Chelsea vs Bournemouth
Chelsea host Bournemouth in Premier League matchweek 6: Sat 10 Oct, 15:00 BST (10 Oct 23:00 KST) at Stamford Bridge. Referee not yet appointed at time of writing.
The last 10 league meetings: Chelsea 4 wins, 5 draws, Bournemouth 1 wins; the most recent was Chelsea 2–2 Bournemouth in 2025/12. Last five games in all competitions: Chelsea W2 D1 L2, Bournemouth W2 D2 L1. Chelsea have won 35.7% (10W 9D 9L) of 28 games under the condition "Forecast: partly cloudy", below their 48.1% over the same window. Bournemouth have won 39.1% (9W 6D 8L) of 23 games under the condition "Forecast: partly cloudy", above their 31.4% over the same window.
Key numbers
| Metric / unit | Chelsea | Bournemouth |
|---|---|---|
| Positionpoints | 10th · 7 | 17th · 3 |
| W–D–L5 games | 2–1–2 | 0–3–2 |
| Goals for / againstper game | 2.00 / 2.40 | 1.20 / 1.60 |
| xG / xGAper game | 1.62 / 1.54 | 1.48 / 1.32 |
| Possession% | 47.4 | 47.6 |
| Shots / on targetper game | 14.4 / 5.2 | 13.6 / 5.2 |
| 2025-26 win rateW–D–L · promoted sides show second-tier record | 36.8% 14–10–14 | 34.2% 13–18–7 |
| Head-to-headW–D–L · since 2017-18 | 6–5–3 | 3–5–6 |
xG = expected goals · xGA = expected goals against · conceded minus xGA: Chelsea +0.86, Bournemouth +0.28 (per game)
- ManagersXabi Alonso — league 5 games · 2W 1D 2L · win rate 40.0% · M. Rose — league 2 games · 0W 1D 1L · win rate 0.0% · manager duel 3W 1D 2L (Chelsea perspective)
- Last matchChelsea 22 days ago PL away Brentford 0–3 · Bournemouth 20 days ago PL home Liverpool 0–1
- Last season's top scorerBournemouth E. J. Kroupi (last season 13 goals) has not featured this season
Last five games
Chelsea
| Opponent | Venue | Result | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brentford | away | 0–3L | — |
| Hull | home | 2–2D | 0.91 |
| LeedsEFL Cup | home | 6–3W | — |
| Arsenal | away | 1–2L | 0.39 |
| Brighton | home | 4–3W | 2.93 |
Bournemouth
| Opponent | Venue | Result | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | home | 0–1L | — |
| Real SociedadUEL | away | 2–1W | — |
| Brentford | home | 2–2D | 1.75 |
| LincolnEFL Cup | home | 4–0W | — |
| Newcastle | away | 2–2D | 1.37 |
all competitions · no xG for cup and European games
Head-to-head
- Chelsea2–2Bournemouth
- Bournemouth0–0Chelsea
- Chelsea2–2Bournemouth
- Bournemouth0–1Chelsea
- Chelsea2–1Bournemouth
- Bournemouth0–0Chelsea
- Bournemouth1–3Chelsea
- Chelsea2–0Bournemouth
- Bournemouth2–2Chelsea
- Chelsea0–1Bournemouth
Full head-to-head record and fixture profile →
Stamford Bridge H2H 7 games Chelsea 3W 2D 2L · since 2017-18 · green home win / red away win
| H2H 14 games (since 2017-18) | Value |
|---|---|
| Goals per game | 2.36 |
| Games with 3+ goalsshare % | 50.0 |
| Both teams scoredshare % | 35.7 |
| Average time of first goalmin | 40.4 |
| Goalless at half-timeshare % | 57.1 |
| Goals from 76th minute33 goals, % | 24.2 |
| Yellow cards per game | 3.79 |
| Red cards / penalties14 games total | 0 / 3 |
Conditional data
Conditional records that the table, form and head-to-head do not show. Sample of 10 games or more.
- 35.7%Forecast: partly cloudy Chelsea win rate28 games · 10W 9D 9L · usual 48.1%
- 36.0%October games Bournemouth win rate25 games · 9W 7D 9L · usual 31.4%
- 32.4%Saturday 15:00 kick-off Bournemouth win rate136 games · 44W 39D 53L · usual 31.4%
- 32.1%Humidity 80% or more Bournemouth win rate112 games · 36W 33D 43L · usual 31.4%
- 30.8%C. Palmer not scoring: Chelsea win rate65 games · 20W 19D 26L · scored in 36 games: 66.7% (24W 8D 4L) · since 2022-23
The other side. win rate after conceding first: Chelsea 17.6%, Bournemouth 17.6%.
A. Timing and context win rate · sample · gap vs usual in percentage points
| Condition | Chelsea | Bournemouth |
|---|---|---|
| After a match Chelsea 22 days · Bournemouth 20 days earlierwin rate · rest counts all competitions · 8–14 and 15+ days grouped | +5.7p13 games · 7W 3D 3L · usual 48.1% | +1.9p15 games · 5W 5D 5L · usual 31.4% |
| Saturday 15:00 kick-offwin rate · since 2017-18 | +7.6p61 games · 34W 13D 14L · usual 48.1% | +1.0p136 games · 44W 39D 53L · usual 31.4% |
| After last resultChelsea L / Bournemouth L · since 2022-23 | +5.7p51 games · 24W 9D 18L · usual 41.4% | -5.0p57 games · 16W 15D 26L · usual 33.1% |
| Forecast: partly cloudyWin rate · Chelsea home / Bournemouth away | -12.4p14 games · 5W 7D 2L · usual 48.1% | +5.0p11 games · 4W 1D 6L · usual 31.4% |
| Temperature 20°C or morewin rate · forecast 15.2°C | +6.2p35 games · 19W 8D 8L · usual 48.1% | +0.2p19 games · 6W 3D 10L · usual 31.4% |
| Humidity 80% or morewin rate · forecast 63% | +3.7p139 games · 72W 33D 34L · usual 48.1% | +0.7p112 games · 36W 33D 43L · usual 31.4% |
| Rain or drizzleWin rate | +3.5p64 games · 33W 17D 14L · usual 48.1% | -0.2p77 games · 24W 22D 31L · usual 31.4% |
| October gamesWin rate | +15.5p33 games · 21W 7D 5L · usual 48.1% | +4.6p25 games · 9W 7D 9L · usual 31.4% |
B. Game management since 2022-23 · usual win rate Chelsea 41.4% (65W 40D 52L) / Bournemouth 33.1% (52W 47D 58L)
| items | Chelsea | Bournemouth |
|---|---|---|
| After scoring firstWin rate | 66.2%80 games · 53W 17D 10L | 53.4%73 games · 39W 22D 12L |
| After conceding firstWin rate | 17.6% -23.8p68 games · 12W 14D 42L · usual 41.4% | 17.6% -15.5p74 games · 13W 15D 46L · usual 33.1% |
| Leading at 75 minutesWin rate | 88.5%61 games · 54W 5D 2L | 74.5%55 games · 41W 13D 1L |
| Led but failed to win / won from behindgames | 31 / 14 | 39 / 13 |
| Goals by substitutes% of team goals | 10.8 26/241 | 17.3 36/208 |
| Games with 3+ yellow cardsWin rate | -7.0p73 games · 30W 17D 26L · usual 48.1% | +0.3p63 games · 20W 23D 20L · usual 31.4% |
| Penalties won / concededper game | 0.17 / 0.08 | 0.09 / 0.14 |
| Goals for / against from 76th minute% of all goals | 20.6 / 23.0 | 26.3 / 25.2 |
| Failed to score / clean sheets% | 22.3 / 24.2 | 26.1 / 23.6 |
C. Shots and defensive shape 2026-27 5 games this season, averages · last season shown as totals
| items | Chelsea | Bournemouth |
|---|---|---|
| Shots inside / outside the boxper game | 9.4 / 5 | 8.2 / 5.4 |
| Shots blockedper game | 4.6 | 3.6 |
| Shots faced / on target / inside boxper game | 14.4 / 6.4 / 10.2 | 10.8 / 4 / 7.2 |
| Keeper saves / goals preventedper game · goals prevented | 4.4 / -0.62 | 2.2 / 0.23 |
| Corners won / concededper game | 6.6 / 5.2 | 4.2 / 4.6 |
| Offsides / fouls wonper game | 1.5 / 11.8 | 1.8 / 14 |
| Passes / accuracyper game / % | 419 / 79.8 | 402 / 79.8 |
| 2025-26 xG → goalsseason total | 66.5 → 58 -8.5 | 61.9 → 58 -3.9 |
| 2025-26 xGA → concededseason total | 52.8 → 52 -0.8 | 56.6 → 54 -2.6 |
Order is always home team (Chelsea) then away team (Bournemouth) · usual = the team's overall league win rate over the same window · ±p = percentage-point gap · fewer than 10 games shown faded and marked sample too small · the small W D L figures are the raw record behind each win rate (draws do not count as wins)
D. Win rate by player involvement League games only (cups and European games excluded) · all games since the player's first appearance for the club (from 2017-18 at the earliest) · pick a player to see the team's win rate when they started, came off the bench, or did not play, plus their record against this opponent · did not play = unused sub or not in the squad · fewer than 10 games shown faded
League games only · cups and Europe excluded · win rate = wins ÷ games
vs Bournemouth · when playing —
Games: · · ·
League games only · cups and Europe excluded · win rate = wins ÷ games
vs Chelsea · when playing —
Games: · · ·
05How the numbers are compiled
- Source
- API-Football (fixtures, line-ups, events, stats) · Open-Meteo (weather, forecast) · Wikimedia (crests)
- Sample
- Premier League 2017-18 to 2026-27 · some conditions since 2022-23 · minimum 10 games (faded and marked below that)
- Match scope
- Conditional stats use league games only · last five games, streaks and rest days use all competitions · win rate = wins ÷ games · usual = league win rate over the same window · home team first
- Updated
- 2026.09.29 10:24 UK
This article summarises historical match data. It does not predict, guarantee or recommend any outcome.