Lorient vs Paris FC
Lorient host Paris FC in Ligue 1 matchweek 6: Sat 10 Oct, 20:45 CEST (11 Oct 03:45 KST) at Stade du Moustoir. Referee not yet appointed at time of writing.
The last 2 league meetings: Lorient 0 wins, 1 draw, Paris FC 1 wins; the most recent was Lorient 1–1 Paris FC in 2026/04. Last five games in all competitions: Lorient W1 D2 L2, Paris FC W3 D2 L0. Lorient have won 32.2% (38W 34D 46L) of 118 games under the condition "Forecast temperature band", above their 28.3% over the same window. Lorient have won 30.8% (4W 7D 2L) of 13 games under the condition "After 15+ days' rest", above their 28.3% over the same window.
Key numbers
| Metric / unit | Lorient | Paris FC |
|---|---|---|
| Positionpoints | 12th · 5 | 3rd · 11 |
| W–D–L5 games | 1–2–2 | 3–2–0 |
| Goals for / againstper game | 1.00 / 1.20 | 1.60 / 0.60 |
| xG / xGAper game | 1.24 / 1.51 | 1.94 / 0.78 |
| Possession% | 48 | 50 |
| Shots / on targetper game | 10.4 / 3.2 | 13.2 / 4.6 |
| 2025-26 win rateW–D–L · promoted sides show second-tier record | 32.4% 11–12–11 | 32.4% 11–11–12 |
| Head-to-headW–D–L · since 2017-18 | 0–1–1 | 1–1–0 |
xG = expected goals · xGA = expected goals against · conceded minus xGA: Lorient -0.31, Paris FC -0.18 (per game)
- ManagersA. Dujeux — league 5 games · 1W 2D 2L · win rate 20.0% · L. Rosenior — league 5 games · 3W 2D 0L · win rate 60.0% · manager duel 1W 1D 1L (Lorient perspective)
- Last matchLorient 21 days ago L1 away Le Mans 1–2 · Paris FC 21 days ago L1 home Strasbourg 2–1
- Last season's top scorerLorient P. Pagis (last season 10 goals) has not featured this season
Last five games
Lorient
| Opponent | Venue | Result | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Le Mans | away | 1–2L | — |
| Toulouse | home | 2–2D | 0.93 |
| Lens | away | 1–0W | 1.60 |
| Troyes | home | 1–2L | 1.15 |
| Nice | away | 0–0D | 1.28 |
Paris FC
| Opponent | Venue | Result | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strasbourg | home | 2–1W | — |
| Lyon | home | 0–0D | 0.30 |
| Marseille | away | 3–2W | 3.29 |
| Nice | home | 3–0W | 2.38 |
| Troyes | away | 0–0D | 1.80 |
Paris FC 6 unbeaten · all competitions
Head-to-head
- Lorient1–1Paris FC
- Paris FC2–0Lorient
Full head-to-head record and fixture profile →
Stade du Moustoir H2H 1 games Lorient 0W 1D 0L · since 2017-18 · green home win / red away win
Conditional data
Conditional records that the table, form and head-to-head do not show. Sample of 10 games or more.
- 32.2%Forecast temperature band Lorient win rate118 games · 38W 34D 46L · usual 28.3%
- 30.8%After 15+ days' rest Lorient win rate13 games · 4W 7D 2L · usual 28.3%
- 23.1%After last result Paris FC win rate13 games · 3W 5D 5L · usual 35.9% · since 2022-23
- 20.0%Saturday games Paris FC win rate10 games · 2W 5D 3L · usual 35.9% · since 2022-23
The other side. win rate after conceding first: Lorient 7.5%, Paris FC 12.5%.
A. Timing and context win rate · sample · gap vs usual in percentage points
| Condition | Lorient | Paris FC |
|---|---|---|
| After a match 21 days earlierwin rate · rest counts all competitions · 8–14 and 15+ days grouped | +2.5p13 games · 4W 7D 2L · usual 28.3% | sample too small5 games · 0W 1D 4L · usual 35.9% |
| Saturday 20:45 kick-offwin rate · since 2017-18 | -19.2p11 games · 1W 6D 4L · usual 28.3% | sample too small4 games · 0W 2D 2L · usual 35.9% |
| After last resultLorient L / Paris FC W · since 2022-23 | -3.3p44 games · 12W 17D 15L · usual 30.6% | -12.8p13 games · 3W 5D 5L · usual 35.9% |
| Forecast: partly cloudyWin rate · Lorient home / Paris FC away | sample too small3 games · 2W 0D 1L · usual 28.3% | sample too small2 games · 1W 0D 1L · usual 35.9% |
| Temperature 20°C or morewin rate · forecast 15.4°C | -4.3p25 games · 6W 10D 9L · usual 28.3% | sample too small7 games · 2W 2D 3L · usual 35.9% |
| Humidity 80% or morewin rate · forecast 72% | +2.6p68 games · 21W 20D 27L · usual 28.3% | +3.0p18 games · 7W 6D 5L · usual 35.9% |
| Rain or drizzleWin rate | -2.2p46 games · 12W 12D 22L · usual 28.3% | +4.1p10 games · 4W 4D 2L · usual 35.9% |
| October gamesWin rate | -8.3p20 games · 4W 7D 9L · usual 28.3% | sample too small4 games · 1W 1D 2L · usual 35.9% |
| Manager vs this opponentwin rate · all clubs | 50.0%sample too small2 games · 1W 1D 0L · usual 30.6% | 0.0%sample too small1 games · 0W 1D 0L · usual 35.9% |
B. Game management since 2022-23 · usual win rate Lorient 30.6% (34W 32D 45L) / Paris FC 35.9% (14W 13D 12L)
| items | Lorient | Paris FC |
|---|---|---|
| After scoring firstWin rate | 60.0%50 games · 30W 13D 7L | 70.6%17 games · 12W 3D 2L |
| After conceding firstWin rate | 7.5% -23.1p53 games · 4W 11D 38L · usual 30.6% | 12.5% -23.4p16 games · 2W 4D 10L · usual 35.9% |
| Leading at 75 minutesWin rate | 84.2%38 games · 32W 5D 1L | 84.6%13 games · 11W 2D 0L |
| Led but failed to win / won from behindgames | 23 / 4 | 5 / 2 |
| Goals by substitutes% of team goals | 21.1 30/142 | 24.1 13/54 |
| Games with 3+ yellow cardsWin rate | -6.9p28 games · 6W 7D 15L · usual 28.3% | +0.5p11 games · 4W 3D 4L · usual 35.9% |
| Penalties won / concededper game | 0.07 / 0.14 | 0.18 / 0.21 |
| Goals for / against from 76th minute% of all goals | 23.0 / 25.6 | 29.1 / 26.4 |
| Failed to score / clean sheets% | 30.6 / 18.9 | 28.2 / 28.2 |
C. Shots and defensive shape 2026-27 5 games this season, averages · last season shown as totals
| items | Lorient | Paris FC |
|---|---|---|
| Shots inside / outside the boxper game | 6.8 / 3.6 | 8.4 / 4.8 |
| Shots blockedper game | 2 | 3.4 |
| Shots faced / on target / inside boxper game | 13.2 / 4 / 9.4 | 9.8 / 2.6 / 6.6 |
| Keeper saves / goals preventedper game · goals prevented | 2.8 / 0.27 | 2 / 0.10 |
| Corners won / concededper game | 2.4 / 5.2 | 3 / 3.6 |
| Offsides / fouls wonper game | 0.8 / 15.4 | 1.6 / 10 |
| Passes / accuracyper game / % | 489 / 85 | 567 / 88.2 |
| 2025-26 xG → goalsseason total | 45.5 → 48 +2.5 | 45.0 → 47 +2.0 |
| 2025-26 xGA → concededseason total | 46.5 → 51 +4.5 | 55.8 → 50 -5.8 |
Order is always home team (Lorient) then away team (Paris FC) · usual = the team's overall league win rate over the same window · ±p = percentage-point gap · fewer than 10 games shown faded and marked sample too small · the small W D L figures are the raw record behind each win rate (draws do not count as wins)
D. Win rate by player involvement League games only (cups and European games excluded) · all games since the player's first appearance for the club (from 2017-18 at the earliest) · pick a player to see the team's win rate when they started, came off the bench, or did not play, plus their record against this opponent · did not play = unused sub or not in the squad · fewer than 10 games shown faded
League games only · cups and Europe excluded · win rate = wins ÷ games
vs Paris FC · when playing —
Games: · · ·
League games only · cups and Europe excluded · win rate = wins ÷ games
vs Lorient · when playing —
Games: · · ·
05How the numbers are compiled
- Source
- API-Football (fixtures, line-ups, events, stats) · Open-Meteo (weather, forecast) · Wikimedia (crests)
- Sample
- Ligue 1 2017-18 to 2026-27 · some conditions since 2022-23 · minimum 10 games (faded and marked below that)
- Match scope
- Conditional stats use league games only · last five games, streaks and rest days use all competitions · win rate = wins ÷ games · usual = league win rate over the same window · home team first
- Updated
- 2026.09.29 10:24 UK
This article summarises historical match data. It does not predict, guarantee or recommend any outcome.