Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano host Athletic Club in La Liga matchweek 8: Sun 11 Oct, 17:00 CEST (12 Oct 00:00 KST) at Campo de Futbol de Vallecas. Referee not yet appointed at time of writing.
The last 10 league meetings: Rayo 1 wins, 2 draws, Athletic 7 wins; the most recent was Rayo 1–1 Athletic in 2026/02. Last five games in all competitions: Rayo W2 D1 L2, Athletic W2 D2 L1. Rayo have won 47.8% (11W 5D 7L) of 23 games under the condition "October games", above their 28.5% over the same window. Athletic have won 20.0% (5W 10D 10L) of 25 games under the condition "Forecast: mostly clear", below their 36.8% over the same window.
Key numbers
| Metric / unit | Rayo | Athletic |
|---|---|---|
| Positionpoints | 12th · 8 | 10th · 8 |
| W–D–L7 games | 2–2–3 | 2–2–2 |
| Goals for / againstper game | 1.57 / 2.29 | 1.17 / 1.00 |
| xG / xGAper game | 1.31 / 1.97 | 1.62 / 1.45 |
| Possession% | 48.7 | 52.5 |
| Shots / on targetper game | 13.4 / 4.6 | 15.7 / 4.7 |
| 2025-26 win rateW–D–L · promoted sides show second-tier record | 31.6% 12–14–12 | 34.2% 13–6–19 |
| Head-to-headW–D–L · since 2017-18 | 1–3–8 | 8–3–1 |
xG = expected goals · xGA = expected goals against · conceded minus xGA: Rayo +0.32, Athletic -0.45 (per game)
- ManagersBeñat San José — league 7 games · 2W 2D 3L · win rate 28.6% · Edin Terzic — league 6 games · 2W 2D 2L · win rate 33.3% · first league meeting between the two managers
- Last matchRayo 22 days ago LaLiga away Osasuna 1–1 · Athletic 22 days ago LaLiga home Alavés 0–0
Last five games
Rayo Vallecano
| Opponent | Venue | Result | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Osasuna | away | 1–1D | — |
| Espanyol | home | 2–1W | 1.52 |
| Real Madrid | away | 1–4L | 1.21 |
| Racing | home | 3–2W | 1.61 |
| Barcelona | away | 2–5L | 1.21 |
Athletic Club
| Opponent | Venue | Result | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alavés | home | 0–0D | — |
| Elche | home | 1–1D | 2.39 |
| Atlético | home | 3–0W | 1.41 |
| Celta | away | 2–0W | 2.78 |
| Barcelona | away | 0–2L | 0.25 |
Rayo league home 12 unbeaten · all competitions
Head-to-head
- Rayo1–1Athletic
- Athletic1–0Rayo
- Athletic3–1Rayo
- Rayo1–2Athletic
- Rayo0–1Athletic
- Athletic4–0Rayo
- Rayo0–0Athletic
- Athletic3–2Rayo
- Rayo0–1Athletic
- Athletic1–2Rayo
Full head-to-head record and fixture profile →
Campo de Futbol de Vallecas H2H 6 games Rayo 0W 3D 3L · since 2017-18 · green home win / red away win
| H2H 12 games (since 2017-18) | Value |
|---|---|
| Goals per game | 2.58 |
| Games with 3+ goalsshare % | 50.0 |
| Both teams scoredshare % | 58.3 |
| Average time of first goalmin | 27.9 |
| Goalless at half-timeshare % | 25.0 |
| Goals from 76th minute31 goals, % | 19.4 |
| Yellow cards per game | 3.92 |
| Red cards / penalties12 games total | 2 / 3 |
Conditional data
Conditional records that the table, form and head-to-head do not show. Sample of 10 games or more.
- 47.8%October games Rayo win rate23 games · 11W 5D 7L · usual 28.5%
- 20.0%Forecast: mostly clear Athletic away win rate25 games · 5W 10D 10L · usual 36.8%
- 47.4%After 15+ days' rest Rayo win rate19 games · 9W 3D 7L · usual 28.5%
- 28.9%Forecast: mostly clear Athletic win rate38 games · 11W 14D 13L · usual 36.8%
- 35.5%Gorka Guruzeta not scoring: Athletic win rate107 games · 38W 31D 38L · scored in 30 games: 70.0% (21W 3D 6L) · since 2022-23
The other side. win rate after conceding first: Rayo 11.4%, Athletic 12.7% · Oihan Sancet vs this opponent 7 games 6 goals.
A. Timing and context win rate · sample · gap vs usual in percentage points
| Condition | Rayo | Athletic |
|---|---|---|
| After a match 22 days earlierwin rate · rest counts all competitions · 8–14 and 15+ days grouped | +18.9p19 games · 9W 3D 7L · usual 28.5% | +5.5p26 games · 11W 10D 5L · usual 36.8% |
| Sunday 17:00 kick-offwin rate · since 2017-18 | sample too small1 games · 0W 0D 1L · usual 28.5% | sample too small2 games · 2W 0D 0L · usual 36.8% |
| After last resultRayo D / Athletic D · since 2022-23 | -1.4p52 games · 15W 18D 19L · usual 30.2% | +0.1p40 games · 17W 7D 16L · usual 42.4% |
| Forecast: mostly clearWin rate · Rayo home / Athletic away | +21.5p14 games · 7W 2D 5L · usual 28.5% | -16.8p25 games · 5W 10D 10L · usual 36.8% |
| Temperature 20°C or morewin rate · forecast 20.6°C | +1.3p84 games · 25W 24D 35L · usual 28.5% | -2.4p90 games · 31W 31D 28L · usual 36.8% |
| Humidity 80% or morewin rate · forecast 53% | +1.7p43 games · 13W 5D 25L · usual 28.5% | +2.7p129 games · 51W 38D 40L · usual 36.8% |
| Rain or drizzleWin rate | +1.5p30 games · 9W 8D 13L · usual 28.5% | -1.7p74 games · 26W 20D 28L · usual 36.8% |
| October gamesWin rate | +19.3p23 games · 11W 5D 7L · usual 28.5% | -8.2p35 games · 10W 11D 14L · usual 36.8% |
B. Game management since 2022-23 · usual win rate Rayo 30.2% (48W 53D 58L) / Athletic 42.4% (67W 41D 50L)
| items | Rayo | Athletic |
|---|---|---|
| After scoring firstWin rate | 55.6%72 games · 40W 23D 9L | 81.7%71 games · 58W 9D 4L |
| After conceding firstWin rate | 11.4% -18.8p70 games · 8W 13D 49L · usual 30.2% | 12.7% -29.7p71 games · 9W 16D 46L · usual 42.4% |
| Leading at 75 minutesWin rate | 82.2%45 games · 37W 8D 0L | 93.4%61 games · 57W 4D 0L |
| Led but failed to win / won from behindgames | 34 / 9 | 13 / 9 |
| Goals by substitutes% of team goals | 17.5 28/160 | 16.9 35/207 |
| Games with 3+ yellow cardsWin rate | +2.3p78 games · 24W 28D 26L · usual 28.5% | +3.2p55 games · 22W 14D 19L · usual 36.8% |
| Penalties won / concededper game | 0.09 / 0.14 | 0.14 / 0.11 |
| Goals for / against from 76th minute% of all goals | 22.8 / 25.7 | 22.6 / 23.7 |
| Failed to score / clean sheets% | 31.4 / 27.7 | 31.0 / 33.5 |
C. Shots and defensive shape 2026-27 7 games this season, averages · last season shown as totals
| items | Rayo | Athletic |
|---|---|---|
| Shots inside / outside the boxper game | 7 / 6.4 | 9.5 / 6.2 |
| Shots blockedper game | 3.3 | 3 |
| Shots faced / on target / inside boxper game | 16.6 / 5.6 / 10.9 | 9.5 / 3.7 / 6.5 |
| Keeper saves / goals preventedper game · goals prevented | 3.3 / -0.81 | 2.8 / 0.24 |
| Corners won / concededper game | 5.3 / 6.1 | 6.2 / 4.8 |
| Offsides / fouls wonper game | 1 / 13.1 | 1.5 / 11.3 |
| Passes / accuracyper game / % | 381 / 79.5 | 482 / 82.4 |
| 2025-26 xG → goalsseason total | 52.9 → 41 -11.9 | 50.7 → 43 -7.7 |
| 2025-26 xGA → concededseason total | 49.2 → 44 -5.2 | 42.2 → 58 +15.8 |
Order is always home team (Rayo) then away team (Athletic) · usual = the team's overall league win rate over the same window · ±p = percentage-point gap · fewer than 10 games shown faded and marked sample too small · the small W D L figures are the raw record behind each win rate (draws do not count as wins)
D. Win rate by player involvement League games only (cups and European games excluded) · all games since the player's first appearance for the club (from 2017-18 at the earliest) · pick a player to see the team's win rate when they started, came off the bench, or did not play, plus their record against this opponent · did not play = unused sub or not in the squad · fewer than 10 games shown faded
League games only · cups and Europe excluded · win rate = wins ÷ games
vs Athletic · when playing —
Games: · · ·
League games only · cups and Europe excluded · win rate = wins ÷ games
vs Rayo · when playing —
Games: · · ·
05How the numbers are compiled
- Source
- API-Football (fixtures, line-ups, events, stats) · Open-Meteo (weather, forecast) · Wikimedia (crests)
- Sample
- La Liga 2017-18 to 2026-27 · some conditions since 2022-23 · minimum 10 games (faded and marked below that)
- Match scope
- Conditional stats use league games only · last five games, streaks and rest days use all competitions · win rate = wins ÷ games · usual = league win rate over the same window · home team first
- Updated
- 2026.09.29 10:24 UK
This article summarises historical match data. It does not predict, guarantee or recommend any outcome.