Celta Vigo vs Málaga
Celta Vigo host Málaga in La Liga matchweek 5: Sun 13 Sep, 14:00 CEST (13 Sep 21:00 KST) at Municipal de Balaídos. Referee Carlos Muñiz Muñoz.
The last 3 league meetings: Celta 0 wins, 2 draws, Málaga 1 wins; the most recent was Celta 1–1 Málaga in 2026/09. Last five games in all competitions: Celta W0 D3 L2, Málaga W1 D2 L2. Celta have won 28.3% of 113 games under the condition "Forecast: clear", below their 30.7% over the same window. Celta have won 29.5% of 61 games under the condition "Sunday games", below their 32.3% over the same window. Absentees: Celta Aleix Febas; Málaga Fernando Calero, Julen Lobete (as of 2026-09-15).
Key numbers
| Metric / unit | Celta | Málaga |
|---|---|---|
| Positionpoints | 15th · 4 | 17th · 3 |
| W–D–L6 games | 0–4–2 | 0–3–2 |
| Goals for / againstper game | 0.50 / 1.00 | 0.40 / 1.60 |
| xG / xGAper game | 0.60 / 1.53 | 1.07 / 1.37 |
| Possession% | 56.2 | 52.2 |
| Shots / on targetper game | 8.4 / 2.4 | 10.5 / 1.8 |
| 2025-26 win rateW–D–L · promoted sides show second-tier record | 36.8% 14–12–12 | 50.0% Segunda 23–12–11 |
| Head-to-headW–D–L · since 2017-18 | 0–2–1 | 1–2–0 |
xG = expected goals · xGA = expected goals against · conceded minus xGA: Celta -0.53, Málaga +0.23 (per game)
- Celta outAleix Febas(Ribs Injury) · as of 2026-09-15
- Málaga outFernando Calero(Ribs Injury) · Julen Lobete(Knee Injury) / doubtful: Adrián Niño(Injury)
- ManagersClaudio Giraldez — league 27 games win rate 37.0% · Juan Funes — league 4 games win rate 0.0% · first league meeting between the two managers
- Last matchCelta 6 days ago LaLiga away Getafe 1–1 · Málaga 7 days ago LaLiga home Levante 0–0
Last five games
Celta Vigo
| Opponent | Venue | Result | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Getafe | away | 1–1D | 1.03 |
| Real Sociedad | away | 0–0D | 0.43 |
| Athletic | home | 0–2L | 0.75 |
| Osasuna | home | 1–2L | 0.14 |
| Valencia | away | 0–0D | 0.66 |
Málaga
| Opponent | Venue | Result | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Levante | home | 0–0D | 1.46 |
| Real Madrid | away | 0–4L | 0.71 |
| Deportivo | home | 1–1D | 1.95 |
| Atlético | away | 0–2L | 0.15 |
| AlmeríaSegunda | away | 2–1W | — |
Celta 5 without a win · Málaga 4 without a win · all competitions · no xG for cup and European games
Head-to-head
- Celta1–1Málaga
- Celta0–0Málaga
- Málaga2–1Celta
Full head-to-head record and fixture profile →
Municipal de Balaídos H2H 2 games Celta 0W 2D 0L · since 2017-18 · green home win / red away win
Conditional data
Conditional records that the table, form and head-to-head do not show. Sample of 10 games or more.
- 28.3%Forecast: clear Celta win rate113 games · usual 30.7%
- 29.5%Sunday games Celta win rate61 games · usual 32.3% · since 2022-23
- 28.1%Forecast temperature band Celta win rate96 games · usual 30.7%
- 28.1%Temperature 20°C or more Celta win rate96 games · usual 30.7%
- 23.4%Iago Aspas not scoring: Celta win rate107 games · scored in 33 games: 54.5% · since 2022-23
The other side. win rate after conceding first: Celta 15.3%, Málaga 0.0% · absentees per game Celta 1.5, Málaga 2.4.
A. Timing and context win rate · sample · gap vs usual in percentage points
| Condition | Celta | Málaga |
|---|---|---|
| Sunday 14:00 kick-offwin rate · since 2017-18 | +0.3p29 games · usual 30.7% | —1 games · sample too small |
| Weekend afternoon kick-offWin rate · Celta home / Málaga away | +7.6p47 games · usual 30.7% | —5 games · sample too small |
| After last resultCelta D / Málaga D · since 2022-23 | +0.3p43 games · usual 32.3% | —2 games · sample too small |
| Forecast: clearWin rate · Celta home / Málaga away | +6.8p48 games · usual 30.7% | —7 games · sample too small |
| Temperature 20°C or morewin rate · forecast 31.0°C | -2.6p96 games · usual 30.7% | -3.9p13 games · usual 11.6% |
| Humidity 80% or morewin rate · forecast 36% | +4.3p100 games · usual 30.7% | -1.6p10 games · usual 11.6% |
| Rain or drizzleWin rate | +2.6p69 games · usual 30.7% | —5 games · sample too small |
| September gamesWin rate | -7.0p38 games · usual 30.7% | —7 games · sample too small |
| Municipal de Balaídos awaywin rate · any opponent | — | —2 games · sample too small |
| Municipal de Balaídos rain frequencyrain or drizzle · % of home games | 27.0 | — |
B. Game management since 2022-23 · usual win rate Celta 32.3% / Málaga 0.0%
| items | Celta | Málaga |
|---|---|---|
| After scoring firstWin rate | — | — |
| After conceding firstWin rate | 15.3% -17.0p85 games · usual 32.3% | —3 games · sample too small |
| Leading at 75 minutesWin rate | 82.6%46 games | —0 games |
| Led but failed to win / won from behindgames | 27 / 15 | 0 / 0 |
| Average time of first substitutionmin | 55.3 | 57 |
| Goals by substitutes% of team goals | 23.2 46/198 | 0.0 0/1 |
| Average time of first booking / games with nonemin / % | 46.7 / 13.9 | 49.2 / 20.0 |
| Games with 3+ yellow cardsWin rate | +4.6p51 games · usual 30.7% | —2 games · sample too small |
| Penalties won / concededper game | 0.15 / 0.15 | 0.40 / 0.00 |
| Penalties scoredscored/taken | 21 / 24 | 1 / 2 |
| Goals for / against from 76th minute% of all goals | 23.2 / 23.6 | 0.0 / 28.6 |
| Failed to score / clean sheets% | 22.8 / 22.8 | 60.0 / 20.0 |
C. Shots and defensive shape 2026-27 5 games this season, averages · last season shown as totals
| items | Celta | Málaga |
|---|---|---|
| Shots inside / outside the boxper game | 4.2 / 4.2 | 5.8 / 4.8 |
| Shots blockedper game | 2 | 3.2 |
| Shots faced / on target / inside boxper game | 12.8 / 4.2 / 7.2 | 12.8 / 5.2 / 7.5 |
| Keeper saves / goals preventedper game · goals prevented | 3 / 0.14 | 3.8 / 0.32 |
| Corners won / concededper game | 3.8 / 5 | 5 / 5.8 |
| Offsides / fouls wonper game | 2.4 / 14.6 | 1.8 / 11.5 |
| Passes / accuracyper game / % | 571 / 87.2 | 509 / 87.8 |
D. Player conditions since 2022-23 · both samples 10+ games
| Player · condition | When true | When not | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iago Aspas (Celta) scoresteam win rate | 54.5%33 games | 23.4%107 games | +31.1p |
| Yoel Lago (Celta) startingteam win rate · conceded | 21.7% · 1.4323 games | 42.4% · 1.3459 games | -20.7p |
| Carl Starfelt (Celta) startingteam win rate · conceded | 29.6% · 1.3771 games | 40.4% · 1.4547 games | -10.8p |
| Hugo Álvarez (Celta) startingteam win rate · conceded | 42.5% · 1.540 games | 29.1% · 1.37117 games | +13.4p |
| Ilaix Kourouma (Celta) bookedown rating | 6.7313 games | 6.9644 games | -0.23 |
| Javier Rodríguez (Celta) bookedown rating | 6.7811 games | 6.8652 games | -0.08 |
E. Individual numbers
| items | Celta | Málaga |
|---|---|---|
| Shot conversion · minutes per goalleague since 2022-23 | Iago Aspas 18.7% · 235minBorja Iglesias 31.6% · 156min / W. Swedberg 25.9% · 240min | Chupe 9.1% · 450min |
| Record vs this opponentsince 2017-18 · apps G A rating | Iago Aspas 3 games 1G 0A 6.95 | — |
| Key passesseason total | Hugo González 6 · Javier Rueda 6 · Miguel Román 6 | D. Larrubia 7 · Pablo Martínez 7 · Carlos Dotor 4 |
| Fouls won / committedseason total | W. Swedberg 11 · Ferrán Jutglà 8 · Aleix Febas 7 / Yoel Lago 8 · Marcos Alonso 6 · Aleix Febas 5 | Joaquín Muñoz 10 · Rafita 7 · Chupe 7 / C. Puga 9 · Chupe 8 · Rafita 5 |
| Duel win %20+ duels · % | Javier Galán 60 · Carl Starfelt 58 · W. Swedberg 57 | Rafita 58 · D. Lorenzo 57 · Carlos Dotor 56 |
| Tackles+interceptions / dribbles won–triedseason total | Marcos Alonso 18 · Yoel Lago 14 · Carl Starfelt 12 / Sergio Carreira 4–7 · Javier Rueda 4–6 · Iago Aspas 3–4 | D. Larrubia 20 · C. Puga 14 · Carlos Dotor 12 / D. Larrubia 13–34 · C. Puga 12–16 · D. Lorenzo 9–12 |
| Home/away ratingsince 2022-23 · 10+ games each | Ferrán Jutglà 7.22/6.78 · Hugo Álvarez 7.14/6.72 · Yoel Lago 6.91/6.54 | — |
Order is always home team (Celta) then away team (Málaga) · usual = the team's overall league win rate over the same window · ±p = percentage-point gap · fewer than 10 games shown as — · ratings are API-Football official ratings
F. Win rate by player involvement League games only (cups and European games excluded) · all games since the player's first appearance for the club (from 2017-18 at the earliest) · pick a player to see the team's win rate when they started, came off the bench, or did not play, plus their record against this opponent · did not play = unused sub or not in the squad · fewer than 10 games shown faded
League games only · cups and Europe excluded · win rate = wins ÷ games
vs Málaga · when playing —
Games: · · ·
League games only · cups and Europe excluded · win rate = wins ÷ games
vs Celta · when playing —
Games: · · ·
05How the numbers are compiled
- Source
- API-Football (fixtures, line-ups, events, stats, absentees) · Open-Meteo (weather, forecast) · Wikimedia (crests)
- Sample
- La Liga 2017-18 to 2026-27 · some conditions since 2022-23 · minimum 10 games (— below that)
- Match scope
- Conditional stats use league games only · last five games, streaks and rest days use all competitions · win rate = wins ÷ games · usual = league win rate over the same window · home team first
- Updated
- 2026.09.15 03:14 UK
This article summarises historical match data. It does not predict, guarantee or recommend any outcome.