Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07
Full time
Bremen2–2Paderborn
GoalsBremen N. Füllkrug 59' · N. Füllkrug 65' (PK)Paderborn S. Marino 18' · S. Tigges 30'
Kicked off 2026.10.17. The data below is as it stood before kick-off and has not been edited to match the result. See the full head-to-head record
Werder Bremen host SC Paderborn 07 in Bundesliga matchweek 6: Sat 17 Oct, 15:30 CEST (17 Oct 22:30 KST) at Weserstadion. Referee not yet appointed at time of writing.
The last 2 league meetings: Bremen 1 wins, 0 draws, Paderborn 1 wins; the most recent was Paderborn 1–5 Bremen in 2020/06. Last five games in all competitions: Bremen W2 D2 L1, Paderborn W1 D1 L3. Bremen have won 23.8% (15W 17D 31L) of 63 games under the condition "After a match 8–14 days earlier", below their 30.1% over the same window. Paderborn have won 25.0% (3W 2D 7L) of 12 games under the condition "Humidity 80% or more", above their 14.6% over the same window.
Key numbers
| Metric / unit | Bremen | Paderborn |
|---|---|---|
| Positionpoints | 7th · 8 | 15th · 4 |
| W–D–L5 games | 2–2–1 | 1–1–3 |
| Goals for / againstper game | 2.00 / 2.00 | 0.60 / 1.40 |
| xG / xGAper game | 0.94 / 1.98 | 0.99 / 1.68 |
| Possession% | 43.2 | 47.8 |
| Shots / on targetper game | 13.2 / 6 | 14.2 / 2.8 |
| 2025-26 win rateW–D–L · promoted sides show second-tier record | 23.5% 8–8–18 | 50.0% 1–1–0 |
| Head-to-headW–D–L · since 2017-18 | 1–0–1 | 1–0–1 |
xG = expected goals · xGA = expected goals against · conceded minus xGA: Bremen +0.02, Paderborn -0.28 (per game)
- ManagersDaniel Thioune — league 27 games · 6W 5D 16L · win rate 22.2% · Ralf Kettemann — league 7 games · 2W 2D 3L · win rate 28.6% · first league meeting between the two managers
- Last matchBremen 8 days ago BL away Dortmund 2–2 · Paderborn 7 days ago BL home Stuttgart 0–2
- Last season's top scorerBremen J. Stage (last season 10 goals) has not featured this season
Last five games
Werder Bremen
| Opponent | Venue | Result | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dortmund | away | 2–2D | 1.13 |
| Augsburg | home | 3–2W | — |
| Köln | away | 1–1D | 1.12 |
| Leipzig | home | 3–1W | 0.95 |
| Freiburg | away | 1–4L | 0.54 |
SC Paderborn 07
| Opponent | Venue | Result | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stuttgart | home | 0–2L | 1.96 |
| Hoffenheim | home | 3–1W | — |
| Dortmund | away | 0–3L | 0.49 |
| Freiburg | home | 0–1L | 0.77 |
| Mainz | away | 0–0D | 0.73 |
all competitions
Head-to-head
- Paderborn1–5Bremen
- Bremen0–1Paderborn
Full head-to-head record and fixture profile →
Weserstadion H2H 1 games Bremen 0W 0D 1L · since 2017-18 · green home win / red away win
Conditional data
Conditional records that the table, form and head-to-head do not show. Sample of 10 games or more.
- 23.8%After a match 8–14 days earlier Bremen win rate63 games · 15W 17D 31L · usual 30.1%
- 25.0%Humidity 80% or more Paderborn win rate12 games · 3W 2D 7L · usual 14.6%
- 16.7%Forecast weather type Paderborn win rate30 games · 5W 9D 16L · usual 14.6%
- 26.5%Forecast: partly cloudy Bremen win rate34 games · 9W 10D 15L · usual 30.1%
- 11.1%N. Füllkrug not scoring: Bremen win rate18 games · 2W 3D 13L · scored in 17 games: 52.9% (9W 5D 3L) · since 2022-23
The other side. win rate after conceding first: Bremen 10.1%, Paderborn 25.0%.
A. Timing and context win rate · sample · gap vs usual in percentage points
| Condition | Bremen | Paderborn |
|---|---|---|
| After a match Bremen 8 days · Paderborn 7 days earlierwin rate · rest counts all competitions · 8–14 and 15+ days grouped | -6.3p63 games · 15W 17D 31L · usual 30.1% | -14.6p10 games · 0W 2D 8L · usual 14.6% |
| Saturday 15:30 kick-offwin rate · since 2017-18 | +3.5p137 games · 46W 36D 55L · usual 30.1% | -6.3p24 games · 2W 7D 15L · usual 14.6% |
| After last resultBremen D / Paderborn L · since 2022-23 | +4.5p33 games · 12W 8D 13L · usual 31.9% | sample too small3 games · 1W 1D 1L · usual 28.6% |
| Forecast: partly cloudyWin rate · Bremen home / Paderborn away | +1.1p16 games · 5W 5D 6L · usual 30.1% | sample too small3 games · 1W 1D 1L · usual 14.6% |
| Temperature 20°C or morewin rate · forecast 14.4°C | +1.5p38 games · 12W 8D 18L · usual 30.1% | -6.3p12 games · 1W 2D 9L · usual 14.6% |
| Humidity 80% or morewin rate · forecast 55% | -0.5p98 games · 29W 30D 39L · usual 30.1% | +10.4p12 games · 3W 2D 7L · usual 14.6% |
| Rain or drizzleWin rate | +4.3p64 games · 22W 20D 22L · usual 30.1% | -5.5p11 games · 1W 1D 9L · usual 14.6% |
| October gamesWin rate | +4.4p29 games · 10W 10D 9L · usual 30.1% | sample too small4 games · 1W 0D 3L · usual 14.6% |
B. Game management since 2022-23 · usual win rate Bremen 31.9% (45W 34D 62L) / Paderborn 28.6% (2W 2D 3L)
| items | Bremen | Paderborn |
|---|---|---|
| After scoring firstWin rate | 63.8%58 games · 37W 14D 7L | 100.0%1 games · 1W 0D 0L |
| After conceding firstWin rate | 10.1% -21.8p79 games · 8W 16D 55L · usual 31.9% | 25.0%sample too small4 games · 1W 0D 3L · usual 28.6% |
| Leading at 75 minutesWin rate | 81.8%44 games · 36W 6D 2L | 100.0%1 games · 1W 0D 0L |
| Led but failed to win / won from behindgames | 25 / 8 | 0 / 1 |
| Goals by substitutes% of team goals | 19.6 38/194 | 20.0 1/5 |
| Games with 3+ yellow cardsWin rate | +6.4p52 games · 19W 14D 19L · usual 30.1% | sample too small3 games · 1W 1D 1L · usual 14.6% |
| Penalties won / concededper game | 0.13 / 0.13 | 0.00 / 0.00 |
| Goals for / against from 76th minute% of all goals | 32.0 / 23.7 | 20.0 / 37.5 |
| Failed to score / clean sheets% | 24.8 / 19.1 | 71.4 / 28.6 |
C. Shots and defensive shape 2026-27 5 games this season, averages · last season shown as totals
| items | Bremen | Paderborn |
|---|---|---|
| Shots inside / outside the boxper game | 9 / 4.2 | 8 / 6.2 |
| Shots blockedper game | 3.4 | 4.8 |
| Shots faced / on target / inside boxper game | 16.2 / 5.8 / 9.4 | 18.4 / 5.4 / 13 |
| Keeper saves / goals preventedper game · goals prevented | 3.6 / -0.21 | 3.8 / 0.41 |
| Corners won / concededper game | 3.4 / 6.4 | 4.6 / 6.4 |
| Offsides / fouls wonper game | 2.4 / 10.6 | 1.2 / 10.8 |
| Passes / accuracyper game / % | 446 / 79.8 | 455 / 82.8 |
Order is always home team (Bremen) then away team (Paderborn) · usual = the team's overall league win rate over the same window · ±p = percentage-point gap · fewer than 10 games shown faded and marked sample too small · the small W D L figures are the raw record behind each win rate (draws do not count as wins)
D. Win rate by player involvement League games only (cups and European games excluded) · all games since the player's first appearance for the club (from 2017-18 at the earliest) · pick a player to see the team's win rate when they started, came off the bench, or did not play, plus their record against this opponent · did not play = unused sub or not in the squad · fewer than 10 games shown faded
League games only · cups and Europe excluded · win rate = wins ÷ games
vs Paderborn · when playing —
Games: · · ·
League games only · cups and Europe excluded · win rate = wins ÷ games
vs Bremen · when playing —
Games: · · ·
05How the numbers are compiled
- Source
- API-Football (fixtures, line-ups, events, stats) · Open-Meteo (weather, forecast) · Wikimedia (crests)
- Sample
- Bundesliga 2017-18 to 2026-27 · some conditions since 2022-23 · minimum 10 games (faded and marked below that)
- Match scope
- Conditional stats use league games only · last five games, streaks and rest days use all competitions · win rate = wins ÷ games · usual = league win rate over the same window · home team first
- Updated
- 2026.10.16 18:44 UK
This article summarises historical match data. It does not predict, guarantee or recommend any outcome.