Nice vs Strasbourg
Nice host Strasbourg in Ligue 1 matchweek 6: Sun 11 Oct, 15:00 CEST (11 Oct 22:00 KST) at Allianz Riviera. Referee not yet appointed at time of writing.
The last 10 league meetings: Nice 3 wins, 4 draws, Strasbourg 3 wins; the most recent was Strasbourg 3–1 Nice in 2026/04. Last five games in all competitions: Nice W1 D2 L2, Strasbourg W2 D1 L2. Strasbourg have won 45.8% (38W 24D 21L) of 83 games under the condition "Sunday games", above their 35.9% over the same window. Strasbourg have won 43.5% (30W 15D 24L) of 69 games under the condition "Rain or drizzle", above their 34.3% over the same window.
Key numbers
| Metric / unit | Nice | Strasbourg |
|---|---|---|
| Positionpoints | 14th · 5 | 8th · 7 |
| W–D–L5 games | 1–2–2 | 2–1–2 |
| Goals for / againstper game | 0.60 / 1.20 | 2.00 / 2.00 |
| xG / xGAper game | 1.01 / 1.67 | 1.50 / 2.19 |
| Possession% | 56.8 | 46.4 |
| Shots / on targetper game | 12 / 3 | 11.6 / 4.8 |
| 2025-26 win rateW–D–L · promoted sides show second-tier record | 22.2% 8–12–16 | 44.1% 15–8–11 |
| Head-to-headW–D–L · since 2017-18 | 5–5–7 | 7–5–5 |
xG = expected goals · xGA = expected goals against · conceded minus xGA: Nice -0.47, Strasbourg -0.19 (per game)
- ManagersO. Pantaloni — league 5 games · 1W 2D 2L · win rate 20.0% · Hugo Oliveira — league 5 games · 2W 1D 2L · win rate 40.0% · first league meeting between the two managers
- Last matchNice 21 days ago L1 home Lille 2–1 · Strasbourg 22 days ago L1 away Paris FC 1–2
- Last season's top scorerStrasbourg Joaquin Panichelli (last season 16 goals) has not featured this season
Last five games
Nice
| Opponent | Venue | Result | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lille | home | 2–1W | — |
| Auxerre | away | 0–1L | 1.08 |
| Le Mans | home | 1–1D | 1.12 |
| Paris FC | away | 0–3L | 0.78 |
| Lorient | home | 0–0D | 1.05 |
Strasbourg
| Opponent | Venue | Result | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paris FC | away | 1–2L | — |
| Monaco | home | 1–1D | 1.02 |
| Troyes | away | 6–2W | 2.95 |
| Lens | home | 2–1W | 1.83 |
| Marseille | away | 0–4L | 0.18 |
Nice league home 7 unbeaten · all competitions
Head-to-head
- Strasbourg3–1Nice
- Nice1–1Strasbourg
- Strasbourg2–2Nice
- Nice2–1Strasbourg
- Strasbourg1–3Nice
- Nice2–0Strasbourg
- Strasbourg2–0Nice
- Nice1–1Strasbourg
- Strasbourg0–0Nice
- Nice0–3Strasbourg
Full head-to-head record and fixture profile →
Allianz Riviera H2H 8 games Nice 3W 2D 3L · since 2017-18 · green home win / red away win
| H2H 17 games (since 2017-18) | Value |
|---|---|
| Goals per game | 2.29 |
| Games with 3+ goalsshare % | 35.3 |
| Both teams scoredshare % | 47.1 |
| Average time of first goalmin | 23.1 |
| Goalless at half-timeshare % | 5.9 |
| Goals from 76th minute39 goals, % | 12.8 |
| Yellow cards per game | 3.41 |
| Red cards / penalties17 games total | 6 / 7 |
Conditional data
Conditional records that the table, form and head-to-head do not show. Sample of 10 games or more.
- 45.8%Sunday games Strasbourg win rate83 games · 38W 24D 21L · usual 35.9% · since 2022-23
- 43.5%Rain or drizzle Strasbourg win rate69 games · 30W 15D 24L · usual 34.3%
- 38.1%Sunday 15:00 kick-off Strasbourg win rate84 games · 32W 27D 25L · usual 34.3%
- 35.9%Humidity 80% or more Nice win rate103 games · 37W 28D 38L · usual 40.4%
- 38.4%S. Diop not scoring: Nice win rate86 games · 33W 28D 25L · scored in 14 games: 57.1% (8W 3D 3L) · since 2022-23
The other side. win rate after conceding first: Nice 10.7%, Strasbourg 15.9%.
A. Timing and context win rate · sample · gap vs usual in percentage points
| Condition | Nice | Strasbourg |
|---|---|---|
| After a match Nice 21 days · Strasbourg 22 days earlierwin rate · rest counts all competitions · 8–14 and 15+ days grouped | +2.5p21 games · 9W 5D 7L · usual 40.4% | -2.3p25 games · 8W 5D 12L · usual 34.3% |
| Sunday 15:00 kick-offwin rate · since 2017-18 | -5.4p60 games · 21W 23D 16L · usual 40.4% | +3.8p84 games · 32W 27D 25L · usual 34.3% |
| After last resultNice W / Strasbourg L · since 2022-23 | -0.6p56 games · 21W 17D 18L · usual 38.1% | -1.9p53 games · 18W 16D 19L · usual 35.9% |
| Forecast: overcastWin rate · Nice home / Strasbourg away | +5.1p44 games · 20W 13D 11L · usual 40.4% | -3.7p62 games · 19W 18D 25L · usual 34.3% |
| Temperature 20°C or morewin rate · forecast 22.1°C | -2.4p71 games · 27W 21D 23L · usual 40.4% | -7.9p53 games · 14W 16D 23L · usual 34.3% |
| Humidity 80% or morewin rate · forecast 69% | -4.5p103 games · 37W 28D 38L · usual 40.4% | +0.3p107 games · 37W 28D 42L · usual 34.3% |
| Rain or drizzleWin rate | +2.7p51 games · 22W 16D 13L · usual 40.4% | +9.2p69 games · 30W 15D 24L · usual 34.3% |
| October gamesWin rate | +3.7p34 games · 15W 9D 10L · usual 40.4% | -2.0p31 games · 10W 10D 11L · usual 34.3% |
| Manager vs this opponentwin rate · all clubs | 33.3%sample too small3 games · 1W 1D 1L · usual 38.1% | — |
B. Game management since 2022-23 · usual win rate Nice 38.1% (56W 46D 45L) / Strasbourg 35.9% (52W 40D 53L)
| items | Nice | Strasbourg |
|---|---|---|
| After scoring firstWin rate | 66.7%75 games · 50W 18D 7L | 61.2%67 games · 41W 14D 12L |
| After conceding firstWin rate | 10.7% -27.4p56 games · 6W 12D 38L · usual 38.1% | 15.9% -20.0p69 games · 11W 17D 41L · usual 35.9% |
| Leading at 75 minutesWin rate | 85.0%60 games · 51W 9D 0L | 84.8%46 games · 39W 5D 2L |
| Led but failed to win / won from behindgames | 25 / 6 | 31 / 11 |
| Goals by substitutes% of team goals | 16.9 32/189 | 16.3 33/203 |
| Games with 3+ yellow cardsWin rate | +8.0p31 games · 15W 8D 8L · usual 40.4% | -6.1p39 games · 11W 13D 15L · usual 34.3% |
| Penalties won / concededper game | 0.14 / 0.14 | 0.11 / 0.20 |
| Goals for / against from 76th minute% of all goals | 18.7 / 23.0 | 25.8 / 20.5 |
| Failed to score / clean sheets% | 26.5 / 29.9 | 18.6 / 20.7 |
C. Shots and defensive shape 2026-27 5 games this season, averages · last season shown as totals
| items | Nice | Strasbourg |
|---|---|---|
| Shots inside / outside the boxper game | 7.2 / 4.8 | 8.2 / 3.4 |
| Shots blockedper game | 3.4 | 2.2 |
| Shots faced / on target / inside boxper game | 13 / 4.8 / 9.2 | 17.4 / 6.2 / 11.6 |
| Keeper saves / goals preventedper game · goals prevented | 3.2 / -0.06 | 4.2 / -0.39 |
| Corners won / concededper game | 5.8 / 3.4 | 1.8 / 6 |
| Offsides / fouls wonper game | 2.6 / 8.8 | 1 / 10 |
| Passes / accuracyper game / % | 590 / 88 | 455 / 85.5 |
| 2025-26 xG → goalsseason total | 43.6 → 37 -6.6 | 54.2 → 58 +3.8 |
| 2025-26 xGA → concededseason total | 59.4 → 60 +0.6 | 46.0 → 47 +1.0 |
Order is always home team (Nice) then away team (Strasbourg) · usual = the team's overall league win rate over the same window · ±p = percentage-point gap · fewer than 10 games shown faded and marked sample too small · the small W D L figures are the raw record behind each win rate (draws do not count as wins)
D. Win rate by player involvement League games only (cups and European games excluded) · all games since the player's first appearance for the club (from 2017-18 at the earliest) · pick a player to see the team's win rate when they started, came off the bench, or did not play, plus their record against this opponent · did not play = unused sub or not in the squad · fewer than 10 games shown faded
League games only · cups and Europe excluded · win rate = wins ÷ games
vs Strasbourg · when playing —
Games: · · ·
League games only · cups and Europe excluded · win rate = wins ÷ games
vs Nice · when playing —
Games: · · ·
05How the numbers are compiled
- Source
- API-Football (fixtures, line-ups, events, stats) · Open-Meteo (weather, forecast) · Wikimedia (crests)
- Sample
- Ligue 1 2017-18 to 2026-27 · some conditions since 2022-23 · minimum 10 games (faded and marked below that)
- Match scope
- Conditional stats use league games only · last five games, streaks and rest days use all competitions · win rate = wins ÷ games · usual = league win rate over the same window · home team first
- Updated
- 2026.09.29 10:24 UK
This article summarises historical match data. It does not predict, guarantee or recommend any outcome.