2.6 | 6 / 6 |
| Offsides / fouls wonper game | 2.4 / 10 | 0.6 / 13.2 |
| Passes / accuracyper game / % | 715 / 88.8 | 529 / 87.3 |
| 2025-26 xG → goalsseason total | 100.8 → 122 +21.2 | 67.3 → 66 -1.3 |
| 2025-26 xGA → concededseason total | 42.0 → 36 -6.0 | 51.2 → 47 -4.2 |
Order is always home team (Bayern) then away team (Leipzig) · usual = the team's overall league win rate over the same window · ±p = percentage-point gap · fewer than 10 games shown faded and marked sample too small · the small W D L figures are the raw record behind each win rate (draws do not count as wins)
D. Win rate by player involvement League games only (cups and European games excluded) · all games since the player's first appearance for the club (from 2017-18 at the earliest) · pick a player to see the team's win rate when they started, came off the bench, or did not play, plus their record against this opponent · did not play = unused sub or not in the squad · fewer than 10 games shown faded
League games only · cups and Europe excluded · win rate = wins ÷ games
vs Leipzig · when playing —
Games: · · ·
League games only · cups and Europe excluded · win rate = wins ÷ games
vs Bayern · when playing —
Games: · · ·
05How the numbers are compiled
- Source
- API-Football (fixtures, line-ups, events, stats) · Open-Meteo (weather, forecast) · Wikimedia (crests)
- Sample
- Bundesliga 2017-18 to 2026-27 · some conditions since 2022-23 · minimum 10 games (faded and marked below that)
- Match scope
- Conditional stats use league games only · last five games, streaks and rest days use all competitions · win rate = wins ÷ games · usual = league win rate over the same window · home team first
- Updated
- 2026.10.19 07:24 UK
This article summarises historical match data. It does not predict, guarantee or recommend any outcome.