Lille vs Le Havre
Lille host Le Havre in Ligue 1 matchweek 6: Sat 10 Oct, 17:15 CEST (11 Oct 00:15 KST) at Stade Pierre-Mauroy. Referee not yet appointed at time of writing.
The last 6 league meetings: Lille 4 wins, 1 draw, Le Havre 1 wins; the most recent was Lille 1–1 Le Havre in 2026/05. Last five games in all competitions: Lille W2 D1 L2, Le Havre W0 D2 L3. Le Havre have won 35.0% (7W 7D 6L) of 20 games under the condition "Forecast: drizzle", above their 22.4% over the same window. Lille have won 37.9% (11W 8D 10L) of 29 games under the condition "Saturday 17:15 kick-off", below their 48.6% over the same window.
Key numbers
| Metric / unit | Lille | Le Havre |
|---|---|---|
| Positionpoints | 4th · 10 | 18th · 2 |
| W–D–L5 games | 3–1–1 | 0–2–3 |
| Goals for / againstper game | 1.60 / 0.80 | 0.80 / 1.40 |
| xG / xGAper game | 1.34 / 1.82 | 1.16 / 1.52 |
| Possession% | 47.6 | 48.4 |
| Shots / on targetper game | 12.8 / 6.4 | 15.6 / 5 |
| 2025-26 win rateW–D–L · promoted sides show second-tier record | 52.9% 18–7–9 | 20.6% 7–14–13 |
| Head-to-headW–D–L · since 2017-18 | 4–1–1 | 1–1–4 |
xG = expected goals · xGA = expected goals against · conceded minus xGA: Lille -1.02, Le Havre -0.12 (per game)
- ManagersDavide Ancelotti — league 5 games · 3W 1D 1L · win rate 60.0% · D. Digard — league 73 games · 17W 20D 36L · win rate 23.3% · first league meeting between the two managers
- Last matchLille 20 days ago L1 away Nice 1–2 · Le Havre 21 days ago L1 away Toulouse 2–3
- Last season's top scorerLe Havre I. Soumaré (last season 8 goals) has not featured this season
Last five games
Lille
| Opponent | Venue | Result | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nice | away | 1–2L | — |
| Troyes | home | 2–0W | 1.65 |
| BetisUCL | home | 2–3L | 0.83 |
| Toulouse | away | 1–0W | 1.21 |
| PSG | home | 2–2D | 1.27 |
Le Havre
| Opponent | Venue | Result | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse | away | 2–3L | — |
| Angers | home | 0–0D | 1.31 |
| Brest | home | 1–2L | 2.02 |
| Lyon | away | 1–1D | 0.69 |
| Monaco | home | 0–1L | 0.60 |
Le Havre 5 without a win · all competitions · no xG for cup and European games
Head-to-head
- Lille1–1Le Havre
- Le Havre0–1Lille
- Lille1–2Le Havre
- Le Havre0–3Lille
- Lille3–0Le Havre
- Le Havre0–2Lille
Full head-to-head record and fixture profile →
Stade Pierre-Mauroy H2H 3 games Lille 1W 1D 1L · since 2017-18 · green home win / red away win
| H2H 6 games (since 2017-18) | Value |
|---|---|
| Goals per game | 2.33 |
| Games with 3+ goalsshare % | 50.0 |
| Both teams scoredshare % | 33.3 |
| Average time of first goalmin | 38.7 |
| Goalless at half-timeshare % | 16.7 |
| Goals from 76th minute14 goals, % | 21.4 |
| Yellow cards per game | 3.33 |
| Red cards / penalties6 games total | 1 / 1 |
Conditional data
Conditional records that the table, form and head-to-head do not show. Sample of 10 games or more.
- 35.0%Forecast: drizzle Le Havre win rate20 games · 7W 7D 6L · usual 22.4%
- 37.9%Saturday 17:15 kick-off Lille win rate29 games · 11W 8D 10L · usual 48.6%
- 30.4%Forecast weather type Le Havre win rate23 games · 7W 7D 9L · usual 22.4%
- 30.4%Rain or drizzle Le Havre win rate23 games · 7W 7D 9L · usual 22.4%
- 49.3%H. Haraldsson not scoring: Lille win rate73 games · 36W 15D 22L · scored in 15 games: 66.7% (10W 4D 1L) · since 2022-23
The other side. win rate after conceding first: Lille 26.5%, Le Havre 7.7%.
A. Timing and context win rate · sample · gap vs usual in percentage points
| Condition | Lille | Le Havre |
|---|---|---|
| After a match Lille 20 days · Le Havre 21 days earlierwin rate · rest counts all competitions · 8–14 and 15+ days grouped | +4.0p19 games · 10W 5D 4L · usual 48.6% | sample too small6 games · 0W 2D 4L · usual 22.4% |
| Saturday 17:15 kick-offwin rate · since 2017-18 | -10.7p29 games · 11W 8D 10L · usual 48.6% | sample too small4 games · 1W 1D 2L · usual 22.4% |
| After last resultLille L / Le Havre L · since 2022-23 | +16.4p33 games · 22W 6D 5L · usual 50.3% | +5.1p51 games · 14W 13D 24L · usual 22.4% |
| Forecast: drizzleWin rate · Lille home / Le Havre away | +4.7p30 games · 16W 8D 6L · usual 48.6% | sample too small5 games · 1W 3D 1L · usual 22.4% |
| Temperature 20°C or morewin rate · forecast 15.0°C | -8.1p42 games · 17W 13D 12L · usual 48.6% | +2.6p20 games · 5W 6D 9L · usual 22.4% |
| Humidity 80% or morewin rate · forecast 70% | +0.4p147 games · 72W 36D 39L · usual 48.6% | -2.9p41 games · 8W 10D 23L · usual 22.4% |
| Rain or drizzleWin rate | -1.5p68 games · 32W 17D 19L · usual 48.6% | +8.0p23 games · 7W 7D 9L · usual 22.4% |
| October gamesWin rate | +4.5p32 games · 17W 7D 8L · usual 48.6% | -4.2p11 games · 2W 3D 6L · usual 22.4% |
| Manager vs this opponentwin rate · all clubs | — | 40.0%sample too small5 games · 2W 1D 2L · usual 22.4% |
B. Game management since 2022-23 · usual win rate Lille 50.3% (73W 38D 34L) / Le Havre 22.4% (24W 31D 52L)
| items | Lille | Le Havre |
|---|---|---|
| After scoring firstWin rate | 69.8%86 games · 60W 18D 8L | 61.3%31 games · 19W 10D 2L |
| After conceding firstWin rate | 26.5% -23.8p49 games · 13W 10D 26L · usual 50.3% | 7.7% -14.7p65 games · 5W 10D 50L · usual 22.4% |
| Leading at 75 minutesWin rate | 83.1%71 games · 59W 10D 2L | 75.0%24 games · 18W 5D 1L |
| Led but failed to win / won from behindgames | 28 / 15 | 13 / 5 |
| Goals by substitutes% of team goals | 16.8 38/226 | 9.5 10/105 |
| Games with 3+ yellow cardsWin rate | -9.3p56 games · 22W 19D 15L · usual 48.6% | -8.6p29 games · 4W 9D 16L · usual 22.4% |
| Penalties won / concededper game | 0.21 / 0.09 | 0.18 / 0.15 |
| Goals for / against from 76th minute% of all goals | 29.3 / 22.6 | 22.7 / 25.1 |
| Failed to score / clean sheets% | 17.9 / 35.9 | 38.3 / 18.7 |
C. Shots and defensive shape 2026-27 5 games this season, averages · last season shown as totals
| items | Lille | Le Havre |
|---|---|---|
| Shots inside / outside the boxper game | 9 / 3.8 | 10.2 / 5.4 |
| Shots blockedper game | 3 | 4.2 |
| Shots faced / on target / inside boxper game | 16 / 4.2 / 9.2 | 14.4 / 5.4 / 9.4 |
| Keeper saves / goals preventedper game · goals prevented | 3.4 / 0.56 | 4.4 / 0.65 |
| Corners won / concededper game | 2.8 / 5.4 | 5.6 / 5.2 |
| Offsides / fouls wonper game | 2.2 / 14 | 1.8 / 13.4 |
| Passes / accuracyper game / % | 462 / 85 | 399 / 82.5 |
| 2025-26 xG → goalsseason total | 55.5 → 52 -3.5 | 38.4 → 32 -6.4 |
| 2025-26 xGA → concededseason total | 36.9 → 37 +0.1 | 51.4 → 44 -7.4 |
Order is always home team (Lille) then away team (Le Havre) · usual = the team's overall league win rate over the same window · ±p = percentage-point gap · fewer than 10 games shown faded and marked sample too small · the small W D L figures are the raw record behind each win rate (draws do not count as wins)
D. Win rate by player involvement League games only (cups and European games excluded) · all games since the player's first appearance for the club (from 2017-18 at the earliest) · pick a player to see the team's win rate when they started, came off the bench, or did not play, plus their record against this opponent · did not play = unused sub or not in the squad · fewer than 10 games shown faded
League games only · cups and Europe excluded · win rate = wins ÷ games
vs Le Havre · when playing —
Games: · · ·
League games only · cups and Europe excluded · win rate = wins ÷ games
vs Lille · when playing —
Games: · · ·
05How the numbers are compiled
- Source
- API-Football (fixtures, line-ups, events, stats) · Open-Meteo (weather, forecast) · Wikimedia (crests)
- Sample
- Ligue 1 2017-18 to 2026-27 · some conditions since 2022-23 · minimum 10 games (faded and marked below that)
- Match scope
- Conditional stats use league games only · last five games, streaks and rest days use all competitions · win rate = wins ÷ games · usual = league win rate over the same window · home team first
- Updated
- 2026.09.29 10:24 UK
This article summarises historical match data. It does not predict, guarantee or recommend any outcome.