Aston Villa vs Brentford
Aston Villa host Brentford in Premier League matchweek 6: Sat 10 Oct, 15:00 BST (10 Oct 23:00 KST) at Villa Park. Referee not yet appointed at time of writing.
The last 10 league meetings: Villa 4 wins, 3 draws, Brentford 3 wins; the most recent was Villa 0–1 Brentford in 2026/02. Last five games in all competitions: Villa W3 D1 L1, Brentford W2 D3 L0. Brentford have won 28.6% (16W 14D 26L) of 56 games under the condition "After last result", below their 36.3% over the same window. Villa have won 56.1% (37W 14D 15L) of 66 games under the condition "Saturday games", above their 49.0% over the same window.
Key numbers
| Metric / unit | Villa | Brentford |
|---|---|---|
| Positionpoints | 16th · 4 | 4th · 9 |
| W–D–L5 games | 1–1–3 | 2–3–0 |
| Goals for / againstper game | 0.80 / 1.80 | 2.00 / 0.80 |
| xG / xGAper game | 0.84 / 1.92 | 1.81 / 1.37 |
| Possession% | 46 | 45 |
| Shots / on targetper game | 9.6 / 2.4 | 16.2 / 4.6 |
| 2025-26 win rateW–D–L · promoted sides show second-tier record | 50.0% 19–8–11 | 36.8% 14–11–13 |
| Head-to-headW–D–L · since 2017-18 | 4–3–3 | 3–3–4 |
xG = expected goals · xGA = expected goals against · conceded minus xGA: Villa -0.12, Brentford -0.57 (per game)
- ManagersUnai Emery — league 144 games · 74W 30D 40L · win rate 51.4% · Keith Andrews — league 43 games · 16W 14D 13L · win rate 37.2% · manager duel 0W 0D 2L (Villa perspective)
- Last matchVilla 21 days ago PL away Spurs 3–2 · Brentford 22 days ago PL home Chelsea 3–0
- Last season's top scorerVilla O. Watkins (last season 16 goals) has not featured this season
Last five games
Aston Villa
| Opponent | Venue | Result | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spurs | away | 3–2W | — |
| CoventryEFL Cup | away | 3–1W | — |
| Forest | home | 1–2L | 0.82 |
| Club Brugge KVUCL | away | 3–2W | 3.22 |
| Hull | away | 0–0D | 1.93 |
Brentford
| Opponent | Venue | Result | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | home | 3–0W | — |
| ReadingEFL Cup | away | 2–1W | — |
| Bournemouth | away | 2–2D | 0.50 |
| Sunderland | home | 1–1D | 1.21 |
| Leeds | away | 1–1D | 1.67 |
Brentford 9 straight games scoring · Brentford 9 unbeaten · all competitions · no xG for cup and European games
Head-to-head
- Villa0–1Brentford
- Brentford1–0Villa
- Brentford0–1Villa
- Villa3–1Brentford
- Villa3–3Brentford
- Brentford1–2Villa
- Brentford1–1Villa
- Villa4–0Brentford
- Brentford2–1Villa
- Villa1–1Brentford
Full head-to-head record and fixture profile →
Villa Park H2H 5 games Villa 2W 2D 1L · since 2017-18 · green home win / red away win
| H2H 10 games (since 2017-18) | Value |
|---|---|
| Goals per game | 2.70 |
| Games with 3+ goalsshare % | 50.0 |
| Both teams scoredshare % | 60.0 |
| Average time of first goalmin | 30 |
| Goalless at half-timeshare % | 20.0 |
| Goals from 76th minute27 goals, % | 18.5 |
| Yellow cards per game | 4.4 |
| Red cards / penalties10 games total | 3 / 2 |
Conditional data
Conditional records that the table, form and head-to-head do not show. Sample of 10 games or more.
- 28.6%After last result Brentford win rate56 games · 16W 14D 26L · usual 36.3% · since 2022-23
- 56.1%Saturday games Villa win rate66 games · 37W 14D 15L · usual 49.0% · since 2022-23
- 46.2%Forecast temperature band Villa win rate130 games · 60W 29D 41L · usual 42.4%
- 31.9%Humidity 80% or more Brentford win rate72 games · 23W 17D 32L · usual 35.9%
- 34.8%K. Schade not scoring: Brentford win rate89 games · 31W 23D 35L · scored in 18 games: 72.2% (13W 5D 0L) · since 2022-23
The other side. win rate after conceding first: Villa 21.9%, Brentford 15.4%.
A. Timing and context win rate · sample · gap vs usual in percentage points
| Condition | Villa | Brentford |
|---|---|---|
| After a match Villa 21 days · Brentford 22 days earlierwin rate · rest counts all competitions · 8–14 and 15+ days grouped | -21.0p14 games · 3W 5D 6L · usual 42.4% | +5.8p12 games · 5W 4D 3L · usual 35.9% |
| Saturday 15:00 kick-offwin rate · since 2017-18 | +0.2p61 games · 26W 13D 22L · usual 42.4% | +3.6p81 games · 32W 23D 26L · usual 35.9% |
| After last resultVilla W / Brentford W · since 2022-23 | +1.0p76 games · 38W 16D 22L · usual 49.0% | -7.7p56 games · 16W 14D 26L · usual 36.3% |
| Forecast: mostly clearWin rate · Villa home / Brentford away | +7.6p14 games · 7W 3D 4L · usual 42.4% | sample too small7 games · 2W 1D 4L · usual 35.9% |
| Temperature 20°C or morewin rate · forecast 13.7°C | -12.0p23 games · 7W 4D 12L · usual 42.4% | +0.8p30 games · 11W 11D 8L · usual 35.9% |
| Humidity 80% or morewin rate · forecast 68% | -1.2p114 games · 47W 22D 45L · usual 42.4% | -4.0p72 games · 23W 17D 32L · usual 35.9% |
| Rain or drizzleWin rate | -1.2p68 games · 28W 10D 30L · usual 42.4% | -4.8p45 games · 14W 11D 20L · usual 35.9% |
| October gamesWin rate | +1.6p25 games · 11W 5D 9L · usual 42.4% | +4.1p20 games · 8W 4D 8L · usual 35.9% |
| Manager vs this opponentwin rate · all clubs | 42.9%sample too small7 games · 3W 2D 2L · usual 49.0% | 100.0%sample too small2 games · 2W 0D 0L · usual 36.3% |
B. Game management since 2022-23 · usual win rate Villa 49.0% (77W 33D 47L) / Brentford 36.3% (57W 45D 55L)
| items | Villa | Brentford |
|---|---|---|
| After scoring firstWin rate | 79.2%77 games · 61W 9D 7L | 58.8%80 games · 47W 18D 15L |
| After conceding firstWin rate | 21.9% -27.1p73 games · 16W 17D 40L · usual 49.0% | 15.4% -20.9p65 games · 10W 15D 40L · usual 36.3% |
| Leading at 75 minutesWin rate | 93.8%64 games · 60W 3D 1L | 77.8%63 games · 49W 11D 3L |
| Led but failed to win / won from behindgames | 20 / 16 | 38 / 11 |
| Goals by substitutes% of team goals | 17.1 40/234 | 8.8 21/238 |
| Games with 3+ yellow cardsWin rate | +10.1p59 games · 31W 11D 17L · usual 42.4% | -3.4p40 games · 13W 12D 15L · usual 35.9% |
| Penalties won / concededper game | 0.08 / 0.06 | 0.16 / 0.07 |
| Goals for / against from 76th minute% of all goals | 22.9 / 22.6 | 25.3 / 25.9 |
| Failed to score / clean sheets% | 21.7 / 24.8 | 23.6 / 24.8 |
C. Shots and defensive shape 2026-27 5 games this season, averages · last season shown as totals
| items | Villa | Brentford |
|---|---|---|
| Shots inside / outside the boxper game | 6 / 3.6 | 11.8 / 4.4 |
| Shots blockedper game | 2.2 | 5.4 |
| Shots faced / on target / inside boxper game | 16.2 / 5.2 / 10 | 13.4 / 4.6 / 7.6 |
| Keeper saves / goals preventedper game · goals prevented | 3.6 / 0.01 | 3.4 / 0.00 |
| Corners won / concededper game | 3 / 4.8 | 4.4 / 5 |
| Offsides / fouls wonper game | 1.2 / 10.6 | 1.2 / 9 |
| Passes / accuracyper game / % | 406 / 82.2 | 376 / 76.8 |
| 2025-26 xG → goalsseason total | 48.2 → 56 +7.8 | 60.2 → 55 -5.2 |
| 2025-26 xGA → concededseason total | 54.0 → 49 -5.0 | 54.4 → 52 -2.4 |
Order is always home team (Villa) then away team (Brentford) · usual = the team's overall league win rate over the same window · ±p = percentage-point gap · fewer than 10 games shown faded and marked sample too small · the small W D L figures are the raw record behind each win rate (draws do not count as wins)
D. Win rate by player involvement League games only (cups and European games excluded) · all games since the player's first appearance for the club (from 2017-18 at the earliest) · pick a player to see the team's win rate when they started, came off the bench, or did not play, plus their record against this opponent · did not play = unused sub or not in the squad · fewer than 10 games shown faded
League games only · cups and Europe excluded · win rate = wins ÷ games
vs Brentford · when playing —
Games: · · ·
League games only · cups and Europe excluded · win rate = wins ÷ games
vs Villa · when playing —
Games: · · ·
05How the numbers are compiled
- Source
- API-Football (fixtures, line-ups, events, stats) · Open-Meteo (weather, forecast) · Wikimedia (crests)
- Sample
- Premier League 2017-18 to 2026-27 · some conditions since 2022-23 · minimum 10 games (faded and marked below that)
- Match scope
- Conditional stats use league games only · last five games, streaks and rest days use all competitions · win rate = wins ÷ games · usual = league win rate over the same window · home team first
- Updated
- 2026.09.29 10:24 UK
This article summarises historical match data. It does not predict, guarantee or recommend any outcome.