FC Schalke 04 vs Mainz 05
Full time
Schalke0–1Mainz
GoalsMainz P. Tietz 24'
Kicked off 2026.10.17. The data below is as it stood before kick-off and has not been edited to match the result. See the full head-to-head record
FC Schalke 04 host Mainz 05 in Bundesliga matchweek 6: Sat 17 Oct, 15:30 CEST (17 Oct 22:30 KST) at Veltins Arena. Referee not yet appointed at time of writing.
The last 10 league meetings: Schalke 6 wins, 3 draws, Mainz 1 wins; the most recent was Mainz 2–3 Schalke in 2023/05. Last five games in all competitions: Schalke W1 D2 L2, Mainz W2 D1 L2. Schalke have won 30.3% (10W 15D 8L) of 33 games under the condition "After a match 6 days earlier", above their 26.3% over the same window. Mainz have won 25.0% (8W 6D 18L) of 32 games under the condition "October games", below their 32.2% over the same window.
Key numbers
| Metric / unit | Schalke | Mainz |
|---|---|---|
| Positionpoints | 13th · 5 | 8th · 7 |
| W–D–L5 games | 1–2–2 | 2–1–2 |
| Goals for / againstper game | 0.80 / 1.20 | 2.60 / 2.00 |
| xG / xGAper game | 1.29 / 2.19 | 2.25 / 1.16 |
| Possession% | 38.4 | 50.2 |
| Shots / on targetper game | 10.4 / 3.6 | 19.2 / 6 |
| 2025-26 win rateW–D–L · promoted sides show second-tier record | 61.8% 2.BL 21–7–6 | 29.4% 10–10–14 |
| Head-to-headW–D–L · since 2017-18 | 6–3–1 | 1–3–6 |
xG = expected goals · xGA = expected goals against · conceded minus xGA: Schalke -0.99, Mainz +0.84 (per game)
- ManagersMiron Muslic — league 5 games · 1W 2D 2L · win rate 20.0% · U. Fischer — league 31 games · 12W 9D 10L · win rate 38.7% · first league meeting between the two managers
- Last matchSchalke 6 days ago BL away Freiburg 1–2 · Mainz 7 days ago BL home Leverkusen 3–4
Last five games
FC Schalke 04
| Opponent | Venue | Result | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Freiburg | away | 1–2L | 0.32 |
| Elversberg | home | 0–0D | — |
| Union Berlin | away | 3–1W | 2.52 |
| Bayern | home | 0–0D | 0.21 |
| Augsburg | away | 0–3L | 2.10 |
Mainz 05
| Opponent | Venue | Result | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leverkusen | home | 3–4L | 2.87 |
| Gladbach | away | 4–3W | — |
| Frankfurt | home | 1–3L | 2.12 |
| Hamburg | away | 5–0W | 2.77 |
| Paderborn | home | 0–0D | 1.23 |
Schalke league home 5 unbeaten · Mainz league away 8 unbeaten · all competitions
Head-to-head
- Mainz2–3Schalke
- Schalke1–0Mainz
- Schalke0–0Mainz
- Mainz2–2Schalke
- Mainz0–0Schalke
- Schalke2–1Mainz
- Mainz3–0Schalke
- Schalke1–0Mainz
- Mainz0–1Schalke
- Schalke2–0Mainz
Full head-to-head record and fixture profile →
Veltins Arena H2H 5 games Schalke 4W 1D 0L · since 2017-18 · green home win / red away win
| H2H 10 games (since 2017-18) | Value |
|---|---|
| Goals per game | 2.00 |
| Games with 3+ goalsshare % | 40.0 |
| Both teams scoredshare % | 30.0 |
| Average time of first goalmin | 21.9 |
| Goalless at half-timeshare % | 30.0 |
| Goals from 76th minute20 goals, % | 20.0 |
| Yellow cards per game | 3.8 |
| Red cards / penalties10 games total | 0 / 3 |
Conditional data
Conditional records that the table, form and head-to-head do not show. Sample of 10 games or more.
- 30.3%After a match 6 days earlier Schalke win rate33 games · 10W 15D 8L · usual 26.3%
- 25.0%October games Mainz win rate32 games · 8W 6D 18L · usual 32.2%
- 38.5%Forecast: clear Schalke home win rate13 games · 5W 3D 5L · usual 26.3%
- 30.0%Rain or drizzle Mainz win rate70 games · 21W 16D 33L · usual 32.2%
- 26.6%Jae-Sung Lee not scoring: Mainz win rate109 games · 29W 37D 43L · scored in 20 games: 65.0% (13W 4D 3L) · since 2022-23
The other side. win rate after conceding first: Schalke 4.3%, Mainz 10.1%.
A. Timing and context win rate · sample · gap vs usual in percentage points
| Condition | Schalke | Mainz |
|---|---|---|
| After a match Schalke 6 days · Mainz 7 days earlierwin rate · rest counts all competitions | +4.0p33 games · 10W 15D 8L · usual 26.3% | -0.7p92 games · 29W 26D 37L · usual 32.2% |
| Saturday 15:30 kick-offwin rate · since 2017-18 | +2.5p66 games · 19W 19D 28L · usual 26.3% | +3.4p174 games · 62W 38D 74L · usual 32.2% |
| After last resultSchalke L / Mainz L · since 2022-23 | -4.7p19 games · 3W 5D 11L · usual 20.5% | -3.9p50 games · 14W 22D 14L · usual 31.9% |
| Forecast: clearWin rate · Schalke home / Mainz away | +12.2p13 games · 5W 3D 5L · usual 26.3% | -2.2p20 games · 6W 5D 9L · usual 32.2% |
| Temperature 20°C or morewin rate · forecast 13.7°C | -4.6p23 games · 5W 6D 12L · usual 26.3% | +3.8p50 games · 18W 10D 22L · usual 32.2% |
| Humidity 80% or morewin rate · forecast 71% | +0.2p49 games · 13W 15D 21L · usual 26.3% | +1.1p84 games · 28W 21D 35L · usual 32.2% |
| Rain or drizzleWin rate | +5.3p38 games · 12W 7D 19L · usual 26.3% | -2.2p70 games · 21W 16D 33L · usual 32.2% |
| October gamesWin rate | -10.5p19 games · 3W 6D 10L · usual 26.3% | -7.2p32 games · 8W 6D 18L · usual 32.2% |
| Manager vs this opponentwin rate · all clubs | — | 16.7%sample too small6 games · 1W 4D 1L · usual 31.9% |
B. Game management since 2022-23 · usual win rate Schalke 20.5% (8W 12D 19L) / Mainz 31.9% (45W 45D 51L)
| items | Schalke | Mainz |
|---|---|---|
| After scoring firstWin rate | 77.8%9 games · 7W 2D 0L | 59.4%64 games · 38W 19D 7L |
| After conceding firstWin rate | 4.3% -16.2p23 games · 1W 3D 19L · usual 20.5% | 10.1% -21.8p69 games · 7W 18D 44L · usual 31.9% |
| Leading at 75 minutesWin rate | 100.0%6 games · 6W 0D 0L | 73.1%52 games · 38W 12D 2L |
| Led but failed to win / won from behindgames | 2 / 1 | 29 / 7 |
| Goals by substitutes% of team goals | 25.0 9/36 | 11.9 24/202 |
| Games with 3+ yellow cardsWin rate | -8.1p11 games · 2W 6D 3L · usual 26.3% | -1.6p62 games · 19W 20D 23L · usual 32.2% |
| Penalties won / concededper game | 0.10 / 0.13 | 0.13 / 0.11 |
| Goals for / against from 76th minute% of all goals | 38.5 / 31.2 | 21.0 / 25.5 |
| Failed to score / clean sheets% | 46.2 / 23.1 | 24.1 / 21.3 |
C. Shots and defensive shape 2026-27 5 games this season, averages · last season shown as totals
| items | Schalke | Mainz |
|---|---|---|
| Shots inside / outside the boxper game | 7.4 / 3 | 14.2 / 5 |
| Shots blockedper game | 2.8 | 4.8 |
| Shots faced / on target / inside boxper game | 16 / 6.2 / 11.6 | 13.2 / 4 / 9 |
| Keeper saves / goals preventedper game · goals prevented | 5.2 / 0.50 | 2 / -0.05 |
| Corners won / concededper game | 2.8 / 7.4 | 5.6 / 4 |
| Offsides / fouls wonper game | 2.4 / 9.8 | 1 / 11 |
| Passes / accuracyper game / % | 341 / 63 | 443 / 81.2 |
Order is always home team (Schalke) then away team (Mainz) · usual = the team's overall league win rate over the same window · ±p = percentage-point gap · fewer than 10 games shown faded and marked sample too small · the small W D L figures are the raw record behind each win rate (draws do not count as wins)
D. Win rate by player involvement League games only (cups and European games excluded) · all games since the player's first appearance for the club (from 2017-18 at the earliest) · pick a player to see the team's win rate when they started, came off the bench, or did not play, plus their record against this opponent · did not play = unused sub or not in the squad · fewer than 10 games shown faded
League games only · cups and Europe excluded · win rate = wins ÷ games
vs Mainz · when playing —
Games: · · ·
League games only · cups and Europe excluded · win rate = wins ÷ games
vs Schalke · when playing —
Games: · · ·
05How the numbers are compiled
- Source
- API-Football (fixtures, line-ups, events, stats) · Open-Meteo (weather, forecast) · Wikimedia (crests)
- Sample
- Bundesliga 2017-18 to 2026-27 · some conditions since 2022-23 · minimum 10 games (faded and marked below that)
- Match scope
- Conditional stats use league games only · last five games, streaks and rest days use all competitions · win rate = wins ÷ games · usual = league win rate over the same window · home team first
- Updated
- 2026.10.16 18:44 UK
This article summarises historical match data. It does not predict, guarantee or recommend any outcome.