Lille vs Brest
Full time
Lille1–1Brest
GoalsLille O. Giroud 64' (PK)Brest Mama Baldé 6'
Kicked off 2026.10.17. The data below is as it stood before kick-off and has not been edited to match the result. See the full head-to-head record
Lille host Brest in Ligue 1 matchweek 7: Sat 17 Oct, 20:45 CEST (18 Oct 03:45 KST) at Stade Pierre-Mauroy. Referee not yet appointed at time of writing.
The last 10 league meetings: Lille 3 wins, 5 draws, Brest 2 wins; the most recent was Lille 1–1 Brest in 2026/02. Last five games in all competitions: Lille W2 D0 L3, Brest W2 D1 L2. Lille have won 35.6% (26W 22D 25L) of 73 games under the condition "After last result", below their 50.7% over the same window. Lille have won 39.5% (17W 13D 13L) of 43 games under the condition "Temperature 20°C or more", below their 48.8% over the same window.
Key numbers
| Metric / unit | Lille | Brest |
|---|---|---|
| Positionpoints | 2nd · 13 | 7th · 8 |
| W–D–L6 games | 4–1–1 | 2–2–2 |
| Goals for / againstper game | 1.50 / 0.67 | 2.00 / 1.50 |
| xG / xGAper game | 1.34 / 1.72 | 2.64 / 1.28 |
| Possession% | 47.5 | 48 |
| Shots / on targetper game | 11.5 / 5.5 | 19.2 / 6.5 |
| 2025-26 win rateW–D–L · promoted sides show second-tier record | 52.9% 18–7–9 | 29.4% 10–9–15 |
| Head-to-headW–D–L · since 2017-18 | 4–6–3 | 3–6–4 |
xG = expected goals · xGA = expected goals against · conceded minus xGA: Lille -1.05, Brest +0.22 (per game)
- ManagersDavide Ancelotti — league 6 games · 4W 1D 1L · win rate 66.7% · Julien Lachuer — league 6 games · 2W 2D 2L · win rate 33.3% · first league meeting between the two managers
- Last matchLille 4 days ago UCL away Arsenal 0–3 · Brest 7 days ago L1 home Angers 5–1
Last five games
Lille
| Opponent | Venue | Result | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| ArsenalUCL | away | 0–3L | 0.30 |
| Le Havre | home | 1–0W | 1.35 |
| Nice | away | 1–2L | — |
| Troyes | home | 2–0W | 1.65 |
| BetisUCL | home | 2–3L | 0.83 |
Brest
| Opponent | Venue | Result | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Angers | home | 5–1W | 3.82 |
| Auxerre | away | 1–2L | — |
| PSG | home | 0–1L | 1.24 |
| Le Havre | away | 2–1W | 2.37 |
| Toulouse | home | 2–2D | 3.04 |
all competitions · no xG for cup and European games
Head-to-head
- Lille1–1Brest
- Brest3–3Lille
- Brest2–0Lille
- Lille3–1Brest
- Brest1–1Lille
- Lille1–0Brest
- Lille2–1Brest
- Brest0–0Lille
- Brest2–0Lille
- Lille1–1Brest
Full head-to-head record and fixture profile →
Stade Pierre-Mauroy H2H 7 games Lille 4W 3D 0L · since 2017-18 · green home win / red away win
| H2H 13 games (since 2017-18) | Value |
|---|---|
| Goals per game | 2.31 |
| Games with 3+ goalsshare % | 30.8 |
| Both teams scoredshare % | 53.8 |
| Average time of first goalmin | 22.9 |
| Goalless at half-timeshare % | 30.8 |
| Goals from 76th minute30 goals, % | 10.0 |
| Yellow cards per game | 3.08 |
| Red cards / penalties13 games total | 1 / 3 |
Conditional data
Conditional records that the table, form and head-to-head do not show. Sample of 10 games or more.
- 35.6%After last result Lille win rate73 games · 26W 22D 25L · usual 50.7% · since 2022-23
- 39.5%Temperature 20°C or more Lille win rate43 games · 17W 13D 13L · usual 48.8%
- 40.7%Humidity 80% or more Brest win rate108 games · 44W 24D 40L · usual 34.8%
- 40.0%Rain or drizzle Brest win rate70 games · 28W 17D 25L · usual 34.8%
- 50.0%H. Haraldsson not scoring: Lille win rate74 games · 37W 15D 22L · scored in 15 games: 66.7% (10W 4D 1L) · since 2022-23
The other side. win rate after conceding first: Lille 26.5%, Brest 11.5%.
A. Timing and context win rate · sample · gap vs usual in percentage points
| Condition | Lille | Brest |
|---|---|---|
| After a match Lille 4 days · Brest 7 days earlierwin rate · rest counts all competitions | -0.2p37 games · 18W 10D 9L · usual 48.8% | -2.6p87 games · 28W 18D 41L · usual 34.8% |
| League game right after a cup or European matchwin rate · within 7 days · this match qualifies | -3.2p79 games · 36W 26D 17L · usual 48.8% | — |
| Saturday 20:45 kick-offwin rate · since 2017-18 | -5.0p32 games · 14W 7D 11L · usual 48.8% | -7.5p22 games · 6W 4D 12L · usual 34.8% |
| After last resultLille W / Brest W · since 2022-23 | -15.1p73 games · 26W 22D 25L · usual 50.7% | -0.7p54 games · 20W 14D 20L · usual 37.7% |
| Forecast: overcastWin rate · Lille home / Brest away | +7.5p71 games · 40W 18D 13L · usual 48.8% | -2.2p43 games · 14W 11D 18L · usual 34.8% |
| Temperature 20°C or morewin rate · forecast 10.8°C | -9.3p43 games · 17W 13D 13L · usual 48.8% | -10.7p29 games · 7W 9D 13L · usual 34.8% |
| Humidity 80% or morewin rate · forecast 90% | +0.2p147 games · 72W 36D 39L · usual 48.8% | +5.9p108 games · 44W 24D 40L · usual 34.8% |
| Rain or drizzleWin rate | -1.7p68 games · 32W 17D 19L · usual 48.8% | +5.2p70 games · 28W 17D 25L · usual 34.8% |
| October gamesWin rate | +5.7p33 games · 18W 7D 8L · usual 48.8% | -2.7p28 games · 9W 9D 10L · usual 34.8% |
B. Game management since 2022-23 · usual win rate Lille 50.7% (74W 38D 34L) / Brest 37.7% (55W 37D 54L)
| items | Lille | Brest |
|---|---|---|
| After scoring firstWin rate | 70.1%87 games · 61W 18D 8L | 65.8%73 games · 48W 15D 10L |
| After conceding firstWin rate | 26.5% -24.2p49 games · 13W 10D 26L · usual 50.7% | 11.5% -26.2p61 games · 7W 10D 44L · usual 37.7% |
| Leading at 75 minutesWin rate | 83.3%72 games · 60W 10D 2L | 85.5%55 games · 47W 7D 1L |
| Led but failed to win / won from behindgames | 28 / 15 | 27 / 7 |
| Goals by substitutes% of team goals | 16.7 38/227 | 11.0 22/200 |
| Games with 3+ yellow cardsWin rate | -9.5p56 games · 22W 19D 15L · usual 48.8% | +1.9p49 games · 18W 13D 18L · usual 34.8% |
| Penalties won / concededper game | 0.21 / 0.09 | 0.19 / 0.16 |
| Goals for / against from 76th minute% of all goals | 29.1 / 22.6 | 18.6 / 20.4 |
| Failed to score / clean sheets% | 17.8 / 36.3 | 26.0 / 29.5 |
C. Shots and defensive shape 2026-27 6 games this season, averages · last season shown as totals
| items | Lille | Brest |
|---|---|---|
| Shots inside / outside the boxper game | 8 / 3.5 | 12.3 / 6.8 |
| Shots blockedper game | 2.5 | 3.5 |
| Shots faced / on target / inside boxper game | 16.2 / 3.8 / 9.2 | 11.2 / 4.2 / 7 |
| Keeper saves / goals preventedper game · goals prevented | 3.2 / 0.56 | 2.8 / 0.58 |
| Corners won / concededper game | 3 / 5.3 | 5.3 / 3.8 |
| Offsides / fouls wonper game | 2.5 / 13.7 | 2 / 14 |
| Passes / accuracyper game / % | 453 / 85 | 424 / 82 |
| 2025-26 xG → goalsseason total | 55.5 → 52 -3.5 | 45.1 → 43 -2.1 |
| 2025-26 xGA → concededseason total | 36.9 → 37 +0.1 | 51.1 → 55 +3.9 |
Order is always home team (Lille) then away team (Brest) · usual = the team's overall league win rate over the same window · ±p = percentage-point gap · fewer than 10 games shown faded and marked sample too small · the small W D L figures are the raw record behind each win rate (draws do not count as wins)
D. Win rate by player involvement League games only (cups and European games excluded) · all games since the player's first appearance for the club (from 2017-18 at the earliest) · pick a player to see the team's win rate when they started, came off the bench, or did not play, plus their record against this opponent · did not play = unused sub or not in the squad · fewer than 10 games shown faded
League games only · cups and Europe excluded · win rate = wins ÷ games
vs Brest · when playing —
Games: · · ·
League games only · cups and Europe excluded · win rate = wins ÷ games
vs Lille · when playing —
Games: · · ·
05How the numbers are compiled
- Source
- API-Football (fixtures, line-ups, events, stats) · Open-Meteo (weather, forecast) · Wikimedia (crests)
- Sample
- Ligue 1 2017-18 to 2026-27 · some conditions since 2022-23 · minimum 10 games (faded and marked below that)
- Match scope
- Conditional stats use league games only · last five games, streaks and rest days use all competitions · win rate = wins ÷ games · usual = league win rate over the same window · home team first
- Updated
- 2026.10.16 18:44 UK
This article summarises historical match data. It does not predict, guarantee or recommend any outcome.